Miscellaneous News

The parenting subsidy policy is here! Infants and toddlers under 3 years old will be RMB 3,600 per year

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tamsen_ikard said:

Turkey is a genuine rising power. Its the richest Muslim country that is not reliant on oil.

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tamsen_ikard said:

So, essentially it is the most advanced muslim country and a role model for pretty much all Muslim countries. Its economy is highly diversified and advanced and starting to catch up industrially.

Turkish power is only going to keep increasing. Its population is 90 million, bigger than Germany. It has the potential to dominate its nearby regions, especially Syria, Iraq all the way to Gulf countries. You are underestimating Turkey at your own peril

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doggydogdo said:

It's a Nato puppet that's scared to touch Israel. One move against US hegemony it would be crushed like Iraq.

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EU aims for joint action with US against China on steel, aluminium, copper and derivatives. Aim to make a "metal alliance" where they are going to "ringfence" their economies against "overcapacity"

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GulfLander said:

Google translated about CN subsidy for children.

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manqiangrexue said:

1. It's entirely possible that the trade deal won't get Trump anything he wants in the end because especially for Westoids, making promises is one thing while keeping them is something else entirely. "I know we said we'd buy $750B of this from you but... we just don't have the money or the need. So now what?" That's nothing new. Also, personal sentiment in Europe towards the US is destroyed. Europeans hate Americans and will consciously reject American products after this.

2. Even if not, I don't actually think this is a stupid move for the EU. The Western empire is comprised of the major arm in the US, the minor arm in the EU, and some small appendages like Canada, Australia, etc... This empire is in dire threat of being defeated by China. The empire took decades to build and is a lasting relationship; Trump is flitting. The power emitted by this alliance and empire is what gives Westerners an inflated position in the word, which they greatly enjoy and use to their advantage, something we Asians call White Worship. Neither the US nor the EU can create this alone, but together, they have created it when China was much weaker and they have reaped all of the benefits. If the Europeans told the US to fuck off and they will trade with China, Pax Americana, US dollar dominance, the Western empire all die together immediately, all because of the flitting insanity of Donald Trump. After Trump leaves office, even with an EU-friendly US president, they cannot put the empire back together because during the period of a US-EU break, China will have come into such a dominant position of power, nothing can be reversed. Pax Sinica will be in the door and no one can push it back out. So to prevent this regret that the EU and US will likely face together after Trump leaves, the EU decided to take Trump's lashes and accept that it will be eating American shit at least until 2028 because they fear that the other choice will have the entire global Anglo population, all of their children and grandchildren, eating Chinese shit for the next couple of centuries.

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plawolf said:

Deleting the Royal Navy would be a good start, but it would not be a proper reciprocation without PLAN warships sailing up the Themes and relocating the British Crown Jewels and contents of the British Museum to Beijing for safekeeping. Maybe China should also take a few of Britain’s islands for 999 year lease. Shame the British actually have Diego Garcia back as that would have been a prime candidate.

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tamsen_ikard said:

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1949458710486528465

Anyone who thought Anglo countries are vassals of US should know they are a willing co-federation of countries who will always act together on foreign policy. They are a co-operatative empire. European are willing allies of US too, not vassals. They want to ally with US to fight China, not forced to it.

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Trump gives Russia less than two weeks to reach peace deal with Ukraine​

• President Donald Trump said he is reducing the 50-day deadline he gave Russian President Vladimir Putin to reach a peace deal with Ukraine.
• Trump said Russia now has less than two weeks to cut that deal or face massive “secondary tariffs” on its trade partners.
• “I’m disappointed in President Putin,” Trump said in Scotland alongside British Prime Minister Keir Starmer.

President Donald Trump on Monday reduced to less than two weeks his deadline for Russian President Vladimir Putin to either reach a peace deal with Ukraine or face massive “secondary tariffs” on Moscow’s trade partners.

Trump previously gave Putin a 50-day deadline, which was set to expire in early September.

But he said Monday that the United States does not see “any progress being made.”

“I’m going to make a new deadline of about ...10 or 12 days from today,” Trump said in Scotland alongside British Prime Minister Keir Starmer.

“I’m disappointed in President Putin,” Trump said. “Russia and Ukraine — I would have said five times we had a deal.”

“I spoke to President Putin a lot. Got along with him very well,” he said. “Then President Putin launches rockets into a city like Kyiv and kills a lot of people — in a nursing home, or wherever — and there are bodies lying all over the streets.”

Trump said that he likely will formally announce the revision in the deadline “tonight or tomorrow,” adding that the U.S. would impose sanctions along with the secondary tariffs.

“But there’s no reason to wait. If you know what the answer is going to be, why wait?” Trump said.

Trump imposed a 50-day deadline on Putin on July 14. At that time, he said that buyers of Russian exports would face tariffs “at about 100%” if there were no ceasefire deal with Ukraine by September.

Trump once avoided criticizing Putin.

But in recent months, he has made his frustrations known as Russia’s war on Ukraine has intensified.

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US freezes export controls to secure trade deal with China​

The US has frozen restrictions on technology exports to China to avoid hurting trade talks with Beijing and help President Donald Trump secure a meeting with President Xi Jinping this year, according to people familiar with the matter.

The commerce department’s Bureau of Industry and Security, which runs export controls, has been told in recent months to avoid tough moves on China, according to eight people, including current and former US officials.

US and Chinese officials will meet in Stockholm on Monday for a third round of trade talks following previous meetings in Geneva and London.

While Trump wants to avoid actions that could hurt efforts to meet Xi, some officials have argued that the US is hamstrung on export controls because of the risk that China retaliates by restricting the export to the US of critical rare earths and magnets, as it did in May for the first time.

Earlier this year, Trump was poised to restrict technology exports to China. In April, his team told Nvidia it would block the export of its H20 chip, which was designed for the Chinese market after the Biden administration restricted more advanced chips. But Trump reversed course following direct lobbying from Nvidia chief executive Jensen Huang.

The H20 has become the focus of a battle between security officials, who say the chip will help the Chinese military, and Nvidia, which says blocking US technology exports forces Chinese groups to accelerate innovation.

Twenty security experts and former officials, including Matt Pottinger, who was deputy national security adviser in the first Trump administration, will on Monday write to commerce secretary Howard Lutnick to voice concern.

“This move represents a strategic mis-step that endangers the United States’ economic and military edge in artificial intelligence,” they write in the letter, which was seen by the Financial Times.

The letter was also signed by David Feith, the former top National Security Council technology official in the current Trump administration, and Liza Tobin, who served in the NSC during Trump’s first term. Kyle Bass, a Trump supporter and founder of Hayman Capital Management, also signed.

The experts said the H20 was a “potent accelerator of China’s frontier AI capabilities” that was more powerful than the H100, an advanced Nvidia chip blocked for export to China, in one key respect.

They said it outperformed the H100 in “inference” — the execution of AI functions as opposed to the training of AI models — and would help produce autonomous weapons systems, intelligence surveillance platforms, and other military advancements.

“We are fuelling the very infrastructure that will be used to modernise and expand the Chinese military,” they said in the letter, arranged by an advocacy group called Americans for Responsible Innovation.

James Mulvenon, an expert on China’s military and chief intelligence officer at Pamir Consulting, said the problem was not limited to one chip or company. “These decisions will determine which political system, which values, will ultimately control the most powerful technology in the history of the world.”

Nvidia said the criticisms in the letter were “misguided” and “inconsistent” with the AI action plan recently unveiled by Trump that puts a focus on US exports of AI technology. It said the H20 would “not enhance anyone’s military capabilities, but will help America win the support of developers worldwide”.

Critics disagree however. Jimmy Goodrich, a senior adviser to Rand for technology analysis, said chips are measured by power and memory bandwidth and that the H20 “excels at memory bandwidth beyond any current domestic Chinese chip” that was critical for the large-scale development of AI.

“The H20 is the gasoline fuelling China’s AI engine,” he added.

Beyond the H20 debate, US security officials and experts are frustrated that the Trump administration is holding back actions on China.

“Trump has now effectively frozen US export controls and given away the H20 semiconductor for nothing, undermining one of our most critical national security tools,” said one former official.

Steve Bannon, the former White House strategist in the first Trump administration, said allowing H20 sales to China was a big mistake.

“American companies spent decades being made fools of, getting duped by the Chinese Communist party transferring the crown jewels of our technology. For that they got nothing,” said Bannon.

“Unbelievably, the government is poised to make the same humiliating mistake, at the behest of companies that want to drive their own profits with zero concerns for the nation’s security.”

The FT reported in May that BIS had planned to add the subsidiaries of Chinese chipmakers to an export blacklist called the entity list. The targets have since been expanded to include subsidiaries of any Chinese group already on that list. The US has even informed China about the plan, according to people familiar with the matter.

The commerce department has still not unveiled the restrictions, which have become one test for whether the Trump administration will take tough measures on China or hold back to facilitate the trade talks.

The commerce department declined to comment on the freeze. But a spokesperson said the Trump administration had done more than the Biden administration, which did not impose restrictions on H20 sales.

The spokesperson said Trump had imposed export licence requirements for the H20 and would consider applications “carefully, accounting for both the benefits and the costs of potential exports from America”.

Nvidia said the Trump administration had “full visibility and authority over every H20 transaction”. Several people familiar with the situation said the Trump administration had yet to issue any H20 export licences.

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The US has frozen restrictions on technology exports to China to avoid hurting trade talks with Beijing and help President Donald Trump secure a meeting with President Xi Jinping this year, according to people familiar with the matter.

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The commerce department’s Bureau of Industry and Security, which runs export controls, has been told in recent months to avoid tough moves on China, according to eight people, including current and former US officials.

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The letter was also signed by David Feith, the former top National Security Council technology official in the current Trump administration, and Liza Tobin, who served in the NSC during Trump’s first term. Kyle Bass, a Trump supporter and founder of Hayman Capital Management, also signed.

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The experts said the H20 was a “potent accelerator of China’s frontier AI capabilities” that was more powerful than the H100

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plawolf said:

It doesn’t deserve anything like so much effort. A Chinese coast guard cutter could literally run it over if China wanted it sunk.

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FriedButter said:

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Know what also ends in about 12 days? China-US trade truce expires in 13 days. I had suspicions that the China-US trade negotiations were never intended to reach an actual conclusion. But to buy time for the US to reach agreements with their other major trading partners. No doubt the EuroFailures were informed of this and eagerly agreed to US capitulation so they can start their conflict with China in earnest.

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