Original sars might have been the same 2%, just we couldn't test for it.
Coronavirus 2019-2020 thread (no unsubstantiated rumours!)
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Original sars might have been the same 2%, just we couldn't test for it.
China sent two charter flights a few days ago to Iran to bring back 300+ students and businessmen and quarantine them at Gansu.
If that is the case, then China should focus on shutting down the wet market with live animals . Eating wild animals seem not to be the main factor for spreading disease if this is your argument.
Nobody cares about freshly butchered pigs or cattle, but there has always been demands on freshly butchered heritage breed chicken even in areas of China with almost no wildlife consumption (most of Northern China).
Beijing used to have a lot of farmers markets where sellers butcher free range heritage breed chicken for the buyer on the spot, the municipal government banned them after SARS and never allowed them to reappear, and no there were no underground markets for freshly butchered heritage breed chicken sprouting up. It's just not worth it, people just went on to begrudgingly buy defrosted factory farmed chicken from supermarkets.
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Look, the only reasons these markets exist is because people eat wild animals. If no one ate wild animals than these markets wouldn't exist. If you shut down these markets but don't prosecute the people who eat these animals, the trade will definitely go underground.
Case fatality rate is not an intrinsic property of the virus. It's only meaningful relative to a particular outbreak in a particular time at a particular place. The high morality rate in the U.S. is easily explainable as the result of the infections in the WA nursing home, which houses a extremely vulnerable population.
TerraN_EmpirE
Tyrant King
One of the Areas of specific infection was a rest home. As such you had elderly and infirm infected in a highly localized era. That is spewing the numbers a bit. 7 people died there.
These markets exist not because of consumption of wild animals. In HK, we have live markets. Fresh poultry, fish, and vegetables etc are the reasons why live markets exist in greater China. HK government attempted to ban live chickens have not been very successful. Live chickens still can be sold in wet market but with only 29 vendors left and more stringent regulations. Even though everyone knew the risk of avian flu.
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If like me you are wondering how many in the US have Covid-19, and like me distrust the official count, , will make you think.
According to the article, updated March 7, 2020, "Through interviews with dozens of public-health officials and a survey of local data from across the country, The Atlantic could only verify that 1,895 people have been tested for the coronavirus in the United States, about 10 percent of whom have tested positive" (emphasis added).
Repeat, ten percent were positive! Maybe only the visibly suffering were tested, so the true infection rate in the general population may be lower than 10%. But this is making me think.
Another part of the article: 'On Monday, Stephen Hahn, the commissioner of the Food and Drug Administration, estimated that “by the end of this week, close to a million tests will be able to be performed” in the United States'.
"Able to be performed"? How many will actually be performed? The commissioner's weasel-wording makes me think even more!
According to the article, updated March 7, 2020, "Through interviews with dozens of public-health officials and a survey of local data from across the country, The Atlantic could only verify that 1,895 people have been tested for the coronavirus in the United States, about 10 percent of whom have tested positive" (emphasis added).
Repeat, ten percent were positive! Maybe only the visibly suffering were tested, so the true infection rate in the general population may be lower than 10%. But this is making me think.
Another part of the article: 'On Monday, Stephen Hahn, the commissioner of the Food and Drug Administration, estimated that “by the end of this week, close to a million tests will be able to be performed” in the United States'.
"Able to be performed"? How many will actually be performed? The commissioner's weasel-wording makes me think even more!