Is it reasonable to say that they’re exercising for this scenario under the assumption that the the pla wouldn’t dare attack them if they got involved like they’re doing in ukraine?
PLA Strategy in a Taiwan Contingency
- Thread starter pugachev_diver
- Start date
Quite an unrealistic scenario though.
Cuz if A. China does attack US military bases at start of hostiles, then yea that scenario basically not gonna happen unless US first defeats China.
B. Would be if China only attacks Taiwan and blockades (not so unlikely to happen), but in this scenario I don't see them allowing US ships or planes to land on Taiwan.
Maybe like, after the PLA gets control of the island, they could allow US planes to fly out US citizens lol.
c17 are big easy targets for chinese very long range air to air missiles . Might be worth it for china to make some h6s flying aa batteries. Cram in a large radar or slave it to an awacs and have the h6 fire off missiles that have a 500km plus range. If the chinese can make them mach 5 plus on final approach that could be nice
where does it say that that was the scenario? i think it makes more sense if the scenario was to supply US forces in the pacific.
Friend who is USAF who got to ride the C-17s few months ago. It was the exact scenario as i described. i can't show more pics but he sent a lot (not illegal or classified). it was cool seeing C-17s all around the Airfield and flying about rushing to another loaded with fuel trucks.
he can't tell me much more than that though other than there is consideration for RedAir and that several TW fighters and C-17 are already downed at the start. maybe you can find out it took place in may-june 2022.
Some photos with no Identification. (nevermind i opt not to post it, sorry but i'm not lying. its also surprised me but the photos corroborate the exercise. )
I trust your source, i guess the idea is to goad the chinese into firing the first shot at US aircraft or air base. refueling Taiwan fighters will only have marginal effect on the battlefield in and of itself. then the idea must be to delay the chinese until US can mobilize an intervention force. but if US intervention is inevitable, then there is really no reason for the chinese to avoid shooting the C-17s, or the air base they operate out of.
I did had a quick glance at those photographs. C-17s loaded with fuel trucks you commonly find in military airports and airbases.
Basically, if my understanding is correct, this is for a Taiwan blockade scenario, yes? C-17s loaded with fuel trucks would take off from Guam or Kaneda, land at ROCAF air bases in Taiwan, refuel ROCAF fighter jets before taking off and leaving for Guam or Kaneda again, and repeat.
Is this correct?
no clue he didn't give much detail other than the scenario i've described above, i could ask but it wouldn't be cool if i asked "for a Chinese military forum" haha.
seeing how its a surge operation from the photos (one of the photos are 3 C-17s lined up flying in approach, photo taken from the cockpit of the rear 4th C-17) it could be either its the start of chinese declaration of beginning of TW military operations or start of a blockade maybe. so your assessment would be close to reality. whilst fuel transport was mentioned and whats photographed, i believe they also mock transferred other supplies (military or food/water/etc i guess). eitherway its an exercise of a ballsy strategy.
i'm surprised you managed to see the photograph fast enough, seeing that the forum has a 5 minute window for edits, i'm not tempted on posting anymore. (a lot of pics have ID of people on them) but yes, its as you saw. unfortunately i'm not in the know much more than this.