Hong-Kong Protests

solarz

Brigadier
I disagree to your notion that it has (I presume you meant negative) appeal in one-country-two-systems framework for Taiwan. In fact, I think this is a good thing for relation with Taiwan. This is because so far, the HK government has basically handled the protests and riots effectively, at least to the point that PAP/PLA don't have to be called into Hong Kong. Yes, of course there are some immediate negative appeals, but as time goes on and the dust settles, this will be a great evidence that the O-C-T-S works. Things will always get worse before it gets better. In fact, had Hong Kong not go through such an ordeal, it would still be an unsatisfactory example of O-C-T-S in the eyes of Taiwanese, because it is untested. Once the fever dies down, it will emerge as a great example of how O-C-T-S actually works.

As for your notion that since Hong Kong is a part of China, anything that hurts Hong Kong, hurts China too. Well, I would say that it's not very meaningful because for any country the size and power of China, regional and local unrest and problems is bound to happened. This is especially true in a world where the predominant power (the US and the West) perceives China's rise as a threat. China is bound to brace itself for western sabotage and adversarial actions, this is to be expected. I don't think we should look at this purely in a negative light, especial since we are Chinese (Chinese culture always looks at both side of the coin, 福兮祸之所伏,祸兮福之所倚). In fact, I am grateful that such a riot/unrest manifests itself in Hong Kong, instead of Beijing or Shanghai.

I don't want people to get upset about such riots because it is actually happening in the least hurtful place in all of China. And given the current geopolitical situation China is in, such a problem will happen. I am happy that it happened in HK instead of elsewhere in China.

I think you greatly underestimate the impact of the current HK unrest.

First of all, short of a Beijing intervention, there is no end game in sight. This means any foreign power can forment rebellion in HK and Beijing's hands would be tied due to 1c2s. This is a huge vulnerability and gives the initiative to China's opponents.

Second, beyond the violence itself, the unrest had revealed a deep anti-China sentiment among the HK populace, and what's more worrying is that they are overwhelmingly young people. These kids will not magically go away, and like it or not, there are tens of thousands of them that China will need to deal with sooner or later, and there are no good options on the table.

I do not believe 1c2s can continue to work. it was a good idea 20 years ago, when China was still weak and needed time to develop, but I think it has run its course.

It is time for China to recover HK in more than just name.
 

Xizor

Captain
Registered Member
I think you greatly underestimate the impact of the current HK unrest.

First of all, short of a Beijing intervention, there is no end game in sight. This means any foreign power can ferment rebellion in HK and Beijing's hands would be tied due to 1c2s. This is a huge vulnerability and gives the initiative to China's opponents.

Second, beyond the violence itself, the unrest had revealed a deep anti-China sentiment among the HK populace, and what's more worrying is that they are overwhelmingly young people. These kids will not magically go away, and like it or not, there are tens of thousands of them that China will need to deal with sooner or later, and there are no good options on the table.

I do not believe 1c2s can continue to work. it was a good idea 20 years ago, when China was still weak and needed time to develop, but I think it has run its course.

It is time for China to recover HK in more than just name.
True but you are wrong IF you assume that China - being the most populous and one of the largest countries on the planet- is especially hurt and others are doing well.
1. Every Global power has some problems to content and bear with. Which country has no problems? US ? Russia? England? France?
US for example is vulnerable to demographic change ( and change of national psyche) with the projection of falling white populace (non hispanic) and increasing population of people of hispanic origin as well as people of colour ( Asians, Africans etc). It'd be pretty hard to convince me that this isn't an issue as it is. 2050 on-wards, USA is going to have an eventful second half century. It is NOT of an impending doom but of increased changes. China on the other hand is ... well relatively largely homogeneous. Even if China sees population decline ( marginal decline), it poses no threat to the national psyche. The same situation applies to France, Germany and England. All three are having considerable demographic changes. The 5th Pillar exists or has been introduced to all these countries ( US, France and England). They have their own HK in their hands. The pressure cooker hasn't set off its steam but lets wait a decade for that. The recent rise of right wing parties points to many eventful years after a decade to come.
2. 1C2S is good for China. HK is contained. HK cannot act as the fifth pillar since it is NOT fighting for Chinese but rather for their own selfish interests. It would be like Kashmir or West Bank or Chechen or the restive Ireland of the past( IRA ) or ... China needs to weaken the HK economy's influence on Mainland for sure, though.
3. The leaderless movement has its strengths and weaknesses. China ought to be studying this and acting appropriately. The violence only helps China by clearly dividing opinions.
4. I'd term incidents within mainland as more important to China than of incidents outside direct CCP control/influence.
5. HK has always had anti-China or anti-CCP inclinations. It isn't new. This goes way back.
 
Good, now that their mug shots would be taken, they would have a police record that will follow them for the rest of their lives, these boys and girls are screwed. Good luck in finding a decent job that requires a police check.

Employers should demand this background check as part of their hiring process to mitigate any risk. The events from past few weeks have proven that they are ungrateful, untrustworthy, sly and much too capable in causing violence, destruction and cruelty.
 

Gatekeeper

Brigadier
Registered Member
Be sure to support these establishments in HK if you have the chance!

Absolutely I will! its funny, the thugs wanted to boycott everthing made in China as well as businesses supporting China.

One of the ways they are doing this is by spreading it on social media, using their made in. CHINA IPhones! The irony is too much for this plain old man! Lol
 

solarz

Brigadier
True but you are wrong IF you assume that China - being the most populous and one of the largest countries on the planet- is especially hurt and others are doing well.
1. Every Global power has some problems to content and bear with. Which country has no problems? US ? Russia? England? France?
US for example is vulnerable to demographic change ( and change of national psyche) with the projection of falling white populace (non hispanic) and increasing population of people of hispanic origin as well as people of colour ( Asians, Africans etc). It'd be pretty hard to convince me that this isn't an issue as it is. 2050 on-wards, USA is going to have an eventful second half century. It is NOT of an impending doom but of increased changes. China on the other hand is ... well relatively largely homogeneous. Even if China sees population decline ( marginal decline), it poses no threat to the national psyche. The same situation applies to France, Germany and England. All three are having considerable demographic changes. The 5th Pillar exists or has been introduced to all these countries ( US, France and England). They have their own HK in their hands. The pressure cooker hasn't set off its steam but lets wait a decade for that. The recent rise of right wing parties points to many eventful years after a decade to come.
2. 1C2S is good for China. HK is contained. HK cannot act as the fifth pillar since it is NOT fighting for Chinese but rather for their own selfish interests. It would be like Kashmir or West Bank or Chechen or the restive Ireland of the past( IRA ) or ... China needs to weaken the HK economy's influence on Mainland for sure, though.
3. The leaderless movement has its strengths and weaknesses. China ought to be studying this and acting appropriately. The violence only helps China by clearly dividing opinions.
4. I'd term incidents within mainland as more important to China than of incidents outside direct CCP control/influence.
5. HK has always had anti-China or anti-CCP inclinations. It isn't new. This goes way back.

Let me just ask one question: how do you see this end?

A lot of the commenters here feel the unrest in HK is isolated and therefore has no ill effect upon China. While the former is true for now, the latter is not.

Up until now, the HK riots have had a galvanizing effect on the Chinese people, but without an endgame, this will eventually become cynicism.

Meanwhile, the patriotic citizens of HK will continue to have their lives disrupted, sometimes even put into physical danger. Some are already questioning the Central Government's inaction, and this number will inevitably swell. If Beijing waits too long, it will lose the good will of the patriotic citizens.
 
a really provocative picture in the middle of
Hong Kong in lockdown mode before mass illegal protests as defiant demonstrators aim to embarrass Beijing on National Day
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  • Police deploying about 6,000 officers, as multiple building managements across city take steps to protect premises and hunker down for violence
  • Protesters declare day of mourning and plan demonstrations from city centre to Sha Tin, Sham Shui Po, Wong Tai Sin, Tsuen Wan and Tuen Mun
 
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