PLA Strategy in a Taiwan Contingency

tokenanalyst

Lieutenant General
Registered Member
It's working for Iran. China wouldn't attack civilians anyway, it's a waste of ammunition and effort besides being a war crime. There are too many places for drones and missile launchers to hide.
Anything that allows that US to launch weapons towards China, launchers, radars, warehouses, whatever, if is the middle of the street the the street is gone, if they have to use a swarm of drones with visual autonomous identification they will use it and they have it.
 

tokenanalyst

Lieutenant General
Registered Member
It's working for Iran. China wouldn't attack civilians anyway, it's a waste of ammunition and effort besides being a war crime. There are too many places for drones and missile launchers to hide.
And there is also the situation that countries hosting US weapons will bear the responsibility for what is hit in China. If is a power plant in China from a missile in Philippines a power plant or multiple power plants will be hit in that country.
 
Last edited:

Inque

New Member
Registered Member
Placing several LUCAS launchers on the Philippine island is of no significance at all; they simply cannot break through China's air defense network.And a missile retaliation from China could easily destroy the US military bases in the Philippines.
The US isn't limited to just "several" drones. The limit to how many they can transport to the Philippines is how many they can build and transport by sea or air, which is enough to threaten any defense networks.
And there is also the situation that countries hosting US weapons will bear the responsibility for what is hit in China. If is a power plant in China from a missile in Philippines a power plant or multiple power plants will be hit in that country.
If the Philippines protests against the US after China retaliates, what's going to force the US to listen?
The production speed of Shahed 136 in Iran is hundreds of times faster than that of LUCAS in the United States. Please do not insult Iran.
The US drone production rate is effectively infinite if China can't dislodge them from the Philippines and if the US can keep resupplying their forces there with regular shipments, which it can.
Don’t need ships. Destroy all ports, use air power to destroy all ships approach the islands. Do the same to Japan and South Korea.
Easier said than done. There's also cargo planes. China can't shoot down cargo planes landing on the eastern coast of those countries, let alone ships.
 

plawolf

Lieutenant General
His point is that even a lower end medium fighter can operate at this distance, let alone the heavies which can do so a lot more comfortably.

Should be pointed out the J10 is only lower-end in China. It did absolutely annihilate 7 top-tier outside of China fighters for no loss recently. I think that’s the other half of the point being made, no need for J16s never mind J20s as the J10s would comfortably have this.
 

manqiangrexue

Brigadier
The US isn't limited to just "several" drones. The limit to how many they can transport to the Philippines is how many they can build and transport by sea or air, which is enough to threaten any defense networks.

If the Philippines protests against the US after China retaliates, what's going to force the US to listen?

The US drone production rate is effectively infinite if China can't dislodge them from the Philippines and if the US can keep resupplying their forces there with regular shipments, which it can.

Easier said than done. There's also cargo planes. China can't shoot down cargo planes landing on the eastern coast of those countries, let alone ships.
What are you talking about, infinite production of drones? That's China. America's production of everything is so finite, that after round 1 with Iran, it will take a decade to resupply its missile stocks and delivery to allies scheduled years in advance are being postponed, some of them indefinitely without even a new date while those allies are still forced to continue paying. And this is with China allowing partial rare earth shipments to the US. In a conflict against China, they will have no access to Chinese rare earths and they will face destruction of their military equipment at a rate that is magnitudes higher than what Iran is doing to them. There's not even going to be a point in putting anything on the Philippines cus the whole thing will be under constant Chinese satellite coverage and missile bombardment for any part that poses a mild discomfort to the PLA command.
 
Last edited:

tokenanalyst

Lieutenant General
Registered Member
If the Philippines protests against the US after China retaliates, what's going to force the US to listen?
If weapons are being fired from there. Philippines would bear the responsibility what is targeted with those weapons and should oust the US.
The US drone production rate is effectively infinite if China can't dislodge them from the Philippines and if the US can keep resupplying their forces there with regular shipments, which it can.
US drone production is not infinite and in fact is horrible, the drones produced are over expensive and ineffective specially compared to China who even medium size factories have their own supply chain secure and can operate at low margins.
 
Top