Not like if China were cut off today you wouldn’t be able to chat with people on forums. There are Chinese alternatives for all that now.
PLA Strategy in a Taiwan Contingency
- Thread starter pugachev_diver
- Start date
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PLA Strategy in a Taiwan Contingency
Really need nazi race science to survive a nuclear war? your making this thread sound like some american neo nazis that wanted to nuke the world to save the white race!
Do you remember the global outage caused by a Microsoft update error earlier this year? Coincidentally, China was barely affected.
plawolf
Lieutenant General
More importantly, China is seriously investing in ABM defence.
Right now the game is still deterrence, but at the rate China is going, it would surprise many even here how quickly China could build the foundations for being able to break MAD and actually have winning an all out nuclear exchange as an actual achievable and realistic outcome.
I'm not sure about that.... In the context of ICBM, defense is so much more expensive than offense, the math doesn't work out.
I think China will increase nuclear arsenal to match the US, making sure of overwhelmingly credible MAD.
A nuclear arsenal that ensures mutual destruction is sufficient; having more is meaningless and would waste excessive resources on nuclear weapon maintenance. Russia currently spends over half of its military budget on nuclear weapon maintenance, contributing to its slow military development.
Thus, after ensuring the ability to achieve mutual destruction, the focus should be on building a comprehensive ballistic missile defense system. This will ensure your invincibility.
plawolf
Lieutenant General
ABM interceptors are expensive, but not even a rounding error compared to the value of the cities they can save. Not to mention the human lives they will save.
Chinese manufacturing capabilities are orders of magnitude greater than America’s overall. If an all out arms race breaks out, I would not bet against China being able to outbuild American ICBMs dozens or even hundreds to one with interceptors. Especially not with the way the Sentinel programme has been performing thus far.
Besides, the key to breaking MAD isn’t about Golden Dome, but rather with Star Wars space based sensors and weapons networks. It’s far easier to shoot ICBMs from above as they are ascending then trying to shoot them down from below as they are descended.
Both sides are quietly but steadily gearing up all the building blocks for Star Wars. But neither side as yet want to trigger the space arms race by openly deploying weapons in space. But both are preparing for it by massively expanding their launch capability so that when the day comes, they can launch their network faster than the other side and win the key initiative. But is a waste of time to gain the first mover advantage in orbit if you are not prepare to use that to proactively prevent opfor from getting their own network up. As otherwise they will just put their own network up in response and level the playing field again.
Start Wars is basically an endgame move where you present your opponent with a serious use it or lose it dilemma with regards to their nuclear strike capabilities if it looks like you are able to make it a reality. It’s going way beyond achieving MAD and showing the other side you are not interested in a stalemate and wants to go for all the marbles. You don’t make that move unless you are prepared to glass the other side from coast to coast. We are not there yet, but we are heading that way awfully rapidly.
If everyone will be nuked back to the middle ages, just remember what China looked like in 600-1400 vs North America or Northern Europe.
North America is quite resource poor for things that can be extracted without industrial technology. Great Plains aquifers require motorized pumps. Most of their minerals require deep mining. Cold winters constrict the growing season and require huge effort in keeping warm. Much of the US has a climate like Mongolia.
China in contrast was always one of the richest countries in the world pre-industry. The soil and the weather naturally grows vast forests and fields and people only need light clothing. In the bronze age, there were even elephants in China up to the Yellow River, that's how rich it was.
Do you deny that there is a non-zero percentage probability that the Americans would decide to throw the dice with nuclear, biological and chemical weapons if they sense they are in a potential lose-it or use-it scenario? Do you not think that the Chinese should be prepared for this?
It's not the Chinese that are interested in wiping out the Anglos; rather it's quite clear that the Anglos are saying that they can not co-exist peacefully with an ascendant, or even dominant China. To that I (and I hope Zhongnanhai) says, "Very well. So be it."