PLA Strategy in a Taiwan Contingency

S

supersnoop

Colonel
Registered Member
Maikeru said:
Yonaguni becoming increasingly important in any TW contingency:

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A sustained Marine Corps presence on Yonaguni could deny the PLA Navy access to the greater Pacific Ocean with area denial weapons fired from M142 HIMARS launchers and NMESIS unmanned anti-ship batteries, while also operating as a logistics hub ferrying equipment or supplies into Taiwan. Its close proximity to Taiwan also offers significant benefits that make PLA planning much more difficult in the broader scope of U.S. planning that aims to increase the number of aimpoints for China’s long-range missile systems.
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So the US is adopting human-wave tactics? Offering this equipment/personnel up for sacrifice and hopefully PRC runs out of long range missiles? How do they deal with Geran-type drones? PAC-3 trade? $5 million for $15,000?
 
R

Ringsword

Senior Member
Registered Member
supersnoop said:
So the US is adopting human-wave tactics? Offering this equipment/personnel up for sacrifice and hopefully PRC runs out of long range missiles? How do they deal with Geran-type drones? PAC-3 trade? $5 million for $15,000?
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USMC now have become the WW2 IJA charging hopelessly/stupidly into overwhelming PLA firepower ,hoping that China will run out of bullets/munitions before they run out of body/targets?It's obvious the Americans have been in Japan too long.
 
Wrought

Wrought

Senior Member
Registered Member
supersnoop said:
So the US is adopting human-wave tactics? Offering this equipment/personnel up for sacrifice and hopefully PRC runs out of long range missiles? How do they deal with Geran-type drones? PAC-3 trade? $5 million for $15,000?
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Wtf are they talking about long-range? Yonaguni is less than 500km from the mainland. Don't need long-range anything to hit it.
 
C

CMP

Captain
Registered Member
Wrought said:
Wtf are they talking about long-range? Yonaguni is less than 500km from the mainland. Don't need long-range anything to hit it.
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500 km is long range by US and Japan standards in the sense that they will need to place their longest range weapons on that island to strike the mainland.
 
Wrought

Wrought

Senior Member
Registered Member
I had to refresh my memory of who Jake Sullivan was, but good for him that he's capable of retrospection.

Jordan Schneider: Was it a mistake for Pelosi to go to Taiwan?

Jake Sullivan: Look, I want to be fair to the Speaker. I’m going to answer your question, but I want to do it in a fair way. I spoke with her about going to Taipei, and she basically said to me, “All you White House Democrats and Republicans — you’re all too restrained. I should be able to do what I want to do, and nobody should tell us whether we can go to a city.” She was pretty clear and direct in her view.

I believe that the cost to Taiwan of that visit far exceeded the benefit to Taiwan of that visit. For me, it’s pretty simple calculus.

Jordan Schneider: How so?

Jake Sullivan: Well, it led to not just an immediate reaction by China that put a huge amount of pressure on Taiwan, but it led to a change in the operational environment around Taiwan that has not gone back to the way it was before — substantive, negative changes in Taiwan’s immediate environment. On the positive side, some symbolism, I guess.
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Wrought

Wrought

Senior Member
Registered Member
CMP said:
500 km is long range by US and Japan standards in the sense that they will need to place their longest range weapons on that island to strike the mainland.
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No it's not, they have stuff like PrSM too. The article explicitly mentions HIMARS.
 
Wrought

Wrought

Senior Member
Registered Member
CMP said:
PrSM has a maximum firing range of 500 km so...
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Increment 1, yes. Subsequent increments extend that considerably. But the point was that it's not long-range and they don't need to deploy their "longest range weapons" there. Distance works the same for everyone.
 
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