PLA Strategy in a Taiwan Contingency

bsdnf

bsdnf

Senior Member
Registered Member
latenlazy said:
It’s possible that they’re waiting for Lai’s new years speech and then doing another surprise snap exercise if they don’t like it.
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Nobody really cared what Lai said, because he couldn't say anything meaningful either.

Be the one who sets the questions, not the one who answers. Exercises may use some action by Taiwan as a pretext, but the PLA will not engage in a one-on-one response that follows Lai's action.
 
A

AndrewS

Brigadier
Registered Member
tamsen_ikard said:
Because they are the ruler of the world. They have 60% of global GDP, they have the dollar and the entire world finance runs because of them, they have the entire world tech stack under their control.

Compared to that, what does China have? Just some production of goods? Just production alone will not give China superpower and the ability to do what it wants. They need to create brands, standards and systems.

They need to export not just their goods but their software tech stack, hardware standards, their currency. Essentially become an alternative of the west. Otherwize, when the war starts and China gets cut off by the west, not many countries will fall into the China camp.

If the choice is between trading with China and trading with the west, pretty much every country will choose the west, even if China is their biggest trading partner. Because access to western market, finance and tech is more important than trade with China. This is the biggest Chinese weakness and it must be overcome before China starts the Taiwan war. Cause the west will impose heavy sanctions on China and force every country to enforce it.
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As China has recently demonstrated with the US and Nexperia, if you get cut off from the Chinese supply chain, your factories start to shut down.

And with no production, what are you going to sell to the West?

So if it is a choice between China and the West, countries should choose China because there is at least some production.
 
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