PLA Strategy in a Taiwan Contingency

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supersnoop

Major
Registered Member
bsdnf said:
The truth is, when war breaks out, If the PLA is willing to do so, the people of Taiwan will most likely have to temporarily say goodbye to modern life, secondary disasters caused by the collapse of the city are far more serious than the collateral damage caused by attacking military equipment hidden in civilian facilities.

Taiwan's power system has little redundancy and most of Taiwan's electricity is generated in the south and transmitted to the north through a few transmission nodes. Once a few missile hit the main power generation and substation equipment, Taiwan's power grid will immediately collapse (in fact, Taiwan's power grid often collapses, for example, in 2017, one person's operating error caused a blackout across the island).

Power outages lead to communication failures, which in turn affect remote power transmission and control capabilities, creating a vicious cycle. Logistics and transportation are severely congested due to traffic light failures, public transportation is completely paralyzed. Failure of the cold chain system leads to rapid food spoilage, water supply interruptions, and almost complete medical shutdowns. The entire social and economic activities will be shut down for at least 48 hours after T+6 to T+8 hours. If the attacks continue and power is not restored, the city's food reserves will be depleted within 3-5 days, how many people will die as a result?
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Important to know that this situation had not improved in 20 years. In 1999, there was a huge blackout triggered by the failure of a single north-south powerline, so they did nothing to improve the redundancy even by 2017. This is not even mentioning the 2022 blackout which affected 5 million homes.

DPP has declared energy supply a national security issue and responded by cutting the available power by shutting down Ma an shan Nuclear Power Plant.
 
4

4Tran

Junior Member
Registered Member
gelgoog said:
That is retarded. Closing a nuclear power plant 40 years old. With modern reactor maintenance techniques such reactors can last 60 years and more.
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Just keep in mind that most DPP policies are made with the assumption that there won't be a conflict with the PRC. You have to think of the DPP like this: they are the independence party, but they hate the ROCAF and none of their supporters want to fight for Taiwan.
 
S

supersnoop

Major
Registered Member
One more point, it was another poster here that made it.

DPP is a party of lawyers and artists, basically no one has a technical background and most definitely not a military one. Most of the policy is based on feelings and emotions, not technical soundness. They will toot the independence horn, but expect someone else to fight for them, either KMT/ROCAF, or USA and Japan.
 
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zlixOS

New Member
Registered Member
supersnoop said:
One more point, it was another poster here that made it.

DPP is a party of lawyers and artists, basically no one has a technical background and most definitely not a military one. Most of the policy is based on feelings and emotions, not technical soundness. They will toot the independence horn, but expect someone else to fight for them, either KMT/ROCAF, or USA and Japan.
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A pervasive belief amongst DPPers is that somebody else's son will die for Taiwan.
 
plawolf

plawolf

Lieutenant General
oseaidjubzac said:
Because their children are in the USA, Australia, and Europe.
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Or they are too young to have children yet and too stupid to think about that far off into the future, or even the likelihood that they themselves might get dragged kicking and screaming into the trenches to act as living sandbags if they got their wish.

Young people are always the easiest targets for idiotic policies because they are too young to have much vested interest in the existing social economic order, indeed, often they see upending the existing order as a shortcut to the good times since they can just rob the lifelong savings of some rich old guy rather than having to spend a lifetime working hard to accumulate said wealth; are too naive to realise how little of the world’s reality they have experienced and know about so will easily fall for empty slogans and impossible promises; are arrogant and wain and will easily fall to flattery that the old timers are stupid and behind the times and that things will magically get done if they are given the chance to call the shots; are still hormonal enough to be easily enrage when they don’t get their way.
 
S

supersnoop

Major
Registered Member
plawolf said:
Or they are too young to have children yet and too stupid to think about that far off into the future, or even the likelihood that they themselves might get dragged kicking and screaming into the trenches to act as living sandbags if they got their wish.

Young people are always the easiest targets for idiotic policies because they are too young to have much vested interest in the existing social economic order, indeed, often they see upending the existing order as a shortcut to the good times since they can just rob the lifelong savings of some rich old guy rather than having to spend a lifetime working hard to accumulate said wealth; are too naive to realise how little of the world’s reality they have experienced and know about so will easily fall for empty slogans and impossible promises; are arrogant and wain and will easily fall to flattery that the old timers are stupid and behind the times and that things will magically get done if they are given the chance to call the shots; are still hormonal enough to be easily enrage when they don’t get their way.
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It is not just this. DPP is a party that has modeled itself as a party of opposition. Obviously younger people are attracted to the opposition of the entrenched order as you point out. The problem is that opposition itself is not really a constructive platform.

DPP has held the presidency for many years now, only interrupted by the Ma administration (LDH was basically DPP as well). Yet we do not see any lasting legacies from these recent decades. All the talk of semiconductor leadership, this is just DPP taking credit for the work done under the CCK authoritarian period which established TSMC, and many of the big electronics firms were established in this period too. Although Taiwan enjoyed an economic head start over the mainland, it was not able to maximize this opportunity. Take internet services for example, even within Taiwan the Japanese LINE platform is a leader, not even anything homegrown. Another example, Hong Kong continues to be able to leverage its strengths as a financial hub and is still the preferred destination for IPOs in Asia despite competition from Singapore (and some from Shanghai).

So this begs the question, where is Taiwan? Where is the DPP? Shutting down nuclear power plants and putting on LGTBQ shows.
 
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