Chinese semiconductor industry

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olalavn

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So Sir we may see the United State of Anglo Saxon (5 eyes) isolating themselves and EU may diverge as shown by ASML. ;)

So 2 standard, One for English speaking countries and the others for the Global South plus Russia with EU, SK and Japan using both. That seems to me a total defeat for the Americans. ;)
We shouldn't talk politics in this Topic
 

henrik

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I know bro BUT at the older and higher node it's possible as seems by numerous FABS expansion of mature nodes of 28nm and above. (China will flood the Market taking in market share as they commoditized the price) Your timetable is correct for 14nm up to 5nm nodes though and I'm seeing that both TSMC and SK will to continue to sell and seek for a compromise as seen by constructing FABS in the US.
Samsung will be not able to compete against YMTC and CXMT. China's chip alliance will demand no further investments in the US.
 

AndrewS

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Samsung will be not able to compete against YMTC and CXMT. China's chip alliance will demand no further investments in the US.

And if the Korean fabs in China are allowed to import EUV machines from ASML?

It appears this was a requirement for Korea to join the Chips 4 alliance
 

tphuang

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The Chinese especially GT (usually the Chinese are not upfront and boastful) are becoming expert in trolling the Americans....lol

Bro, I'm looking forward next year, I'm excited, what IF Huawei release both 14nm 3D chiplet and 7nm chip together with SMIC announcement of 5nm N+3 chip, The American will go berserk....lol the threat and sanction didn't work, an obvious sign of a declining empire and I'm thinking by 2026 the US will isolate themselves like what the Ming and Qing dynasty did, cumulating in the hundred years of humiliation.
It takes time for a process to mature and for production to be the raised. In the GT article, that expert said
With the completion of Shanghai's industry cluster for the 14-nm chips, more advanced projects in the 7- and 5-nm processes will be accelerated, Chen said.

"The manufacturing of 7-nm chips in China is also progressing faster than expected," Xiang said.
He sounded pretty confident about it there about 7 nm and also 5 nm. And he is saying basically they have already finished all the work they needed for 14 nm and that they have moved onto 7 nm. His comment sounds like their yield on 7 nm is now acceptable. So, you have to ask yourself if 7 nm here is referring to N+1 process or the N+2 process (which is close to the earliest Samsung 5nm but SMIC calls 7 nm).

I know SN1 didn't run in full potential due to sanctions. Let's hope domestic equipment catch up quickly.
It shouldn't be that hard to procure equipment for 14 nm process, right? I'm interpreting this as not getting the equipment for ramping up more advanced nodes. I hope the purchase of all these NXT 2050i means they are confident that they have all that they need to ramp up production. It would be silly to have a bunch of DUVs ready for N+1/N+2. They must have paid some good money for ASML to develop more powerful NXT 2050i and 2100i just for them. I mean after all, the report explicitly said "for the most critical layers". So, that means these will be used like EUVs in SMIC's process.

Yes, from @tphuang previous post China can produce 80% of older nodes today surpassing the 70% benchmark set for Made in China 2025, maybe we read it wrong and that was the very goal from the beginning and from there to upscale their mass production capability to 7nm, commoditizing it and flood the world market. It's like the Peoples War, overwhelm the cities from all side.
I don't know. I just know they are really ramping up their production in those large 12 inch megafabs. SMIC/YMTC/CXMT/HuaHong/CanSemi/Silan all have plenty of large expansion projects. How much domestic market share they can occupy really depends on the economy and China's continued industrialization.

I think it's pretty important to get to more advanced nodes. For example, they've been building super computers using Phytium's S2500 server chips and need like 750k of them per super computer. If they can move Phytium server chips to N+1 or N+2 process, that will increase the power of their super computers. Similarly, they need N+1 chips to have more powerful fully domestic desktops that can replace foreign computers in organizations with sensitive info.

I did a calculation yesterday. For every 10k wpm of N+2 improved production, they can produce about 80 million smartphone CPUs a year. To put things into perspective, Xiaomi sold 190 million phones last year. So if they want to support Huawei, they'd need to dedicate probably 30k wpm of N+2 production just to provide enough Kirin chips to support Huawei returning to its former sales numbers. In reality, the demand from Chinese smartphone makers is probably closer to 600 million a year right now and growing. That would be 80k wpm of their most advanced process. Which is more than the planned capacity of SN1/SN2 combined.

So, SMIC need more advanced node fab.
 
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