Russia Vs Georgia..a widening crisis!

kliu0

Junior Member
I stayed up watching CNN on the breaking news of the meeting between German chancellor and Georgian president. Seems Germany was an strong advocate for Georgia into NATO. Georgian president was so angry, he was quoted as saying that we had told the media about Russia going to attack Georgia and everyone ignored it. Some of his other statements sounded like the war was going to continue, including "we will not surrender, we will defend our capital".
 

SampanViking

The Capitalist
Staff member
Super Moderator
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Don't get too over excited kids, as the results of this are already plain to see and everybody is just making sound bites for domestic consumption and the record.

President Medvedev has agreed to start a slow process of troop withdrawal tomorrow, but that Peacekeepers will remain. In other words the 4th Mechanised Infantry Division will now become the 4th Mechanised Peacekeeper Division.

Now seriously, think about it, having come so far, does anybody really believe that Russia is simply going to give up what they have achieved and paid the price of doing so and go home empty handed, simply because Bush, Brown, Sarkozy and Merkel " are a little bit cross with them"? Hardly, they will wait until they get exactly and everything that they want.

Russia currently occupies all the country except for the Capital and the capture of that is simply one provocation away.
 

Mr T

Senior Member
go home empty handed

Russians appear quite happy that Georgia has been given a beating - that in some ways would be enough for them. That plus damaging so much of the Georgian military and probably setting up the two rebel regions for independence/annexation by Russia is hardly "empty-handed".

they will wait until they get exactly and everything that they want.

They will say that regardless of what happens.
 

Finn McCool

Captain
Registered Member
I have two general remarks here.

Firstly, I think that the Georgian Army made the correct decision in not fighting for Gori, Porti, Igotei and the road to Tiblisi. Their ability to hold back the Russians had been largely destroyed, and they couldn't have slowed the Russians down much. They would have inflicted casualties no doubt, but its much more sensible for them to disperse, for several reasons. It allows them to politically play the victim, and show that they are not violating the ceasefire they called for. Also it allows them to preserve the majority of their manpower and small arms, and even unit cohesion at a smaller level. That forms the basis for an eventual guerilla campaign.

Secondly the Battle of Tskhinvali also has a real lesson: modern conventional combat on a large scale is so destructive, the tools and art of killing so refined, that it is very difficult for a force to hold up for more than a few days. The Georgians seemed to be a fairly competent force that was relatively well equipped, yet the Russians were able to use their advantage in air power to destroy them in three days. The two lessons that we can learn from this are 1) Air power kills. We've learned this one before but it was Russia's main advantage over the Georgians here and it showed. 2) Even marginal advantages play major roles in high intensity combat situations. The Russians had a relatively small advantage in numbers of tanks, guns and men but they came out on top because casualties are taken so fast once battle is joined.
 

arla

Just Hatched
Registered Member
The last week sure was interesting and dangerous.
Thanks for the links to pics and info gentlemen.

I get info from contacts and friends. my info was no worse but in some cases better than what was coming out of the media. There is plenty of cases were guys come up with off the wall info based on things I have no idea about on this board. BUT, every thing I post was in good faith trying to give good info before the media. Soooo, sense many of the posters do not like even a hint that the russian military may be poor or doing poorly or acting poorly and then you questin my integraty I will not post.....enjoy russian news media reports.
I don't think so.. everyone here were giving links except you. It's more probably that you just knew A & B(from some other forum or online source) and made up C-Z based on that. I mean your statements regarding snipers and wounds.. its almost like your friends were just roaming around during war time and were inspecting the Russian wounded.
And given the fact that you yourself admit that you don't like Russians just proves that your info should be taken with a pinch of salt.
 

adeptitus

Captain
VIP Professional
There's a difference between what people wish to happen, versus reality. Some people thinks if they wish really hard, the reality would change to match their expectations. Unfortunately faith doesn't always work, or else who'd all live under theological government.

Pro-Military folks hate it when politics and civilian government gets in the way, but it's because civilian government is in power that our governments doesn't resemble that of Starship Troopers.

The "west" loves Mikheil Saakashvili because of his background, his wife's background, and his pro-NATO/US/etc stance. He has a degree from George Washington University Law School, worked as a lawyer in the US, human rights officer in Georgia, and married a Dutch wife who graduated from International Institute of Human Rights in Strasbourg. It's the ultimate expression of West-European moral, ethical, and political dominance over the East, right up to Russia's border.

BUT we underestimated one crucial factor, that no man who claws himself to the throne is without ambition.

The Russian troops may or may not have performed well, but the end result is that the status quo in Georgia with 2 rebel provinces will probably be maintained at EU's expense in the future. As Russian "peace keepers" cannot be trusted, the EU will probably want to deploy their own peace keepers, which would actually prevent Georgia from resolving this militarily in the near future. And with EU peace keepers in the front, the Russians can pull their forces back and let someone else do the work.
 

kliu0

Junior Member
Anyone catch the video of Russian troops firing upon Turkish reporters? Their car got riddled with bullets.....anyway.....more news of Russian troops being "random", tanks crushed Georgian police cars around 30km from the Capital of Georgia. Rumours and some evidence that Russia has moved Short Range Ballistic Missiles near Georgia to hold its taken ground in Georgia.
 

Finn McCool

Captain
Registered Member
Here's the US military's opinion on Georgian performance.

US trainers say Georgian troops weren't ready By MATTI FRIEDMAN, Associated Press Writer
1 hour, 34 minutes ago



TBILISI, Georgia - U.S. military trainers — the only American boots on the ground — say the Georgian soldiers they knew who were sent to battle the Russians had fighting spirit but were not ready for war.

The Georgians were "beginning to walk, but by no means were they running," said Army Capt. Jeff Barta, who helped train a Georgian brigade for peacekeeping service in Iraq. "If that was a U.S. brigade it would not have gone into combat."

Now on standby at the Sheraton Hotel, unarmed and in civilian clothes, six of the American trainers offered a glimpse at the 5-year-old U.S. mission and at the performance of the outnumbered and outgunned Georgian military in its defeat by Russia.

The Americans arrived for work Aug. 7 to unexpectedly find training was over for the unit they had been assigned to for three weeks, the 4th Brigade: The Georgian soldiers were sitting on their rucksacks and singing folk songs as an Orthodox priest walked among them chanting and waving incense.

Then buses and trucks took the troops off toward Georgia's breakaway region of South Ossetia, where there had been sporadic clashes and shelling during the previous week. That night the Georgian army began an offensive trying to retake the Russian-supported region, and by the following morning hundreds of Russian tanks were rolling across the border.

"From what I've heard, a lot of the 4th Brigade was hit pretty hard," said Rachel Dejong, 24, a Navy medic from Richmond, Ind.

The Georgian company commander who was training alongside Barta was killed.

"Some of the soldiers seemed really grateful for the things we taught them," said Barta, a 31-year-old from Columbus, Ohio, but he acknowledged it was not nearly enough.

Trainers start with the basics of infantry warfare — shooting, taking cover, advancing — then on to squad and platoon maneuvers, Barta said.

The Georgians do not lack "warrior spirit," he said, but added that they weren't ready for combat.

They inherited bad habits from the Red Army, whose soldiers wouldn't move without a direct order from a superior, and need to be taught to think on their own, Barta said. To make things more difficult, many soldiers "come from the hills of Georgia, and some of them sign for their paycheck with an X," he said.

The Georgian army has five regular infantry brigades, each with some 2,000 troops. Only one of them — the 1st, which was rushed home from Iraq by U.S. planes after fighting broke out — has been trained to a NATO level.

There are also units of poorly trained reservists, Georgian men who do 18 days of one-time military training and then eight days a year into their 40s. Officially, the government says it has 37,000 regular soldiers and 100,000 reservists.

Speaking on condition of anonymity, some of the American trainers spoke bluntly about problems with the Georgian troops, who one veteran sergeant said "got torn up real bad."

The Americans were training them to use the U.S. military's M-4 rifles, he said. But when fighting broke out, the Georgians went back to the Soviet AK-47, the only weapon they trusted. They appeared incapable of firing single shots, instead letting off bursts of automatic fire, which is wildly inaccurate and wastes ammunition, he said.

Another problem was communications: As soon as combat began, the army's communications network largely collapsed, he said, so troops conducted operations using regular cell phones. That left their communications easily accessible to Russian intelligence.

"Were they ready to go? The answer is no," the sergeant said.

The U.S. trainers come from different branches of the military: Marines, Army, Navy and special forces. Most have combat experience in Iraq or Afghanistan. At the moment, according to the trainers, there are fewer than 100 of them in the country.

Officially their job is to get the Georgians ready to serve in Iraq, where the country has maintained a 2,000-man contingent.

Unofficially, some of the trainers acknowledge, the program hopes to give the U.S. a more robust ally on Russia's border in a country that houses a vital oil pipeline.

The Americans aren't the only ones here. Georgian corporals and sergeants train with Germans, alpine units and the navy work with French instructors, and special operations and urban warfare troops are taught by Israelis, said Georgia's deputy defense minister, Batu Kutelia.

While the U.S. mission is specifically aimed at getting troops ready for Iraq, the "overall goal is to bring Georgia up to NATO standards," Kutelia said in an interview at the Defense Ministry on Sunday.

This former Soviet republic has allied itself with the West and has hopes of joining NATO, ambitions that Russia has seen as a challenge to its influence and security.

Kutelia said Georgian troops who had trained with the Americans and other foreign forces — about half of the military — performed better in the war than those who didn't.

It isn't clear how many Georgian units actually had a chance to put what they learned into practice.

One Georgian officer who returned from the front said the army succumbed not to one-on-one combat but to overwhelming Russian air power. The officer, who appeared shaken by what he saw, showed photographs of Georgian military jeeps destroyed from the air, the bodies of their occupants lying bloated on the road.

He would not give his name because he was not authorized to speak to journalists.

Barta, the Army captain, said of the company he was training: "I know specifically that Bravo Company, I'm sure, and I hope from what I did for them, that they're better off than they would have been if this happened four weeks ago."

An independent Georgian military expert, Koba Liklikadze, said the U.S. training was not a deciding factor, attributing the army's loss to bad decisions by the government. Georgia declared a cease-fire too soon, he said, which demoralized the troops before most of them had a chance to fight.

"It was not an absolutely decisive factor whether Georgians were trained by Americans or not," he said. "What happened was due to the political decision of Georgian authorities, and not the performance on the ground."

The U.S. program has been interrupted, and critically damaged, by the war. The Georgian army has been dealt a harsh blow: While official statistics claim 180 fatalities, soldiers and civilians, Liklikadze estimated the number of dead or missing soldiers at 400.

Many Georgian military bases, including the main U.S. training facility at Vasiani, were damaged or destroyed.

The U.S. trainers now lounging at the Tbilisi Sheraton have been relegated to following the situation from the hotel's carpeted halls and glass elevators. They seem eager to either get back to work or leave.

With the future of their mission uncertain, the trainers have been drafted to help the U.S. aid operation that began last week. But it is hard to avoid the impression they would rather be elsewhere.

"I'm not saying that we're suffering here with the one million-thread-count sheets or checking out the local females at the pool," said Capt. Pongpat Piluek, a veteran of the Afghanistan war. "But if our job now is to sit here and put down roots in the couch, I'd rather do it at home."
 

Norfolk

Junior Member
VIP Professional
Even marginal advantages play major roles in high intensity combat situations. The Russians had a relatively small advantage in numbers of tanks, guns and men but they came out on top because casualties are taken so fast once battle is joined.

The other thing here of course was the continuing Russian predilection for utter disregard of own casualties. Most of a Tank Battalion Tactical Group was apparently wiped out during the initial Russian lunge at Gori, but that Georgian tactical success only bought time for the Georgians to get out of town as the sheer mass of Russian force was subsequently brought to bear. The Russians could absorb losses that would cripple the Georgians (or for that matter, many Western Armies), and just keep pushing on, which of course is what they did (after levelling the area with artillery and air strikes - another continuing Russian predilection).

BTW, nice analysis, Finn.:)

It seems that the Russians lack a certain sense of urgency in withdrawing from Georgia - and according to the Defence Ministry, a withdrawal is only being considered; no orders have been given. Instead, Russian troops are incrementally edging closer to Tblisi, and have not only re-occupied some areas that they had raided earlier, but are now pushing into new areas of the country. The Russians, where they are not advancing, are
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SampanViking

The Capitalist
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Anyone catch the video of Russian troops firing upon Turkish reporters? Their car got riddled with bullets.....anyway.....more news of Russian troops being "random", tanks crushed Georgian police cars around 30km from the Capital of Georgia. Rumours and some evidence that Russia has moved Short Range Ballistic Missiles near Georgia to hold its taken ground in Georgia.


Another little bit of revisionism I see!

The Turks were fired on by Georgians not Russians (a fact carried by the great and holy BBC itself). Its hardly a surprise as Turko/Georgian relations are very strained themselves on account of unresolved territorial disputes and the recent acquisition of a another small break away zone on the coast by Georgia on the Turkish border earlier this year. Some have accredited this as being the the factor that encourages Saaksavili to try and have a crack at South Ossetia.
 
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