PLA Strategy in a Taiwan Contingency

Gloire_bb

Major
Registered Member
I mean, if PLA turns a blockade exercise into an actual blockade and Lai didnt get to run, and once it becomes apparent America either chicken out or gets knocked out, assuming he didnt get killed immediately, does anyone expect him to die for Taiwan rather than surrender to PLA SOF?
Tbh would be rather surprised to find out he's el presidente.
Different place, different level of local pride.
People are different of course, and often open up in unexpected ways at gunpoint, but he's hardly a nepobaby.
 

Ringsword

Senior Member
Registered Member
If they paid off the body guards so that they purposefully get on a Z-20 instead of a Blackhawk due to “misidentification under low light conditions”, then yes. But what’s the point? There are other DPP politicians who’d love the promotion. You have to not only decapitate the hydra but cauterize the wounds as well so heads don’t grow back.
We had better believe that in an ARTW situation that PLA SF's will try to capture key gov't offices/official while securing/neutralizing entire defences(as bloodless as possible)-it is all or nothing and after the head of this hydra is cutoff remember this monster bleeds from Washington and Tokyo and has to be dealt with accordingly-no small or easy task with enormous repercussions for China/world.Venezuela and indeed all Latin American countries are entirely different .
 
Last edited:

meez

Just Hatched
Registered Member
And China's speed won't be the same as ASML 9 years (need, resources and support). I'd bet Chinese EUV will be mass produced within 3 years
But the problem remains the Chinese prototype was as big as factory floor according to report in reuters , compared to asml euv which is as big as a truck ,
so they need to minimise the euv homebuilt machine if they want it for mass production
 

bsdnf

Senior Member
Registered Member
But the problem remains the Chinese prototype was as big as factory floor according to report in reuters , compared to asml euv which is as big as a truck ,
so they need to minimise the euv homebuilt machine if they want it for mass production
They will try, but if there is really no other way, consumers will absorb these costs.

How good could ASML's earliest prototypes really be? If EUV is just manufactured and not used, how can it be gradually refined and improved? If that's the idea, then there's no point in even planning to do EUV in the first place; you'll never succeed.
 
Last edited:

Temstar

Brigadier
Registered Member
I've been tracking down supergun discussion in Chinese social media which resulting in me to finding this article:
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!

This is an aerodynamic analysis for extremely long range guided artillery rounds, the proposed round, intended for a 300mm gun with the goal of maximising range looked like this:

1767521517673.png

Muzzle velocity out of the gun is 700m/s. Projectile weight 530kg with 230kg of filling (surely this is either just the solid rocket fuel, or rocket fuel and explosive filling?). Launch angle is 55 degrees. The rocket assist kicks in 10 seconds after firing and provides a further 1000m/s or so during flight over a 40 second burn time. Maximum altitude reached is 55,620m. Before reaching maximum altitude the shells flies in an unguided mode with the four small canards undeployed.

The paper at this point simulates two scenarios:

1. Unguided flight - the canards remain undeployed and the round flies under pure inertia

Velocity over time:
1767521622650.png
Ballistic trajectory:
1767522186385.png
The round ends up travelling 280km over 241s of flight. Impact velocity in the area of 1200m/s


2. Guided flight - the canards deploy and maximises round glide ratio with an AoA between 5 to 8 degrees
1767522297302.png
In this scenario the round flies 420km and impacts at about 297.8m/s, thus trading impact velocity for a 33% range improvement.

Scaling this up to a 400mm gun, adding some other innovations (ramjet, better glide vehicle, higher muzzle velocity etc) and maybe 1200km could be reachable.

300mm gun with 420km range already has some interesting applications.
 
Last edited:
Top