Coronavirus 2019-2020 thread (no unsubstantiated rumours!)

Glob. Times as critical as they'll ever get, I guess:
"Some Chinese people have expressed dissatisfaction with the handling of the outbreak by some authorities."
inside
China’s governance model well-suited to confronting virus outbreak
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shanlung

Junior Member
Registered Member
There is no such thing as completely certain; fairly certain is as far as one can go. The whole ship can be infected and it wouldn't become a pandemic because it is a quarantined ship. At this point, I see no way for it to become a pandemic unless one were to view this from a sci-fi thriller everything-that-can-possibly-go-wrong-goes-terribly-wrong scope. The level of global incompetence required for this to become a pandemic is astronomical.

If there is a phase 2, it will be to see what happens when the Wuhan lock-down is lifted. If this step is done with poor planning or prematurely and the virus is still sufficiently in the environment,it could get a second infectious wind.


I commend your optimism and bright outlook on life.

As said by Alexander Pope,
" Hope springs eternal in the human breast: Man never is, but always to be blest."

I will just sit back and see after a few days, or a week or so.
 

shanlung

Junior Member
Registered Member
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Japan quarantined the vessel carrying 3,711 people and was testing those onboard for the virus after a former passenger was diagnosed with the illness after disembarking in Hong Kong.

Health Minister Katsunobu Kato told reporters that specimens were collected from more than 200 people on board the Diamond Princess.

So far, the results of 31 tests are available, with 10 people on board confirmed to have the virus, he said. Or out of 30 tests, 10 .

What about when all 3711 tests made and done?
 

Brumby

Major
Some good news coming out of the UK.

Coronavirus: 'Significant breakthrough' in race for vaccine made by UK scientists
The scientist leading the UK's research into a coronavirus vaccine says his team have made a significant breakthrough by reducing a part of the normal development time from "two to three years to just 14 days".

Professor Robin Shattock, head of mucosal infection and immunity at Imperial College London, said he is now at the stage to start testing the
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on animals as early as next week with human studies in the summer if enough funding is secured.

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solarz

Brigadier
I'm fairly certain that there will not be a phase 2 where it becomes a pandemic. Because China acted so quickly, the disease is largely contained in the epidemic phase. Having a few infected people go to these countries while every CDC is on top alert with quarantining protocols is a pretty good way to ensure it does not progress to a pandemic.

Agreed.

So far all cases in North American have been from people who have traveled to Wuhan, or family members of those who did. It shows that it requires a fair bit of close contact for the virus to be transmitted, at least over here.
 
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