I'm older than you bro, I remember using Netscape!
The days of dollar hegemony are numbered but should last longer than 18 months given major assets and financial instruments are still USD denominated, it'll take time to change this. Before Russia's SMO in Ukraine the USD hegemony probably had 10 years of shelf life left, and now definitely much less as the Global South goes yuan-rubles, those on the periphery of the China-Russia core will dedollarize quicker than say Africa and South America, but the trend is clear.
Ruble is backed by energy and commodities, Yuan is backed by manufacturing and tech, USD is backed by bullshit, the whole world sees this.
There is a theory the dollar actually died in 2019, and everything since then has been the US trying to cover up the stink, starting with the massive REPO issues in Summer 2019 and then from the coincidentially if not altogether convinently timed once in a century global pandemic that allowed US the cover and pretext to print more in 3 years than 80% of all dollars that had ever been put into circulation in the entire 225 year history of the USA, then to the US provoked Ukraine war to throw Europe under the bus, to crash the Euro and to create demand destruction on that entire continent, to now the Fed Reserve hiking interest rates forcibly during an US economic recession (which is also unprecedented) it seems its just masking the stink of a dead dollar... My contention is USD is already dead but due to its momentum and inertia it will take about another year or so for the full effects to show as rigor mortis sets in and the implications works its way though the entire global systemslol
Dont you think the upcoming Xi's visit to Saudi will change all that !
The death of USD will be kicked into overdrive !
I think a timeframe of 180 months is a more realistic time frame given how much dollar denominated debt there is in the world. So there will be for the foreseeable future a demand for dollars all over the world. Once those debts are paid off or defaulted on that the US ability to export inflation will be severely diminished.lol
Dont you think the upcoming Xi's visit to Saudi will change all that !
The death of USD will be kicked into overdrive !
JD Sachs is also the guy who basically looted Russia for the Clinton's back in the 90s.Don't know where to put this article exactly. It is a very well written article by Jeffrey D. Sachs.
That depends on the composition of maturities of the bonds or debts. If all debts are as short as one year, dollar only has one year left. Not saying it is, but pointing out the other factor that need to be considered.I think a timeframe of 180 months is a more realistic time frame given how much dollar denominated debt there is in the world. So there will be for the foreseeable future a demand for dollars all over the world. Once those debts are paid off or defaulted on that the US ability to export inflation will be severely diminished.
If US relies on IP for major income, it will have to accept whatever currency others are willing to pay. Starving person can not choose between a burger and a baozi (Chinese burger). Also the IP is only valuable if US has the strength to protect it. For example, Brazil and others (India?) had threatened to produce unlicensed covid19 vaccines if the producing countries refuse to give an affordable price. It didn't happen probably because of compromise from both sides. I am saying that the value of anything including IP is subjected to negotiation, US IP can become much cheaper as cabbages when US loose dominance that Dollar is one of the two pillars (the other being gun).Then we still have the IP question while the US is slowing down to the point its now neck to neck maybe even losing in IP in new sectors to China, the US still has a very large portfolio that probably needs to be rented with US dollar. The US empire is failing and sliding but the US as a nation is still a behemoth of a rival/enemy.