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Biscuits

Colonel
Registered Member
Where did you get the numbers 100-105 for 100 for teenagers? This is the numbers in Europe for youngsters. In China it fall down only recently to more normal level about 108/107 for 100 but that's a generation who will look for wifes in 20 years, and the men who are now starting to look for wifes or soon will are in the worst generation of 115 for 100.
I'm looking at young adults for China not at birth because during the 90s to early 00s at birth was skewed as rural areas sometimes didn't report girls until they needed to start working/go to school.

Overall I'm pro immigration as really other countries only failed at it due to racism and too strict hierarchy. And China can afford to be restrictive with citizenship as long as they open up the country more generally.

Polish puppet PM Mateusz Morawiecki sounds so silly:

"The Evil Empire has been reborn in the East. Russian barbarians threaten not only Ukraine. They threaten all of Europe and the whole free world. This is no mere incident, no coincidence, no maniac’s impulse. Putin has been building his Evil Empire for 23 years, in preparation for this conflict. New Europe understands this. It is time that Old Europe understood it too."

Russians doing a moderate amount of trolling
 

baykalov

Senior Member
Registered Member
The US military prepare a draft peace treaty for the Ukrainian conflict, US investigative journalist Seymour Hersh said in his article, published on the Substack platform Wednesday.

"I was told that two months ago the Joint Chiefs had ordered members of the staff — the military phrase is ‘tasked’ - to draft an end-of-war treaty to present to the Russians after their defeat on the Ukraine battlefield," Seymour Hersh said.

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The New York Times continues to update us in detail on the contents of the leaked documents:

A leaked document outlines four ‘wild card’ scenarios in the Russia-Ukraine conflict

The scenarios, as assessed by the Defense Intelligence Agency, include the deaths of Presidents Vladimir V. Putin of Russia and Volodymyr Zelensky of Ukraine.

A secret intelligence document obtained by The New York Times that was among those leaked on the internet this year provides insight into planning for contingencies one year into the war in Ukraine.

The analysis by the Defense Intelligence Agency outlines four “wild card” scenarios and how they could affect the course of the conflict in Ukraine. The hypothetical scenarios include the deaths of Presidents Vladimir V. Putin of Russia and Volodymyr Zelensky of Ukraine, the removal of leadership within the Russian Armed Forces and a Ukrainian strike on the Kremlin.

The document says that the war will likely remain protracted. But it describes how each “wild card” scenario could potentially result in an escalation in Ukraine, a negotiated end to the conflict or have no substantive impact on the war’s trajectory.

The scenario document is a fairly typical product created by intelligence agencies. It is designed to help military officers, policymakers or lawmakers think about possible outcomes of big events as they assess their options.

The document is marked as “RELIDO,” indicating that the decision to release the information — to foreign partners, for example — rests with certain senior officials. It is dated Feb. 24 and labeled with the marking “ONE YEAR,” suggesting the analysis was being carried out a year from the start of the invasion.

One of the four hypothetical scenarios games out what might happen if Ukraine strikes the Kremlin. A wide range of potential implications is identified. The event could lead to an escalation, with Mr. Putin responding to public outcry by launching a full-scale military mobilization and considering the use of tactical nuclear weapons. Or, public fears could cause him to negotiate a settlement to the war.

The Biden administration has been particularly worried about a possible strike on Moscow by Ukraine because one might prompt a dramatic escalation by Russia. The dangers of such an attack by Ukraine are one reason the United States has been reluctant to provide longer-range missiles to Kyiv.

Some analyses by intelligence agencies provide assessments of the most likely result of a certain event, but the wild card document does not. It describes various possible scenarios without assessing what might be most likely.

U.S. officials declined to say if the document was genuine, but they did not dispute its authenticity. The document is similar to others produced by the Pentagon’s joint staff that officials have acknowledged are real.

U.S. officials also warned that the leaked documents are dated, and in many cases do not represent the current assessments of various intelligence agencies.

A second top secret document obtained by The Times includes details on negotiations over Russian fuel prices in Africa.

According to the document, dated Feb. 17, Malian authorities were at the time unsatisfied with fuel prices and were continuing to negotiate with the Russian Ministry of Energy and representatives of Africa Politology, an entity linked to the Wagner Private Military Company.

This apparent pushback on prices comes at a time when the African market for fuel has become increasingly important to Russia as a Western-imposed price cap and as the European Union’s ban on imports of Russian refined oil products continue to shrink available revenue streams.

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siegecrossbow

General
Staff member
Super Moderator
The US military prepare a draft peace treaty for the Ukrainian conflict, US investigative journalist Seymour Hersh said in his article, published on the Substack platform Wednesday.

"I was told that two months ago the Joint Chiefs had ordered members of the staff — the military phrase is ‘tasked’ - to draft an end-of-war treaty to present to the Russians after their defeat on the Ukraine battlefield," Seymour Hersh said.

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The New York Times continues to update us in detail on the contents of the leaked documents:

A leaked document outlines four ‘wild card’ scenarios in the Russia-Ukraine conflict



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Looks like literally no one wants the war to continue. Why are people against Xi brokering a treaty again?
 

pmc

Colonel
Registered Member
Putin has been building his Evil Empire for 23 years, in preparation for this conflict. New Europe understands this. It is time that Old Europe understood it too."
Putin is preparing for long time. and it will become even bigger threat once Arab wealth shift away from old Europe.
I will say they had practice run during covid when Iran closed the border and Azerbaijan put fines on turkish truckers and alot of Turkish trucks have to reroute through Russia to avoid Iran. That gave certain level of confidence to Russia that it can handle this surge of cargo traffic. but this scale of cargo traffic can impede soldier rotations when they want to visit there cities and villages. only military helicopter aviation in thousands can accomplish this task. when you see the location of dark windows expensive Japanese SUV it gives hint where the activities are expected. Iran need to develop to take advantage of it.

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taxiya

Brigadier
Registered Member
One has to respect the degree of control the US manages to exercise over its "allies." China should learn from it for, in the future, when it will have similar opportunities to gain "allies" of its own. It is quite extraordinary how the US can manage to get Europeans, Canadians, Australians, etc. to act against their own interests, and be content while doing it.
images

There is always a payback time, true for US and true for anyone who try to emulate US. There is nothing that US does to admire or respect or to learn, it is plain stupid, shallow without history. US is not unique in doing what it did, the Roman and Mongols did the same, look at where they are.
 

taxiya

Brigadier
Registered Member
Looks like literally no one wants the war to continue. Why are people against Xi brokering a treaty again?
"I was told that two months ago the Joint Chiefs had ordered members of the staff — the military phrase is ‘tasked’ - to draft an end-of-war treaty to present to the Russians after their defeat on the Ukraine battlefield," Seymour Hersh said.

You missed the condition of US ending the war "Russian defeat".
 

Phead128

Major
Staff member
Moderator - World Affairs
"I was told that two months ago the Joint Chiefs had ordered members of the staff — the military phrase is ‘tasked’ - to draft an end-of-war treaty to present to the Russians after their defeat on the Ukraine battlefield," Seymour Hersh said.

You missed the condition of US ending the war "Russian defeat".
Basically a never-ending war because Russia would never be defeated by Ukraine. US likes never-ending wars, helps make military-industrial complex a lot of money.
 
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