Modern Carrier Battle Group..Strategies and Tactics

plawolf

Lieutenant General
Re: The End of the Carrier Age?

obviously you don't don't know how BM tracking/targeting work.

Since you obviously think you know better, how about you be kind enough to explain what I'm getting 'wrong' then?

as for test, i still didn't see any datas/parameters. sometime people need to stop been a fanboy and think about this more.

Since when has the Chinese released any test data or parameters on their currently fielded weapons that are not for sale? Might as well ask for the blueprints and a personal powerpoint presentation from Bossman Hu for you while you are at it. :rolleyes:
 

s002wjh

Junior Member
Re: The End of the Carrier Age?

Since you obviously think you know better, how about you be kind enough to explain what I'm getting 'wrong' then?



Since when has the Chinese released any test data or parameters on their currently fielded weapons that are not for sale? Might as well ask for the blueprints and a personal powerpoint presentation from Bossman Hu for you while you are at it. :rolleyes:

lets see we have data on J-10, we have pic/videos on J20 fly testing, but yet there isn't a bit of test data/reports on ASBM other than reports of development from some hype up media and those in pentagon who like to exaggerate chinese military. hiding BM tests is not same as hiding tests for a new prototype jet.

like peoples said many time before, a BM will travel to outer atomsphere/high altitude, so the trajectory is like an arch shape. China, US, and russia has ways to detect BM, so a test hidden from both US and Russia detention is much more diffcult compare to some jet tests. on top of that its never a good idea to lunch a DF21 without least give a heads up to its neighbors. At the begining of BM phase, no one know where that missile is going.

Typical military test involve some worst case performance test, meaning whats the MAX distance for the missile that can travel before it lose accuracy/damage factors etc. also under counter-measure environment whats the expected result etc etc. only after these test are sucessful or tested, then the product can be said is operational. Ive been working in aerodefence/defense for many years, thats how the military industry work as far as i know
 

s002wjh

Junior Member
Re: The End of the Carrier Age?

Actually, the mounting US losses would generate so much political pressure at home, that the US wouldn't be able to carry out such a confrontation far enough, to see the end of the tunnel. And this is the realistic grand scheme of things ----- military operations cannot be executed in a vacuum without politics. But this is off-topic, which is the reason that I haven't brought it up so far.



And you are assuming that only one initial wave of attack would have destroyed most of the counter-strike capabilities in China, for which it wouldn't happen, not even close. At the very least, China is too geographically diverse with the high-valued assets all spread out. And China would already have noticed even when such an air campaign is in the process of being assembled, let alone getting ready to strike. Once MRBMs and AShBMs have been launched to destroy the US airbases and the CVN flight decks, the superbugs would be out of picture, and the US wouldn't be able to continue with more waves of attack for a long time.



Because this isn't the military and we don't need loyal followers here?



You underestimated the weapons capacity needed for the superbugs to take up such a task.



The superbugs have to be destroyed before they need to be replaced. One is connected to the other. My interpretation wasn't off-based. But you are pulling numbers out of thin air again and again. The superbugs can only carry 8 AA missiles each time. And those are all they can use after MRBMs and AShBMs, have been launched to destroy the US airbases and the CVN flight decks.



Maybe you enjoy how the other "yes-men", have been entertaining you and wouldn't try to investigate more probable outcomes. First, several years ago China has already announced to switch from minimal deterrence to limited deterrence, and you can expect at least the western half of the US be thoroughly nuked in a counter-strike. Second, MAD scenarios would drag Russia into the nuclear exchange, for which I don't have to elaborate further. Third, your best hope is to be immediately vaporized, instead of having to sustain a slow death from wide-spread radiation contamination. It wouldn't matter if you were to survive from a bunker, when the atmosphere, soil, and underground water, are all contaminated with for example, Cs-137 with a half-life of 30 years or even worse, the deadly Pu-239 with a half-life of 24,200 years. Now, do you still fantasize of "winning" a nuclear war?



Let's just say that you probably haven't been reading what I wrote either, since you are so concerned of whether people are listening to you........

don't expect US will roll over after china cause some causality. If US is at war with china, it will be some serious issues, and US willing to sacrify alot to win this war. think WWII. its not gonna be something like libya war or iraq war.

also would people stop about the ASBM stuff, none of you has any data/test reports etc to support ASBM capability and if its operational

and as i said before a barrage of MRBM could only damage parts of US bases, without follow through attack runway and other things can be fix very quickly.

US will not just stop attack after the intitial wave, it will send out more sorties, missiles, and bomber to continue the attack. There will be loses but eventually US will acheive air superioty over outer region of china.

oh people should left out Nuke, that just MAD. china has enough nuke to eliminate most of US, US has enough nuke to destroy the worlds 5 time over.
 
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Hendrik_2000

Lieutenant General
Re: The End of the Carrier Age?

lets see we have data on J-10, we have pic/videos on J20 fly testing, but yet there isn't a bit of test data/reports on ASBM other than reports of development from some hype up media and those in pentagon who like to exaggerate chinese military. hiding BM tests is not same as hiding tests for a new prototype jet.

But they already tested Anti Sattelite missile and Anti Ballistic Missile both are confirmed by DoD. The people who designed those system confirmed that they leveraged the technology from ASAT to ASBM. Compare to ASAT ASBM is nothing but Child play. The Carriere relative to the Missile is practically stationery. China performed j20 test to make a political statement. J 10 wasn't reveal until 18 years after the first test. Here what Mark Stoker said

The R&D System: Leveraging National Assets for Technology Development

Successful fielding of an ASBM system would reflect the broad investment that China has made in S&T over the last 20 years. Much could be attributed to one particular program - the 863 Program - that facilitated the development of key technologies.30 Catering to both civilian and military requirements, the 863 Program is managed by China's Ministry of Science and Technology (MOST), cuts across organizational boundaries, and helps to breakdown stovepiped R&D efforts within China's civilian and defense S&T community.31 The 863 program, China's answer to the United States' SDI and Europe's Eureka program, has served as a funding source for a range of R&D programs and as a mechanism to leverage the talent


The anti-ship ballistic missile challenge to U.S. maritime operations in the Western Pacific and Beyond

that resides in China's university system.32 According to one estimate, 70 percent of the
members of expert groups that manage individual technology development areas received
advanced degrees from American, European, and other foreign universities.33

One example of how 863 Program initiatives could translate into a successful ASBM capability is the ASAT that was tested in January 2007. One senior Chinese space engineer with direct access to details on both the ASAT and ASBM programs confided that the ASAT and ASBM guidance and control packages share a common technological foundation.34 Both the ASBM and ASAT kinetic kill vehicle require compact and high speed on-board computing and software. Common technologies also could include passive imaging infrared (IIR) and
millimeter wave (MMW) seekers and automated target recognition (ATR) software.35


like peoples said many time before, a BM will travel to outer atomsphere/high altitude, so the trajectory is like an arch shape. China, US, and russia has ways to detect BM, so a test hidden from both US and Russia detention is much more diffcult compare to some jet tests. on top of that its never a good idea to lunch a DF21 without least give a heads up to its neighbors. At the begining of BM phase, no one know where that missile is going
.

Not necessarily so Iskander missile has a flat trajectory. The new Chinese missile will use the same trajectory. In fact missile skipping in and out atmosphere is an old concept pioneer by Qian Xueshen the father of JPL Lab and also the father of Chinese Rocket science

The boost-glide concept was first developed by Eugene Sanger and other German aerospace engineers in the 1930s and refined by Dr. Qian Xuesen, the father of China's space and missile program, while at the U.S. Jet Propulsion Laboratory (JPL) in 1951. Because it remains in the atmosphere for a good part of its flight, a missile on what CASIC Third Academy designers
refer to as a "Qian Xuesen trajectory" [钱学森弹道] would adopt hybrid characteristics of
both ballistic and cruise missiles.169 In Sanger's concept, a launch vehicle would propel itself to
the upper atmosphere then glide with no power until it hit denser air. It then would use kinetic energy to skip off the atmosphere back up to higher altitudes, similar to a stone skipping along water. Each skip reduces the available energy allowing the missile to glide towards its target. Sanger calculated that a missile launched from Nazi Germany would require three skips to strike a target in the eastern United States. The Russians also reportedly
flight-tested a similar boost-glide vehicle in 2005.170

A conceptual diagram of boost-glide skip
trajectory from a Chinese aerospace industry
study. The graph depicts the missile's
skipping trajectory in and out of the atmosphere and space.Source: Hu Zhengdong et.al., "Trajectory Performance Analysis and Optimization
Design for Hypersonic Skip Vehicle," Journal of Astronautics, 2008 (1), pp. 66-71

Chinese industry publications indicate interests in a boost-glide capability and perhaps onward to a CAV, similar to that carried out under the United States' Prompt Global Strike program.171 The CASC First Academy, CASIC Third Academy and PLA designers have conducted feasibility studies of CAVs, and appear to believe China could overcome the technical obstacles to fielding such as system.172 In one study, CASC First Academy engineers noted use of a ramjet engine for the CAV and cited issues associated with heating and use of infrared terminal sensors when going after sea-based and land-based targets. After detailed analysis, First Academy designers were able to identify 10 key technologies that are needed to


Typical military test involve some worst case performance test, meaning whats the MAX distance for the missile that can travel before it lose accuracy/damage factors etc. also under counter-measure environment whats the expected result etc etc. only after these test are sucessful or tested, then the product can be said is operational. Ive been working in aerodefence/defense for many years, thats how the military industry work as far as i know

They can do partial test again I quote Mark Stoke

Testing: Proving it Works

Test and evaluation is the primary means to ensure the customer that a weapon system functions well in its intended environment. Before a design finalization (dingxing; [定型])
committee certifies the design of an ASBM or other extended range precision munitions, a
series of integrated flight tests would be needed to prove its effectiveness. After design
finalization, the system would enter its low rate initial production [小批生产] phase.

In the R&D phase, testing of the ASBM would involve hardware-in-the-loop simulation of the guidance and control system, wind tunnel, as well as motor and flight vehicle testing in the run-up to a test of the entire system. China has a robust test and evaluation infrastructure.
PLA GAD-certified Key National Defense S&T Labs [国防科技重点实验室] are housed in
selected research institutes and civilian universities and are intended to foster civilian and military interaction in selected key technologies and foster innovation in key dual use
technologies.143

CASC's China Academy of Aerospace Aerodynamics, or the 11th Academy, has at least two
hypersonic wind tunnels, one for testing of a flight vehicle at Mach 3.5 to Mach 8, the other at Mach 5 to Mach 10. One source indicates that it is capable of testing flight vehicles at speeds of up to Mach 12. It also conducts simulations of stage separation, thrust vector control, boundary layer transition, and extreme heat conditions.144 Another testing facility is the China Aerodynamics Research and Development Center (CARDC), located in Mianyang, Sichuan province. Likely to be supporting preliminary research, CARDC has been analyzing alternative re-entry vehicle designs, arguing in favor of biconic configuration with flaps, similar to that
used on the U.S. Advanced Maneuverable Reentry Vehicle (AMARV).145
 
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s002wjh

Junior Member
Re: The End of the Carrier Age?

@hendrik

the article you mention is still an indication of development phase not an actual production phase. the test reports i'm looking for is similar to chinese anti-sat test in 07, where there is clear evidence of a test had been done. the article seem more about advantage of such missile, the potential technology it can use, and how it can be done etc. if i want to write a proposal or a PDR(preliminary design review) for a customer, i have to show them what kind tech, concept etc i can use to acheive the customer spec(in a sense the article you link is like that). it doesn't mention the result or tests taking place. For example we know clearly J20 exist, and it can fly, and based on its design we can estimate some of its feature and maybe its capabilities. Another example is chinese ICBM, we have data prove it exist, its range and some of its features. But we don't have data/test yet to say DF21 can hit a moving target at xx distance with xx accuracy, not only that we don't even have data to support ASBM has been tested on such yr on a moving target.

as for BM, even its a skipping BM it still has to travel to a certain altitude, which I bet US/Russia has plently platform to monitor such event(ballistic lunch etc). cruise missile, anti-ship missile don't goto thermosphere or above. After all how many non-US ally can lunch a BM similar to DF21(i think its DF21?). ill bet most of US intelligent gather resource are concentrate around china. overall there just too few data to support ASBM functionality/capability on the internet. and we can't make assumption with missing data.
 
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i.e.

Senior Member
Re: The End of the Carrier Age?

@hendrik

the article you mention is still an indication of development phase not an actual production phase. the test reports i'm looking for is similar to chinese anti-sat test in 07, where there is clear evidence of a test had been done. the article seem more about advantage of such missile, the potential technology it can use, and how it can be done etc. if i want to write a proposal or a PDR(preliminary design review) for a customer, i have to show them what kind tech, concept etc i can use to acheive the customer spec(in a sense the article you link is like that). it doesn't mention the result or tests taking place. For example we know clearly J20 exist, and it can fly, and based on its design we can estimate some of its feature and maybe its capabilities. Another example is chinese ICBM, we have data prove it exist, its range and some of its features. But we don't have data/test yet to say DF21 can hit a moving target at xx distance with xx accuracy, not only that we don't even have data to support ASBM has been tested on such yr on a moving target.

as for BM, even its a skipping BM it still has to travel to a certain altitude, which I bet US/Russia has plently platform to monitor such event(ballistic lunch etc). cruise missile, anti-ship missile don't goto thermosphere or above. After all how many non-US ally can lunch a BM similar to DF21(i think its DF21?). ill bet most of US intelligent gather resource are concentrate around china. overall there just too few data to support ASBM functionality/capability on the internet. and we can't make assumption with missing data.

correction:
It is You who don't have data...

That doesn't mean the Chinese don't have data.
nor does that mean DoD doesn't have the data.
 

Hendrik_2000

Lieutenant General
Re: The End of the Carrier Age?

@hendrik

the article you mention is still an indication of development phase not an actual production phase. the test reports i'm looking for is similar to chinese anti-sat test in 07, where there is clear evidence of a test had been done. the article seem more about advantage of such missile, the potential technology it can use, and how it can be done etc. if i want to write a proposal or a PDR(preliminary design review) for a customer, i have to show them what kind tech, concept etc i can use to acheive the customer spec(in a sense the article you link is like that). it doesn't mention the result or tests taking place. For example we know clearly J20 exist, and it can fly, and based on its design we can estimate some of its feature and maybe its capabilities. Another example is chinese ICBM, we have data prove it exist, its range and some of its features. But we don't have data/test yet to say DF21 can hit a moving target at xx distance with xx accuracy, not only that we don't even have data to support ASBM has been tested on such yr on a moving target.

as for BM, even its a skipping BM it still has to travel to a certain altitude, which I bet US/Russia has plently platform to monitor such event(ballistic lunch etc). cruise missile, anti-ship missile don't goto thermosphere or above. After all how many non-US ally can lunch a BM similar to DF21(i think its DF21?). ill bet most of US intelligent gather resource are concentrate around china. overall there just too few data to support ASBM functionality/capability on the internet. and we can't make assumption with missing data.

You didn't answer my rhetorical question. If ASAT Missile can hit head on an 2 m3 object travelling at 18000 mile/hr. How hard it is to hit 400m long Carriere travelling at 35 knot using the same technology?.

The fact that they didn't have full test mean that they have high confidence that the missile and seeker will do the job. Notice they used the same missile, the same seeker

BTW the ASAT test was revealed by Aviation week and not DoD For some reason Dod keep quiet 3 or 5 days after the test. Only when the news broke out did they confirm it. So it is not unusual for DoD to keep their finding secret

The Chinese anti-satellite system has been named by the Director of the Defense Intelligence Agency, Lieutenant General Michael Maples, in a Senate Armed Services Committee Hearing as the SC-19.[15] The SC-19 has been described as being based on a modified DF-21 ballistic missile or its commercial derivative, the KT-2 with a Kinetic Kill Vehicle mounted. The ASAT kill vehicle relies on an imaging infrared seeker and also has been described as a modified HQ-19 surface-to-air missile. The program is said to have been at least partially funded by China's 863 Program (specifically, the 863-409 focus area).[16] The closing velocity of the intercept was approximately 18,000 miles per hour, comparable to the American National Missile Defense system.[1
 
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IronsightSniper

Junior Member
Re: The End of the Carrier Age?

Actually, the mounting US losses would generate so much political pressure at home, that the US wouldn't be able to carry out such a confrontation far enough, to see the end of the tunnel. And this is the realistic grand scheme of things ----- military operations cannot be executed in a vacuum without politics. But this is off-topic, which is the reason that I haven't brought it up so far.

Heh, bring in economics, U.S. economy drops like butter without China, neo-cons take the helm, public opinion polls show a pro-war movement, etc etc. For some reason, anybody that's anti-U.S. thinks they can 'win' by pulling a Vietnam, which is impossible as well, many things. But, off topic.

And you are assuming that only one initial wave of attack would have destroyed most of the counter-strike capabilities in China, for which it wouldn't happen, not even close. At the very least, China is too geographically diverse with the high-valued assets all spread out. And China would already have noticed even when such an air campaign is in the process of being assembled, let alone getting ready to strike. Once MRBMs and AShBMs have been launched to destroy the US airbases and the CVN flight decks, the superbugs would be out of picture, and the US wouldn't be able to continue with more waves of attack for a long time.

Ha. You are so blind. Russia to North. Afghanistan, to the West. SoKo and Japan, to the East. Australia, to the South. China is surrounded and U.S. forces are proliferating all over the area. China's response? AShBM. You should remember that it was you who brought up the idea of the DF-21Ds being launched after the superbugs/prowlers/growlers have been launched. Therefore, they are indeed still in the picture, and can face and defeat the majority of what it meets in the air.

Because this isn't the military and we don't need loyal followers here?

Course not, but this is a Chinese-Defense forum, if you're just going to blab and then let me blab and have this blab-off then no one really learns anything and all this is done is wasted time.

You underestimated the weapons capacity needed for the superbugs to take up such a task.

You underestimate the U.S.N./U.S.A.F.

The superbugs have to be destroyed before they need to be replaced. One is connected to the other. My interpretation wasn't off-based. But you are pulling numbers out of thin air again and again. The superbugs can only carry 8 AA missiles each time. And those are all they can use after MRBMs and AShBMs, have been launched to destroy the US airbases and the CVN flight decks.

To be fair, I was going after a nice, even, round number. You can pretend that the superbugs went into some Hollywood-dogfight with the J-10s if you want. Your assumption, is of course, that each superbug is invaluable, and if destroyed, becomes useless. I am stating, that if in such a scenario, that a superbug is to be destroyed, more will take it's place. While in China, per J-10 destroyed, it is unlikely that even the dragon's factories can produce much more J-10s, after the Chinese IADS has been circumvented and the factories destroyed by a long-range semi-stealth missile from a B-2.


Maybe you enjoy how the other "yes-men", have been entertaining you and wouldn't try to investigate more probable outcomes. First, several years ago China has already announced to switch from minimal deterrence to limited deterrence, and you can expect at least the western half of the US be thoroughly nuked in a counter-strike. Second, MAD scenarios would drag Russia into the nuclear exchange, for which I don't have to elaborate further. Third, your best hope is to be immediately vaporized, instead of having to sustain a slow death from wide-spread radiation contamination. It wouldn't matter if you were to survive from a bunker, when the atmosphere, soil, and underground water, are all contaminated with for example, Cs-137 with a half-life of 30 years or even worse, the deadly Pu-239 with a half-life of 24,200 years. Now, do you still fantasize of "winning" a nuclear war?

Ahh...this again. I have already told the guy who suggested, why China's nuclear deterrence is a flop. Nuking Russia will get China nuked. Russia is best in a world where China doesn't exist. A MAD scenario will not be so, as China, even though they've officially "switched" to a "limited" deterrence, really doesn't have anything that is comparable to the strike capability of our Nuclear force. Like so, in a neo-con U.S.A., it's really irrelevant if you nuke our major cities, because, well, at least we know you're all dead.

Let's just say that you probably haven't been reading what I wrote either, since you are so concerned of whether people are listening to you........

Great, not even being original anymore. Like I've said, you revert back to old arguments when your present ones flop, you accuse the other side of the deeds that he has accused you to circumvent investigation into your deeds, lets be quite honest, you've been leading this discussion because I let you lead it to show you how flawed your thoughts are. Like I've said before, grand scheme of things, AShBM v.s. Carrier, Carrier wins, U.S.A. v.s. China, U.S.A. wins, accept that or not, one thing is true, that this is off topic, why you don't listen to me, I don't know, if you're going to say I don't listen to you, you're proving my point.

You didn't answer my rhetorical question. If ASAT Missile can hit head on an 2 m3 object travelling at 18000 mile/hr. How hard it is to hit 400m long Carriere travelling at 35 knot using the same technology?.

ASAT =/= AShBM. The former uses a Thermal seeker, the Latter uses an ARH seeker. Just because the one before me can do the same doesn't mean the one after can also.
 
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bd popeye

The Last Jedi
VIP Professional
Re: The End of the Carrier Age?

IronsightSniper, your fighting like a one legged man in an ass kickin' contest. You keep trying but you have no chance of winning. None. or this >> You went to a gang fight and your gang did not show up. And I can tell you why.

The Chinese side of this argument is this.. Our missiles will over whelm you. We will destroy your navy, air force and all your bases in the Pacific. You have no chance against out untested new shiny military equipment. We have you figured out. And the American people have no will to fight China. Plus like in a real war between the US and China we simply outnumber you. So give it up.

And you IronsightSniper say, We are the USA.. we are, we are, we are. Get it? You cannot win the argument. Because no matter what you post the Chinese side will debunk that argument in numbers you can't handle. You sir are standing alone.

You guys can continue the argument as long as you wish. Just don't get nasty.

I do not wish to join this discussion.
 
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