South Korean Military News, Reports, Data, etc.

SamuraiBlue

Captain
I am not implying "there are no other".... snipped

Now if Seoul as the capital and its surrounding area (30 to 40% of the total population?) is lost, what else is left to defend?

Does look that way. You state you see others but continues that without Seoul there is nothing else to defend.
Tell that to the remaining 60~70% of the population that they are no worthy providing a shield.
 

LesAdieux

Junior Member
North Korea is threatening to "wipe out" the THAAD as soon as it touchs the ground. NK makes lots of threats, will they make good this one?

NK is reckless and fearless, if China and Russia jointly offer NK some support, say short range missiles to take out THAAD and air defense system such as the S400, or HQ9, NK may do it.
 

Blitzo

Lieutenant General
Staff member
Super Moderator
Registered Member
North Korea is threatening to "wipe out" the THAAD as soon as it touchs the ground. NK makes lots of threats, will they make good this one?

NK is reckless and fearless, if China and Russia jointly offer NK some support, say short range missiles to take out THAAD and air defense system such as the S400, or HQ9, NK may do it.

... yeah that isn't going to happen.
 

LesAdieux

Junior Member
... yeah that isn't going to happen.

yeah, maybe you are right, today people are too cowered to stand up, so america just do whatever it likes.

what I don't understand is that what's their fear?

there're two overblown fantasies in our time: america's military might and america's economic might. america's military might has been checked out a few time in asia, korea, vietnam, afganistan, the lesson is clear: if you are determined to take sam on, he is actually not very mighty. economically I think China certainly got enough resources to start a long arm race to run america down, just like what US did to the soviet union.
 

FORBIN

Lieutenant General
Registered Member
The more important is that :

These tests are not allowed NK do in violation of the resolutions of the UN Security Council, which explicitly prohibits the launch by North Korea's ballistic missile

And no discussion about it.

And for this year yet several tests...

The decision for deployed THAAD in SK have nothing to do with SRBM but with last test of MRBM/SLBM :
BM25 Musudan, 2500/4000 km,
KN-08/Nodong C, about 8000
KN-11, 2400/4000 SLBM
Exist also Rodong-2 1000/2000 km but available ?

Very rustic missiles for accuracy btw 1/2 km !

They have mainly right now in service SRBM about 1000 whose :
- ~ 100 miss, 30 TEL KN-02/SS-21, 70 km
- ~ 600 Hwasong 5-7, 330/900 km
- ~ 300 Rodong 1, 1300 km for few but MRBM

Warheads 500/ 1200 kg some can be nuclear, accuracy KN-02 100 m others 1-3 km !

Used by the Strategic Rocket Forces.
 

taxiya

Brigadier
Registered Member
Does look that way. You state you see others but continues that without Seoul there is nothing else to defend.
Tell that to the remaining 60~70% of the population that they are no worthy providing a shield.

You are stretching my point here. Seoul is the capital with all the critical state organ, if that city falls, the state machine falls, the resistance and defense collapse. It doesn't mean people outside are worthless. But the defense of the state is essentially over. You seems to hang on an emotional argument to insist what you think that I meant.

And you should not nitpick my words of "Seoul". I did say "and area close to". You should also remember that my original words was about "when a missile is over Seoul and still outside the atmosphere". That is why you could have picked "Seoul". If I used equivalent geographical reference on the 38 line Cheorwon, will you then argue of my "ignoring the >95%"? That will surely make your argument stronger, but a bit absurd, don't you think?

It seems to me that you just pick a word in my whole post and interprets it in your own thought and put your interpretation on my head. Yes, it does look that way, but only in your mind probably.

I made the following table to illustrate my idea. You can stop reading further if you are not interested in understanding what I was saying.

SK is small in geographical area, when I say region close to Seoul or 38 line, do you know what my definition of closeness is? And how much percentage of population there is in my mind? Here is my calculation to understand. A distance of 200km is close, it is nothing in countries like China, Russia or US, but it is huge in SK. In my statement 300km is close, that covers 73% of SK population. Apparently my last post to you mentioned 30 to 40% was way low guess. I hope you won't stick to that numbers for stretching.

SRBM is defined as less than 1000km. I give the NK the capability of 300km into SK, that means launch from 100km within NK.
upload_2016-7-11_20-2-28.png
 
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negativism about THAAD:
Reliability questions

Many experts still cast doubt on whether or not the THAAD system can be effective to thwart North Korean missiles.

Last year, Michael Gilmore, director of the operational test and evaluation directorate at the US Defense Department, said in a report to Congress that the system still lacked the reliability needed for operation in the field.

“Analyses of date from the Reliability Confidence Test and multiple flight tests suggest that THAAD system components are not exhibiting consistent or steadily increasing reliability growth between test events,” Gilmore said, adding the US military had succeeded in only nine intercept experiments.

He added the missile shield showed weakness in adapting to different natural environments, such as temperature extremes, humidity, rain, ice, snow, sand, and dust.

Recent simulation experiments here also revealed certain weaknesses, according to Korea Aerospace University.

One simulation presumed a situation that North Korea was firing a mid-range Nodong missile with a nuclear warhead toward a US base in Pyongtaek, 35 kilometers south of Seoul, said professor Jang Young-geun, a military advisor to the defense ministry.

“The simulation showed THAAD failed to shoot down the incoming Nodong missile,” Jang noted. It took 203 seconds to detect, track and shoot the interceptor against the incoming missile, but it was too late to take down it, he said.

“THAAD’s effective altitude is 40 to 150 kilometers, but the Nodong missile is too fast to intercept within the estimated effective altitude,” the professor said, adding that the antimissile system could still defend against missiles flying toward the central or southern region.

Meanwhile, concerns over potential health problems from electromagnetic waves of the powerful radar are growing.

Defense officials contend the missile defense system will be located on a mountain, so it would be harmless so long as people stay at least 100 meters away from it.

But many residents in Seongju do not trust the military’s argument, citing a US Army THAAD operational manual that describes the zone of 3.6 kilometers as a personnel-controlled area.

“You can’t make a unilateral decision like this when about half of Seongju residents live within 2 kilometers of where THAAD is to be stationed,” said Bae Jae-man, a local council speaker, before making a visit to the defense ministry for protest.

Attending a National Assembly session, Defense Minister Han Min-koo rebuffed any safety concerns.

“The US military conducted two evaluations of potential effects on the environment and confirmed operational safety with data from simulations,” said the minister. “The conclusion from these evaluations is the THAAD deployment will pose no risk.”
inside of
US Antimissile Plans With South Korea Spark Fresh Backlash
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taxiya

Brigadier
Registered Member
Does look that way. You state you see others but continues that without Seoul there is nothing else to defend.
Tell that to the remaining 60~70% of the population that they are no worthy providing a shield.
Another note, you apparently did not even read my provided link to do your own research, but instead took my wild guess of 30-40% to make your own 60-70% claim. See my post #337. for my research.

Now something new I will show you. This is from south Koreans, I guess you can read Korean? Regardless, you can guess by reading the numbers and circles.

Now, you must ask the South Korean government why they do not care the lives around Seuol, that is more than 20 millions.

Seriously how does the fact that you provided the difference in range and radar between THAAD and PAC-3 supports your assertion that PAC-3 is sufficient for SK and THAAD is not needed? If such basic reasoning escapes you, I am at a loss on how to raise your comprehension level.

Apparently, the South Korean government agrees with me. They did not think THAAD is necessary for Seoul and its surrounding areas which amount 20 millions and the political and economical heart of the countries. Instead, as I said, they believe PAC-3 is sufficient for that purpose.

If you care, go and search through Korean news papers or forums.

640
 

FORBIN

Lieutenant General
Registered Member
THAAD range from Seongju
C Sud THAAD Seongju.jpg

The Army will have five operational THAAD units by the end of the year as demand signals for capability growth across multiple regions. The Army still has a requirement for nine batteries but has only funded seven in the five-year defense plan.
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Based to Ft Bliss/Texas home of the Air Defense Artillery, 11th ADA Brigade which have also 4 Patriots Bat each 24 TEL in 3 Batteries, 600 troops.
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US Army have 17 Patriots Bat and in more one Counter Rocket, Artillery, and Mortar Bat with Phalanx.
Also 33 GBI, 29 Alaska, 4 to Vandenberg and 14 in order for 2017.

A little unusual US Army have all SAM, USAF nothing.
 
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