Renminbi (RMB)/Yuan Appreciation & Internationalization

Wrought

Senior Member
Registered Member
In recent years, Chinese banks are increasingly shifting away from USD loans and towards RMB loans to developing countries.

Dollar-denominated cross-border bank lending to emerging market economies (EMEs) declined almost 10 percent between the start of 2022 and early 2024.
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According to our analysis using both public and restricted BIS banking statistics, this is largely because of a shift in the currency composition of lending abroad by Chinese banks. With both economic and geopolitical considerations supportive of the trend, Chinese banks have notably reduced their dollar lending to other emerging market economies (EMEs), increasing lending in renminbi (RMB).

We find that this recent decline in dollar-denominated lending by Chinese banks is outsized compared to that by other banks. Although Chinese bank incentives are opaque, we suggest two potential and complementary reasons for this difference: (1) Increasing U.S. and euro-area interest rates, which substantially raised funding costs in the two currencies most commonly used in cross-border lending (dollar and euro) and left Chinese banks in the unusual position of having one of the lowest-cost home currencies among major international banks and (2) a reported intensification, in the wake of the West's 2022 sanctions on Russia, of China's longstanding desire to de-dollarize international transactions.

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Wrought

Senior Member
Registered Member
A decent rundown of various efforts to increase RMB usage globally, and progress therein.

In response to their anxieties over the country’s financial insecurity and thestrategic imperatives spelled out by the top leader, Chinese policymakers have accelerated efforts to construct a parallel global financial architecture They have followed three main lines of action.

First, China has deepened regional and multilateral financial cooperation through non-Western platforms to diversify its financial partnerships. Second, it has promoted the international use of the renminbi in trade and investment, alongside the development of a renminbi-based financial infrastructure. Third, it is leveraging its industrial comparative advantage in green technologies and manufacturing to support the renminbi’s role in global commodity pricing, thereby advancing its internationalisation. Taken together, these efforts reflect a multi-faceted strategy to fortify China’s financial sovereignty and autonomy against external geopolitical shocks and to assert greater control over its economic security in an increasingly uncertain global environment.

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fishrubber99

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Kenya is looking at converting some bilateral Chinese loans denominated in USD into Yuan due to lower interest rates for Yuan denominated loans.

"China is Kenya's biggest bilateral lender, and the country took on the debt to construct a $5 billion high-speed railway, one of the country's largest infrastructure projects to date.

Bloomberg News reported the plans to convert the loan earlier on Wednesday, saying it would save money due to lower interest rates in China compared with the United States."

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Wrought

Senior Member
Registered Member
Rumours have been swirling about yuan stablecoins for some time now. Most expect it to be offshore yuan from Hong Kong. The benefits are obvious but so are the risks; Tether for example is very popular for money laundering and sanctions evasion.

China is considering allowing the usage of yuan-backed stablecoins for the first time to boost wider adoption of its currency globally, sources familiar with the matter said, in a major reversal of its stance towards digital assets. The State Council - China's cabinet – will review and possibly approve a roadmap later this month for the greater usage of the currency globally, including catching up with a U.S. push on stablecoins, said the sources.

The plan is expected to include targets for usage of the Chinese currency in the global markets and outline the responsibilities of domestic regulators, they said, adding that the roadmap will also include guidelines for risk prevention. The country's senior leadership is also expected to meet for a study session as early as the end of this month, focusing on yuan internationalisation and stablecoins, which are gaining momentum worldwide, said one of the sources. In that meeting, senior leaders are likely to deliver remarks to set the tone for stablecoins and define the boundaries of its application and development in business, said the source.

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