PLA Strategy in a Taiwan Contingency

siegecrossbow

Field Marshall
Staff member
Super Moderator
And that's putting it nicely. Black belts fight; I made it sound like they at least make up a bunch of bullshit to win debates with but they don't do that. If they debate any further than some superficial devil's advocate that the professors will play during dissertation to an idea that they actually embrace, they fail. A PhD candidate in political science in the US gets his degree by kissing his professors' asses. Cite their papers, say you stand on the shoulders of giants, then find a slightly tweaked approach to validating the US system or criticizing the systems of rivals, basically say what they've always been saying in a slightly different way. Debate no one, because you survive by presenting ideas that everyone likes to hear. If you're debating your professors, telling them that they're wrong and you're right in recognizing the strength and morality of a rival system, motherfucker, the only people who are gonna be attending your dissertation are from the FBI... and ICE if you've got so much as a single molecule of melanin on your skin anywhere, even under your nutsack. And ICE is gonna be as pissed at you as they will be confused because you're using PhD words on people who barely read at a third grade level.
It’s pretty much a jobs program for the fail-sons/daughters of the elites who couldn’t make it working real jobs.
 

tankphobia

Senior Member
Registered Member
A PhD in a non-STEM field is like being a blackbelt in making shit up.
I mean, having PhD in STEM field doesn't stop people from sprouting BS. Whatever pays the bills. Actually once you have a PhD in STEM grifting becomes much more profitable than just going into your field like a normal person unless you're some industry leading expert.
 

manqiangrexue

Brigadier
I mean, having PhD in STEM field doesn't stop people from sprouting BS. Whatever pays the bills. Actually once you have a PhD in STEM grifting becomes much more profitable than just going into your field like a normal person unless you're some industry leading expert.
Not really the point. The point is that people like Anderson Cors calling themselves PhDs for credibility when the degrees that they obtained actually confer no qualifications whatsoever. STEM PhDs usually don't dare grift too hard simply because their knowledge and training makes them adverse to saying things that are too scientifically wrong, and also, since STEM fields are actually serious hard knowledge, they'd get crucified by their colleagues for going too far. For example, if an MD or PhD in virology was paid millions to support Trump as he said things like we should explore injecting bleach or UV light into ourselves to combat COVID or that it's a germ and nobody knows if it's a bacteria, virus or what it is, this person would not be able to really support or build on his statements but would basically be standing there trying his best to contain his cringe expression. A non-STEM "PhD" like Anderson, on the other hand, can say whatever crazy shit he wants because his entire field is just people's opinions.
 

Wrought

Captain
Registered Member
Some interesting tidbits about chemistry, including fluorinated gases

Carl Jackson: Taiwan is 100% reliant on Chinese supply chains today — 100% reliant. Chris, you talk about missiles, but I could just change that to NF3 as an example. If the Chinese government decided to put an export restriction on NF3, then the Taiwanese fabs would shut down.

This is where Chinese infrastructure will demonstrate its power. It’s not just about cost. They have multiple domestic options, all at the right capacity, all manufactured domestically. While it might be a few thousand kilometers away, there’s no import-export barrier requiring ships, planes, or export restrictions that could disrupt supply. That’s the real vulnerability in this business.

Chris Miller: That’s pretty ominous — the implications are obvious.

Carl Jackson: Taiwan — and I say this as someone who lives there and loves the country — is arguably the single worst location you could pick for semiconductor fabs. It has no natural resources, water is an issue, and there are significant geopolitical risks. They had a brilliant industry pioneer in Morris Chang, but if you were to look at a globe and choose where to drop a semiconductor industry, Taiwan probably wouldn’t make the list. It’s in seismic zone 4 — the earth moves regularly there. Not ideal for making these kinds of devices. But it is what it is, and they face existential supply chain risks.

And helium.

China has a challenge — the amounts of helium in their LNG production are extremely small. Where they produce it is basically all in the wrong place, distributed around a couple hundred different small sites. Their LNG infrastructure isn’t conducive to making helium, so they’re still a net importer of helium. That’s being fixed. In the Chinese way, they’ve figured out ways to produce their own helium despite these restrictions. But it’s going to take time to develop the infrastructure they need to stop being a net importer. At the moment, that’s probably their biggest vulnerability for the semiconductor supply chain. But as I said, it will get fixed — they’re busy trying to figure that out in really smart ways. Taiwan and Korea are in a similar position where the geology doesn’t allow economically for helium production. They will always be 100% reliant on helium imports, plus almost every other chemical needed to run these fabs forever, unless they do something they haven’t yet done in 30 years. Their supply chain vulnerabilities will remain when China’s fully fitted out.

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ACuriousPLAFan

Lieutenant General
Registered Member

Let's dive into this pile of sh1t, shall we?

1. US, EU, and Japanese troops prepositioned on the island as a tripwire deterrent.

As if they haven't made Taiwan an even juicier, target-rich environment already?

Also, bold of him to assume that the PLA would refrain from directly attacking military bases and facilities located outside Taiwan and along the 1IC as soon as they detect signs of reinforcements assembling in those sites/facilities which are deemed viable for direct military interventions by those backing the Wanwanese separatists to be launched from.

2. Impose a toll or tax on China's global shipping to fund Taiwan's defense.

Good luck forcing the entire world to fine the world's largest manufacturer at their own expense lmfao.

3. Loan Taiwan an independent nuclear deterrent, for example by allowing a Taiwanese naval officer to occasionally captain a U.S. ballistic missile submarine. China should not know when the officer is in charge of the sub. This uncertainty could be enough to fully deter an invasion.

The Jai Sushis are already daydreaming about commanding an American-built-but-Japanese-crewed SSN to wipe out the US Navy's 7th Fleet with their Netflix adaptation of the Jai Sushi's manga "The Silent Service" - And that's assuming somehow the Murican masters wouldn't take note of all these "fantasies" until the "kaboom" moment.

Yet, now we have this ret4rd even suggesting that the Muricans should just hand over the keys for an SSBN to a lackey slave?

Also, does this ret4rd even know what the procedures of launching nuclear-tipped SLBMs from SSBNs are, to begin with?



So I suppose we can affirm that "PhD" can sometimes become the acronym for "Permanent Head Damage", which is a 111% apt description for this guy's "PhD", considering his FLG affiliations.
 
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supersnoop

Colonel
Registered Member
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DPP propaganda is so weak. Advertising Pave Paws at this point is a day late, a dollar short. The updated version was already destroyed in Jordan by Iranian drone strikes (as pointed out in the article), a major embarrassment for the US. It’s like they don’t realize that the PLA doesn’t care if you can pick it up because that’s the point of the radar… like your propaganda is that the billion dollar system is not a piece of worthless junk? Congrats!
 

Wrought

Captain
Registered Member
PNG closing its Taiwan pseudo-embassy.

Posting on his Facebook page, Papua New Guinea Foreign Minister Justin Tkatchenko said the "physical presence of Chinese Taipei will no longer be recognised or required within the jurisdiction of Papua New Guinea," using the name Taiwan uses for certain international bodies like APEC. Tkatchenko said he had told the Chinese ambassador, Yang Xiaoguang, this week of the decision, and that Papua New Guinea viewed this "administrative alignment" as a vital step towards elevating ties.

Taiwan's foreign ministry said the move had not been discussed in advance and that it would talk to the Papua New Guinea government.

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