Renminbi (RMB)/Yuan Appreciation & Internationalization

Michael90

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Wrought

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Indonesia signed a reciprocal agreement w.r.t. issuing sovereign bonds in domestic markets.

The reciprocal sovereign bond issuance agreement between China and Indonesia marks a strategic breakthrough. For the first time, China will be allowed to issue yuan-denominated sovereign bonds directly in Indonesia’s domestic capital market, with Indonesia receiving similar rights in China’s market.

For China, the agreement advances the long-term goal of internationalizing the renminbi. Unlike swap lines that merely provide emergency liquidity, a reciprocal bond market creates a durable, two-way asset relationship. Indonesian pension funds, insurers and banks that buy CGBs become structural holders of yuan assets, creating natural demand for hedging instruments, custody services and eventually a deeper renminbi bond ecosystem across Southeast Asia. This moves China closer to its ambition of building an alternative Asian financial architecture that operates parallel to — and potentially independent of — the dollar-based system. The combination of CGBs as a safe haven and the Indonesia agreement carries significant geopolitical weight. At the strategic level, China is steadily eroding the dollar’s “exorbitant privilege.”

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sunnymaxi

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Russian central bank wants mandatory RMB reserves for lenders.

Russia's central bank wants commercial banks to hold mandatory reserves of yuan to prevent shortages of the Chinese currency in the foreign exchange market and rein in excessive lending, Governor ‌Elvira Nabiullina said on Tuesday.

Interest rates on yuan swaps jumped above 40% in March, driven by heavy yuan lending and reduced inflows of the currency as weak oil prices hit Russia's export earnings early in the year.

The yuan has become Russia's most-traded foreign currency after Western sanctions on many Russian banks and on the Moscow Exchange curtailed dollars and euro trading, pushing it into the over-the-counter market.

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tphuang

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China and US gold trade data show the obvious link that US is directly/indirectly settling trade deficit with China through Gold. Looking at USD/CNY today, I see exchange rate drop to 6.8115. This is lowest since January 2023 when China just opened up post COVID
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Wrought

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Pakistan is the latest entrant to the onshore yuan bond market.

Islamabad seeks to raise as much as US$250 million through its first-ever sale of the bonds – yuan-denominated debt instruments sold by foreign entities in mainland China’s onshore market – as early as this week. Finance Minister Muhammad Aurangzeb confirmed on Saturday that Islamabad was preparing to access Chinese capital markets with the sale – the first tranche of a broader US$1 billion programme that Islamabad has been pursuing since at least December. The three-year bonds, focused on sustainable development, will carry guarantees from the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) and the Asian Development Bank covering 95 per cent of the debt issuance, according to Bloomberg.

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neutralobserver

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Pakistan is the latest entrant to the onshore yuan bond market.



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It went very well. It was heavily oversubscribed.
Pakistan sold its first yuan-denominated notes in China’s onshore market, marking its cheapest foreign-currency bond offering ever The bond was more than five times oversubscribed, helping to drive the borrowing cost lower than Pakistan's outstanding dollar notes.

 

jli88

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It went very well. It was heavily oversubscribed.



This is literal madness. 2.5% for a country (no offense to Pakistan) who has been in near-default multiple times, and is still facing loan repayment issues.

China's own government raises at ~1.3%. (Completely risk free rate of return)

This is literal madness, chinese markets need to mature by facing some pain I guess.

Edit: Finally was able to make sense of this issuance. AIIB/ADB jointly have guaranteed 95% of the debt issuance, which coupled with strong ratings for both, makes the coupon rate realistic.

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