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PLAwatcher12

Junior Member
Registered Member
Lol. It's given fact that china has prepared to fight US, Japan Phillipines, and possibly south Korea. Maybe even India for a bit. Again lets be realistic. If japan or south Korea strike Chinese mainland, that gives China cover to strike their mainland as well. And I'm not sure they would like that exchange. If all US bases are hit in Japan and Korea, any collateral damage would make other countries think twice about housing US bases in the future in that region.

Sure strikes on US mainland will be limited but they don't need to strike US mainland. Eliminate most bases in first and second island chain, access denial for CSGs and supply ships and then it's tied.
I’m not denying that, they definitely have, but fighting Japan along with the US makes it alot more difficult for China to win, they likely won’t be able to strike US mainland but it’s possible but they can strike Guam though with the DF-26 what they have around 250+ of according to US estimates so likely more. And possibly the CJ-20 if the H-6k is further out of mainland China what I find unlikely unless China has air superiority over the first island chain. I didn’t mention South Korea since South Korea is unlikely to join and would probably not allow US bases, and I didn’t mention the Philippines because their not a threat to China at all besides the US weapons there
 

iewgnem

Senior Member
Registered Member
I’m not denying that, they definitely have, but fighting Japan along with the US makes it alot more difficult for China to win, they likely won’t be able to strike US mainland but it’s possible but they can strike Guam though with the DF-26 what they have around 250+ of according to US estimates so likely more. And possibly the CJ-20 if the H-6k is further out of mainland China what I find unlikely unless China has air superiority over the first island chain. I didn’t mention South Korea since South Korea is unlikely to join and would probably not allow US bases, and I didn’t mention the Philippines because their not a threat to China at all besides the US weapons there
US will be lucky to have air superiority 500 miles west of Hawaii if they can't operate from Guam or anything west of that.
Do you know how many sorties you can run if you have to run tankers from Hawaii? lol

And that's assuming US calls it quits within a few days, if it turns into a full scale war China won't just strike Guam, China will take Guam and island hop until US is entirely contained to CONUS, with thousands of miles of water between it and the nearest island.
 

PLAwatcher12

Junior Member
Registered Member
US will be lucky to have air superiority 500 miles west of Hawaii if they can't operate from Guam or anything west of that.
Do you know how many sorties you can run if you have to run tankers from Hawaii? lol

And that's assuming US calls it quits within a few days, if it turns into a full scale war China won't just strike Guam, China will take Guam and island hop until US is entirely contained to CONUS, with thousands of miles of water between it and the nearest island.
China might try to take Guam but it would be near impossible let’s be realistic here. Yes the US having air superiority near China and Taiwan will be incredibly difficult and China taken Guam will be even more difficult than that, Guam is 2,779 kilometers from Taiwan, for taiwan, China can just use amphibious assault ships and paratroopers they can do that since it’s so close but they can’t do that for Guam. Chinas best bet is to launch enough missiles at Guam’s military facilities to render it obsolete for military operations from the US
 

iewgnem

Senior Member
Registered Member
China might try to take Guam but it would be near impossible let’s be realistic here. Yes the US having air superiority near China and Taiwan will be incredibly difficult and China taken Guam will be even more difficult than that, Guam is 2,779 kilometers from Taiwan, for taiwan, China can just use amphibious assault ships and paratroopers they can do that since it’s so close but they can’t do that for Guam. Chinas best bet is to launch enough missiles at Guam’s military facilities to render it obsolete for military operations from the US
Wait til you find out how far Guam is from the nearest US base that's not under Chinese air superiority, lol
 

FairAndUnbiased

Brigadier
Registered Member
China might try to take Guam but it would be near impossible let’s be realistic here. Yes the US having air superiority near China and Taiwan will be incredibly difficult and China taken Guam will be even more difficult than that, Guam is 2,779 kilometers from Taiwan, for taiwan, China can just use amphibious assault ships and paratroopers they can do that since it’s so close but they can’t do that for Guam. Chinas best bet is to launch enough missiles at Guam’s military facilities to render it obsolete for military operations from the US
Guam can only be resupplied if the US has both air and sea control around it. It isn't connected to anything else after all. Once air or sea control is lost, there is only the local Guam garrison. And the Guam garrison isn't that big.
 

PLAwatcher12

Junior Member
Registered Member
Wait til you find out how far Guam is from the nearest US base that's not under Chinese air superiority, lol
What’s in another country, you think China is going to invade another country after they take Taiwan? Do you see that as possible and reasonable or do you think China would rather render Guam useless for military operations.
Guam can only be resupplied if the US has both air and sea control around it. It isn't connected to anything else after all. Once air or sea control is lost, there is only the local Guam garrison. And the Guam garrison isn't that big.
They literally will have air and naval superiority over Guam and Around it so that isn’t really an issue for them
 

iewgnem

Senior Member
Registered Member
What’s in another country, you think China is going to invade another country after they take Taiwan? Do you see that as possible and reasonable or do you think China would rather render Guam useless for military operations.

They literally will have air and naval superiority over Guam and Around it so that isn’t really an issue for them
The last country that think it can attack the world's largest industrial power and still keep their Pacific islands, they now have 120 military bases from the country they attack on their home soil. Once US fire on China or PLA, it's war and all claims to sovereignty are off. If US can't handle it, don't get involved in Taiwan, it's not hard.

US has air and naval superiority over Guam only during peacetime when the guy who actually has the ability to achieve superiority don't shoot them.
 
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