Chinese semiconductor industry

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AndrewS

Brigadier
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Guys, I don't want to be the jerk that say this, but we've drifted waaay off topic. Mods, feel free to move the conversation to Chinese economic thread or something similar if you feel the need to do so.

The application of domestic US sanctions on Chinese technology companies is completely relevant.

The USA has a feature where it doesn't consider the 2nd order effects of its actions.
 
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Chish

Junior Member
Registered Member
[/QUOTE]
That's false.
China is biggest in the world in import and export of goods and manufacturing. US is the world biggest economy due to services (financing, insurance, retail, rental,hospitality).
 

Tyler

Captain
Registered Member
US dollar is powerful because of the semiconductor industry and military industry. If China leads in those then dollar will start to lose its reserve status.
Very soon natural resources like oil and gas will be denominated in currencies other than the over-supplied US dollar.
 

Klon

Junior Member
Registered Member
Reference below.
And this is even before the relative economic growth figures over the past 7 months. during the Coronavirus outbreak.
Not every reference is accurate or useful. In this case, the statistic used is particularly suspect, as I discussed here (goes on for six pages with many sources). If a single citation is required, there's this.
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I expect an apology for that statement which is not supported by anything other than your preconceptions.
Although this is pretty rude, no apology is necessary.
 

AndrewS

Brigadier
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Not every reference is accurate or useful. In this case, the statistic used is particularly suspect, as I discussed here (goes on for six pages with many sources). If a single citation is required, there's this.
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Although this is pretty rude, no apology is necessary.

Your references are OLD. It's now June 2020 if you haven't noticed.

And we've already had a similar debate before on the size of the Chinese internet, ecommerce, smartphone, carsharing industries where you didn't realise the China statistics completely overshadow the US figures.

So you've already exhausted any initial respect by denying the current state of affairs, and in clinging to outdated notions and statistics which are no longer accurate.

Here is the latest reference on the consumer retail markets that I can find, which is only 4 days old. Note that the China figures don't include Hong Kong, which is a significant shopping destination.
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In any case, your own (older) references acknowledge that it won't be long before Chinese retail sales become larger than the US equivalent.

After all, China has 4x the population and is still posting higher growth rates because China is at a lower stage of development.
 

Klon

Junior Member
Registered Member
Your references are OLD. It's now June 2020 if you haven't noticed.
The piece I linked is from 2018, so not old in any consequential sense. Feel free to extrapolate the numbers a year or two forward.

And we've already had a similar debate before on the size of the Chinese internet, ecommerce, smartphone, carsharing industries where you didn't realise the China statistics completely overshadow the US figures.
I checked that debate and found that you're making things up again. For example, despite calling me stupid, your claims on carsharing were wrong. Other claims you made were also false or at least disputable (here's a
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that says China's ecommerce market is not twice the size of America's, as you claimed).

So you've already exhausted any initial respect by denying the current state of affairs, and in clinging to outdated notions and statistics which are no longer accurate.

Here is the latest reference on the consumer retail markets that I can find, which is only 4 days old. Note that the China figures don't include Hong Kong, which is a significant shopping destination.
.
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Maybe this can be a good example of why not all sources are good. Just because you can find something claimed online doesn't make it true.
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:
The Chinese mainland, home to the world’s biggest e-commerce market, is predicted to overtake the United States in annual retail sales by the end of this year, according to data released on Thursday by New York-based research firm eMarketer.
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:
China is poised to become the world’s top retail market in 2019, surpassing the US by more than $100 billion, according to eMarketer’s latest worldwide retail and ecommerce forecast.
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:
As a result, China will not surpass the US in total retail sales this year, as expected in our Q4 2018 forecast. That milestone will likely not happen until 2021.
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China has long been the world’s largest market for ecommerce and mcommerce, but this year it will overtake the US to become the world’s largest overall retail market for the first time, despite substantial economic headwinds caused by the pandemic.

So if I believed every eMarketer prediction, I'd think China became number one in 2016, 2019, not 2019 but 2021 and 2020. That these people can't accurately forecast (judging by their own numbers) one year out doesn't prove that the two markets aren't that close in size, but it doesn't exactly bolster their credibility.

In any case, your own (older) references acknowledge that it won't be long before Chinese retail sales become larger than the US equivalent.
False. Read it again.
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After all, China has 4x the population and is still posting higher growth rates because China is at a lower stage of development.
China's had four times the population for a long time.
 
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