PLA Strategy in a Taiwan Contingency

G

gpt

Junior Member
Registered Member
no_name said:
My feel is that the Chinese manned moon mission will eventually (longer timeline) results in a moon base that can be militarized in relatively short period of time if needed.
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This idea is shared by top American and Chinese leadership. As I've stated many times on the forum, the next few decades of cislunar activity will change everything here on Earth. Some of the things being suggested have ridiculous dual-use purposes, which will force a completely new understanding of deterrence, and consequently will bring everyone to the table for a new Outer Space and Arms Treaty.
 
Wrought

Wrought

Senior Member
Registered Member
enroger said:
There was a concept called "Brilliant Pebbles" in the cold war and it is the basis for the so called "Golden dome" project now. Basically you launch thousands of space based interceptors and spread them in LEO similar to Starlink, each interceptor has a certain delta-V available to maneuver.

Upon the detection of a launch, the interceptor that happens to be in the right place and the right time can maneuver to intercept it in boost phase.

There're reports that point out such a system is something of a lemon though and I tend to agree with them:
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The gist is that time window for boost phase interception is extremely short (3 to 5 mins), very small portion of your space based interceptors is in range to respond. A geologically concentrated launch from even a small nuclear state (say DPRK) can overwhelm you defense. Keep in mind your typical interceptor is not feather light tiny thing like your Starlink sate, those are KKV with at least 4km/s delta-V, the cost to launch and deploy them in numbers is far higher than Starlink. A credible defense system of this type is not economically viable.

While "Golden dome" maybe a lemon in missile defense, it could be extremely potent in the role of space warfare and space blockade. This is where I think it pose the greatest threat should US is able to field it.
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I'm familiar with Brilliant Pebbles, which is a LEO system. But the other guy specifically said not in LEO.
 
Temstar

Temstar

Brigadier
Registered Member
yuqi_memz said:
The "Taiwan independence troll army" that can't hide
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View attachment 162266
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A further enlarged list of cognitive warfare participants from ROC has been released, complete with each of their national ID number:1760153767849.png
Xiamen Police is offering a bounty of 10,000RMB for anyone offering leads that would lead to their arrest
Xiamen Police says they compiled this list from Taiwanese people reporting these individuals.
 
bsdnf

bsdnf

Junior Member
Registered Member
Moonscape said:
Doesn't China generally not do this unless they're fairly sure they can actually catch the people on the wanted poster fairly soon? Like with the Myanmar scammers.

It really does feel like something is going to happen soon. Lots of escalations all around.
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This is not the first time. Last time, identities of some Taiwan’s military cyber warfare personnel were also made public. This is a form of public humiliation.
 
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