PLA Strategy in a Taiwan Contingency

sequ

Major
Registered Member
Another one, found in a Weibo comment

weUoHyp.png
Only for humanitarian purposes such as disaster relief!

Pinky promise!
 

RoastGooseHKer

Junior Member
Registered Member
I predict that the mainland will not take action within the next ten years. During this period, continuous military exercises will force the island government to make mistakes, making it like a pressure cooker internally, forcing foreign capital and talent away, and isolating it on the international stage
Maybe the PRC will wait until TSMC moves a significant portion of its fabs to the U.S., so there would be less genuine material incentives for Washington to intervene militarily?
 

RoastGooseHKer

Junior Member
Registered Member
They did bank on Kamala winning the election so they tend to believe in unrealistic things.
I did talk to some greenies back when I was in college. They seemed to believe that regardless how powerful the PLA becomes, the Mainland would never dare to attack Taiwan given the PRC’s numerous internal problems ranging form structural economic problems to various forms of social divides. They were also pretty confident about US intervention. But up till this day, I still don’t quite understand such confidence in part with those of the populist Hindus in India.
 

supersnoop

Major
Registered Member
I wonder why deep greens like him are so confident about Taiwan successfully achieving independence? Is it because of firm beliefs in assured U.S.-led intervention? Populism alone does not explain why radical DPPs are so confident in achieving what they seek to achieve.
As mentioned below. Deep greens are super unrealistic.
Think about it this way, a strong military is needed, yet the DPP is calling the military full of traitors. Also, the DPP has held the Presidency for almost 10 years, but the number of enlisted personnel has continued to fall, which means DPP has not inspired anyone to defend the "country".
 

Biscuits

Colonel
Registered Member
I wonder why deep greens like him are so confident about Taiwan successfully achieving independence? Is it because of firm beliefs in assured U.S.-led intervention? Populism alone does not explain why radical DPPs are so confident in achieving what they seek to achieve.
They don't live in reality and don't have the advance planning to realize they're not bomb proof. The thought process goes something like "China isn't democratic therefore it can never win against a democracy, plus we have the god US on our side".

It's peak orc behavior where the bravery is endless because they have single minded faith in the dark lord until the very moment they realize they're going to get splatted. At which point it's obviously too late to turn around.

These "people" had their brains stewed in the sewage of Americanism and imperial Japan revanchism, they are consumed with single minded determination to attack China at any cost, completely headless of danger.

As someone else said, the majority of them were 100% sure Kamala would win (and as usual, they want her win because it's more likely she will militarily attack China, because these orcs don't have a life outside constantly being aggressive and coveting Chinese territory), which tells you something about what universe they live in.
 

coolgod

Brigadier
Registered Member
I wonder why deep greens like him are so confident about Taiwan successfully achieving independence? Is it because of firm beliefs in assured U.S.-led intervention? Populism alone does not explain why radical DPPs are so confident in achieving what they seek to achieve.
Lai Ching-te is obviously a CPC agent. He has a PRC ID card and he is fulfilling his promise, which is to steadily advance Taiwan independence (i.e., reunification). He is way better than Ma Ying-jeou, who just said some nice words during the presidency but didn't advance the reunification cause at all.

The joke on both Taiwan and mainland is that deep green is actually deep red in disguise :p
 

Biscuits

Colonel
Registered Member
Lai Ching-te is obviously a CPC agent. He has a PRC ID card and he is fulfilling his promise, which is to steadily advance Taiwan independence (i.e., reunification). He is way better than Ma Ying-jeou, who just said some nice words during the presidency but didn't advance the reunification cause at all.
Where is it said he has an ID card? Genuinely curious as otherwise he seems to be one of the most insane Americanism followers.
The joke on both Taiwan and mainland is that deep green is actually deep red in disguise :p
A lot of them are mindless attack dogs as I wrote above, but a fair bit of the "deep green" are simply glowing. In any extremist movement, there is a fair share of "members" that are there to spy on them and/or manipulate opinion.

Which is why US never wants to (and hasn't to date) send anything useful to Taiwan, they have no idea which of the separatists are real and which are glowies.

Possibly, Taiwan has simply been kept alive as bait, to make US throw their military carelessly. ROC armed units are overwhelmingly loyal to old KMT which are larpers that seethe over not getting the mainland, but they don't have the nerve to directly fight China either. The new ruling KMT faction DPP accuses them of being traitors to the mainland, however, DPP is also the no1 glowie destination.

So a possibility is that ROC finally baits US to attack, they send 4-6 carriers with the intention of landing on Taiwan. Only for 2/3rds DPP to reveal themselves as ops that start causing chaos while ROCA refuses to fight, so the whole US armada ends up in a real life version of AFU propaganda's account of the Kiev and hostomel battle.
 

coolgod

Brigadier
Registered Member
Where is it said he has an ID card? Genuinely curious as otherwise he seems to be one of the most insane Americanism followers.

A lot of them are mindless attack dogs as I wrote above, but a fair bit of the "deep green" are simply glowing. In any extremist movement, there is a fair share of "members" that are there to spy on them and/or manipulate opinion.

Which is why US never wants to (and hasn't to date) send anything useful to Taiwan, they have no idea which of the separatists are real and which are glowies.

Possibly, Taiwan has simply been kept alive as bait, to make US throw their military carelessly. ROC armed units are overwhelmingly loyal to old KMT which are larpers that seethe over not getting the mainland, but they don't have the nerve to directly fight China either. The new ruling KMT faction DPP accuses them of being traitors to the mainland, however, DPP is also the no1 glowie destination.

So a possibility is that ROC finally baits US to attack, they send 4-6 carriers with the intention of landing on Taiwan. Only for 2/3rds DPP to reveal themselves as ops that start causing chaos while ROCA refuses to fight, so the whole US armada ends up in a real life version of AFU propaganda's account of the Kiev and hostomel battle.



View attachment 142809

Guess who has a PRC ID card :p
Agent Lai is the envy of many overseas Chinese people.

He visited Shanghai over 10 years ago, though he might have gotten a PRC ID card even before that.
 
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