J-10 Thread IV

Blitzo

Lieutenant General
Staff member
Super Moderator
Registered Member
This Chinese site reported it.

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The thing about Chinese state media is that they often report stuff from foreign media -- that doesn't mean state media is "confirming" that what foreign media is saying is true.

It's a rare occurrence when we get a real exclusive scoop on chinese defence matters from chinese state media.
 

Jeff Head

General
Registered Member
This Chinese site reported it.

Well, the Chinese site actually reported only that "Taiwan Media" is reporting it.

I do not view that as any kind of official Chinese government confirmation, only that this information is being reported in the Taiwan Media.

I will believe that J-10s have been sold to Iran only when an official PRC government agency confirms it.

Iraq is not friendly with Pakistan, who is a major importer of Chinese aircraft. I do not believe China would offer Iran something better than what Pakistan is getting.

Also, despite new aircraft coming to the for, the J-10 is in the the most modern and most advance, wholly Chinese indigenous production fighter aircraft. it is true that the J-11Bs, the J-15s, and the J-16s are Chinese built...but they are not a wholly indigenous Chinese design.

The J-20 is...but it is not in production. The J-10 is in production, with the J-10B soon to be a production reality.

Stranger things have happened in the world so I am not completely discounting it...I just will not believe it until the Chinese government confirms it.

Sort of like the SU-35 purchase that China is supposedly making from Russia that we have heard about over and over again for years. When the Chinese government announces that purchase is when I will believe it too.
 
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Blackstone

Brigadier
You know Jeff, I don't see Beijing upsetting Tel Aviv with the J-10 sales to Iran because the two countries have good relations and China needs Israeli technology. Anything is possible, since China also has good relations with Iran, but it's not at all clear China gains more from J-10 sales than from losing Israeli technological assistance.
 

Jeff Head

General
Registered Member
You know Jeff, I don't see Beijing upsetting Tel Aviv with the J-10 sales to Iran because the two countries have good relations and China needs Israeli technology. Anything is possible, since China also has good relations with Iran, but it's not at all clear China gains more from J-10 sales than from losing Israeli technological assistance.
There's that too.

I really have serious doubts given the fact that arms embargoes are still in place form the international community for another five years.

The fact that it would torque Pakistan off which is a valued Chinese friend.

The fact that it would torque Israel off who deals amiably with China.

And the fact that it is a top of the line, front line Chinese aircraft right now.

I just have more and more serious reservations that this is a real deal.
 

SinoSoldier

Colonel
The word "best" is probably best expanded to be understood as "best capability that other countries do not have knowledge about". Many air forces fly flankers so certain parameters of their performance may be well known, but on the other hand only China flies J-10s and no one else so I'm sure the air force would prefer it be kept that way as long as possible.

I also wouldn't be so quick to doubt the J-10 variants as being superior to even the new SAC-flankers because that depends on the circumstances of a mission. Bigger doesn't necessarily mean better.

I'm sure the J-10's performance can be extrapolated by using data from other delta canard fighters, such as the Gripen or Rafale, if analysts wish so. New Chinese-developed Flankers differ from earlier iterations mostly in electronics and beneath-the-skin aspects, so I'm not sure how you deduced that their parameters can be so easily predicted. The appearance of the J-10 at exhibitions in both model and full form speaks to me that CAC wishes to export these fighters.

...So you're talking about is not why JF-17 is "wrong" for Iran so much as why Iran won't be in the market for buying fighters in the first place.

In the latter case, lack of AEW&C is no reason to not buy a fleet of fighters given they are the foundation of any serious air force, and lack of parts would not be an issue because any purchase of an aircraft would be accompanied by spare parts and equipment in the package to begin with.

Unfortunately for Tehran, foreign maintenance of the aircraft and supply of spare parts are still subject to arms embargos against Iran, to which China has agreed (this brings up a whole new question of how China could sell arms to Iran in the first place, but that's another story). Sudan purchased the Chinese Q-5s but could barely service them precisely due to a chokehold of spare parts and service due to an embargo.
 

SinoSoldier

Colonel
You know Jeff, I don't see Beijing upsetting Tel Aviv with the J-10 sales to Iran because the two countries have good relations and China needs Israeli technology. Anything is possible, since China also has good relations with Iran, but it's not at all clear China gains more from J-10 sales than from losing Israeli technological assistance.

That's not the crux of the argument. There is no conclusive evidence that the J-10 had anything to do with Israeli technology, so there should be no reason why Israel should even respond to this alleged sale in business terms.

EDIT: Sorry Blackstone, I think I misunderstood your post.
I don't think that Israeli (military) technology would be such an issue for China at this day and age; we haven't heard of any significant Chinese purchases of Israeli products within the past decade or so.
 

SinoSoldier

Colonel
It is possible that US Congress will reject the recent accord between P5+1 and Iran but that will not mean that the sanctions can be maintained. Iran will then become a member of SCO besides its neighbour Pakistan. Iran might well be buying radar aircraft from Russia or even China. So cooperation with Pakistan on JF-17, which would take some time to organize, would take place in a very different environment than the current one.

I'm not an expert on geopolitics, but I do remember reading that China herself had agreed to the arms embargo against Iran (hence the cancellation of the C-802 deal). China wouldn't likely to sell such high-profile assets to Iran even such a deal falls out of the jurisdiction of other P5+1 members.
 
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