PLA Strategy in a Taiwan Contingency

vincent

Grumpy Old Man
Staff member
Moderator - World Affairs
I think a sustained no fly zone and naval blockade would likely collapse the Taiwanese economy in a matter of weeks.
Taiwan relies on imports for food and energy.

There would be no point prolonging the suffering for years.

Get it over with as soon as possible with minimal casualties and disruption for everyone, then afterwards focus on the reconstruction.
No just blockade, infrastructures on the island like airports, seaports, fuel depots, transformer stations, gas stations, etc should be bombed as well.
 

RoastGooseHKer

Junior Member
Registered Member
No just blockade, infrastructures on the island like airports, seaports, fuel depots, transformer stations, gas stations, etc should be bombed as well.
Yup, blockade must be complemented by sustained joint fire bombardment coordinated by PLAGF, PLARF, PLAN and PLAAF, as well as supported by cyber attacks and cutting of undersea cables. Pretty much everything except amphibious assault (boots on the ground). Otherwise the Taiwanese and Americans would simply ignore the blockage and gamble the China Coast Guard vessels executing the blockade wouldn’t dare to fire at blockade runners. This is why an arsenal of digit long-range FPV drones, loitering munitions, and long range rocket artillery is critical. And they must be able to last for weeks and neutralise 90% of Taiwan’s industrial capacity and infrastructure. Ideally for the PLA, following days of joint attacks, the Taiwan military would run out of most heavy equipment and suffer casualties in the six digits. Also, PLA units must be able to withstand and absorb counterattacks by Taiwan’s own missile force.
 

votran

Junior Member
Registered Member
No just blockade, infrastructures on the island like airports, seaports, fuel depots, transformer stations, gas stations, etc should be bombed as well.
so you finally understand why i said PRC leaving taiwan rich as hell for decades was a big freaking mistake ?

you can't take over some place easy if the population living there don't suffer and actually want a better master who offer better deal , better life

as right now the so called peaceful reunification between china and taiwan is a laughable joke dream

PRC don't have anything better , can't offer anything better for the taiwan population , no way in hell taiwan population gonna accept CCP as new master peacefully

just look at iran right now . i bet US invasion of iran gonna be cakewalk easy just like venezuela .

population suffer , no one have any kind of interest to defense the nation , the gov anymore , 1000% willing to betray doesn't matter how many good weapon iran military have they gonna get curb stomp easy just like venezuela
 

Brainsuker

Junior Member
Registered Member
so you finally understand why i said PRC leaving taiwan rich as hell for decades was a big freaking mistake ?

you can't take over some place easy if the population living there don't suffer and actually want a better master who offer better deal , better life

as right now the so called peaceful reunification between china and taiwan is a laughable joke dream

PRC don't have anything better , can't offer anything better for the taiwan population , no way in hell taiwan population gonna accept CCP as new master peacefully

just look at iran right now . i bet US invasion of iran gonna be cakewalk easy just like venezuela .

population suffer , no one have any kind of interest to defense the nation , the gov anymore , 1000% willing to betray doesn't matter how many good weapon iran military have they gonna get curb stomp easy just like venezuela
At the end, we should ask if xi has any resolve to play hard or not.
 
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