H-20 bomber (with H-X, JH-XX)

A

ACuriousPLAFan

Brigadier
Registered Member
Tomboy said:
Wasn't it Cute Orca's or someone in the Trios prediction that H-20 will fly before Zhuhai 26'
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Atomicfrog said:
Flying and appearing into the public eye are probably two different things.
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For the record:

Sometime prior to the Zhuhai Expo 2024, Cute Orca suggested that the H-20 is likely to take its first flight before the next Zhuhai Expo (i.e. Zhuhai Expo 2026) at the earliest:

Kalec said:
Dude : Maybe h20 doesn’t exist at all
CuteOrca: : it definitely exists
[glutton]

Dude : Can we see it at the next air show?
CuteOrca: Of course it’s impossible...what are you thinking about?
CuteOrca :But we should be able to see the maiden flight before the next Air Show

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And sometime in early-April this year, in one of the paid Qingting FM podcasts, the Guancha Gang (indirectly) suggested that the first H-20 prototype could already be undergoing assembly inside one of the hangars at Xi'an AC:

ACuriousPLAFan said:
Does anyone has access to one of the latest podcasts by the Guancha Trio on Dragonfly FM, posted 4 days ago?

The podcast is in between the 386th and 387th podcasts and with the title "波音研发F47，美国六代机真的不会完蛋吗？". Unfortunately, as the podcast requires paying to access, so I have no access to it.

It has been alleged in the comment section underneath the Beach-Storming Otter's post on Weibo that in the later sections of the podcast, the American guy mentioned that there's already something (i.e. H-20/related) underneath Xi'an AC's hangar/hall right now. Can anyone verify that?

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(The following needs to be read from bottom to top, in that order)
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Honestly, I only recalled the Adorable Whale saying the former (i.e. H-20 first flight before Zhuhai Expo 2026), and not the latter (i.e. H-20 first flight before Trump leaves the White House). So I'm heavily banking on the former.
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So, yeah - First from Cute Orca last year, then from the Guancha Gang this year.

Do note that neither of them mentioned that the H-20 would be unveiled in an official capacity for the public eyes during Zhuhai Expo 2026. In fact, I do not expect that to happen before the end of this decade.

However, sightings of the first H-20 prototype taking its first flight(s) by the average joes around Xi'an AC are to be expected. The H-20 is very likely going to be an out-of-ordinary aircraft from what those average joes typically associate with flying out of Yanliang, so it's only going to be a matter of time after the H-20's first flight before some forms of media comes out of Xi'an.

Though, it should also be cautioned that the degree of how this event would heat up could be comparably lower than the first flights of the 6th-gen fighters, given the relatively lower population density in the immediate surroundings of Yanliang compared to their northeastern and southwestern counterparts (+ potential greater degree of security measures implemented in the area).
 
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A

ACuriousPLAFan

Brigadier
Registered Member
ACuriousPLAFan said:
For the record:

Sometime prior to the Zhuhai Expo 2024, Cute Orca suggested that the H-20 is likely to take its first flight before the next Zhuhai Expo (i.e. Zhuhai Expo 2026) at the earliest:

And sometime in early-April this year, in one of the paid Qingting FM podcasts, the Guancha Gang (indirectly) suggested that the first H-20 prototype could already be undergoing assembly inside one of the hangars at Xi'an AC:

So, yeah - First from Cute Orca last year, then from the Guancha Gang this year.

Do note that neither of them mentioned that the H-20 would be unveiled in an official capacity for the public eyes during Zhuhai Expo 2026. In fact, I do not expect that to happen before the end of this decade.

However, sightings of the first H-20 prototype taking its first flight(s) by the average joes around Xi'an AC are to be expected. The H-20 is very likely going to be an out-of-ordinary aircraft from what those average joes typically associate with flying out of Yanliang, so it's only going to be a matter of time after the H-20's first flight before some forms of media comes out of Xi'an.

Though, it should also be cautioned that the degree of how this event would heat up could be comparably lower than the first flights of the 6th-gen fighters, given the relatively lower population density in the immediate surroundings of Yanliang compared to their northeastern and southwestern counterparts (+ potential greater degree of security measures implemented in the area).
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Looks like we have someone here posting the (Deepseek-)translated version of my post onto Weibo.

What's more interesting is this:

20250826_205313.jpg

Cute Orca quote-posting the original post: "Someone called 'Cute Orca' doesn't sound like a very good source of information"

*cough cough*

Perhaps, the name "Adorable Dolphin" sounds better? ;)
 
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L

latenlazy

Brigadier
gongolongo said:
If anything I thought the B-2 was less stealthy than the F-22 just simply due to its sheer size.
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Your RCS is actually not that size dependent. In practice RCS is about the ratio of illumination vs backscatter. Being bigger “can” mean you are catching more of a beam, but with constant shaping the ratio of the radiation returned stays constant and depending on other factors (like size of the illuminating beam and relative position of the pickup antenna to backscatter vector) that may or may not influence actual RCS. There’s also a lot going on with resonance matching between feature sizes and target radar wavelengths, etc. In general people should stop trying to employ “all else held equal” rule of thumb extrapolations against objects that are *deliberately designed*.
 
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