What the fuck are
you talking about? I read that post and responded to that point-to-point for why your analysis is wrong. Your numbers are irrelevent and cause a major misjudgement. We're past that.
India's class society promotes abusive behavior. The abusers are looked up to and admired. If China wants a higher than neutral rating, she would need to give India a real beating. That seems to be an inevitable outcome, yes.
www.sinodefenceforum.com
I gave you the relevent numbers, which are GDP growth and export growth. Chinese rising domestic consumption is another relevant and positive number:
OK, since you did not understand my rebuttal, I will repeat the relevent sections:
"That number should be considered extra money. There are 2 ways to make that number smaller: 1 is for the US to buy less and the other is for us to refuse to sell as much as they want to buy. Neither is going to happen in good business. Our export numbers to the US can be high, but it's most important to make all other numbers from trade with other partners to domestic consumption, higher."
"The only way to make that untrue is to cut off trade relations. These companies didn't get the memo and move to diversify their clients when times were good so now they need to do it in a hurry or die out. They will never do it as long as the times are good so you can't be hung up about them. They were given years from Trump's first trade war to now to rely less on the US. If they haven't done it yet, it's not about time; it's about reason and will."
"Some people don't move until the wolf is knocking at the door. And some of them don't have to, because it's a totally legitimate point to make money while the oppertunity is there for it to be made. But they should have been keeping a fat savings account to help them with the transition when they are forced to make it; the writing was on the wall that selling to the US was a gig, not a career."
Of course. They go to drug rehabilitation centers and their new life is nothing like their old life. You've never heard of a drug rehab center giving people drugs, telling them they can quit cocaine slowly over 5 years, have you? This is the same. Their new life is exporting to other markets now. The American drug is the dead old life.