Chinese Economics Thread

B.I.B.

Captain
I mean obviously is good for the business to help the shareholders retain their shares in case of delisting.

It shows that the company cares for its shareholders and it will try to help them however they can, so that translates to good investor relations because everyone can see that this company values their investors.

However in case of forced delisting... le money is gone
China telecom companies were forced out but they offered share swaps to their investors who bought shares on the NYSE. Car companies like NIO and XPeng have international ambitions. It wouldn't help if they didn't offer some monetary compensation.
 

hashtagpls

Senior Member
Registered Member
Killing foreign companies that are specializing in high-tech electronics, nuclear tech and aerospace is a very long standing American policy. Just another extreme malice the US media "forgets" to talk about.
It is good then that Huawei has decided to enforce IP tis year; no more free lunch from Apple, especially since they jumped on the kill Huawei bandwagon.
 

voyager1

Captain
Registered Member
View attachment 70403

Bloomberg Economics forecasts 9.3% GDP growth for China this FY2021 and above 20% GDP growth in Quarter 1.

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Yep sky high GDP growth. However it is good that they set the target at minimum of 6 (or 6.5?) per cent so that the gov has plenty financial space to invest on tech and high quality growth
 
D

Deleted member 15887

Guest
View attachment 70403

Bloomberg Economics forecasts 9.3% GDP growth for China this FY2021 and above 20% GDP growth in Quarter 1.

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Breakdown of Forecast Graph:
  • 1st Quarter GDP growth rate is forecast to reach 20.1% (15.2% was the previous forecast by Bloomberg Economics)
  • 2nd Quarter GDP growth rate forecast to reach 8.0%
  • 3rd Quarter GDP growth rate forecast to reach 6.5%
  • 4th Quarter GDP growth rate forecast to reach 5.9%
  • This adds up to a cumulative annual growth rate for FY2021 reaching 9.3%
 

NiuBiDaRen

Brigadier
Registered Member
It is already a big amusement park
Certainly they are lots of luxury resorts and recreational facilities, but no big theme parks. The supply is lower than demand, and the beachfront is overcrowded. After all, this is a one billion strong market with spending power. All Chinese go to Sanya for summer/romantic vacation. There is enough demand to turn the whole island into one big theme park.

There's so much opportunity for SeaWorld Universal Studios Disney World etc to move in and satisfy the Chinese consumer. And 欢乐谷.
 

weig2000

Captain
Breakdown of Forecast Graph:
  • 1st Quarter GDP growth rate is forecast to reach 20.1% (15.2% was the previous forecast by Bloomberg Economics)
  • 2nd Quarter GDP growth rate forecast to reach 8.0%
  • 3rd Quarter GDP growth rate forecast to reach 6.5%
  • 4th Quarter GDP growth rate forecast to reach 5.9%
  • This adds up to a cumulative annual growth rate for FY2021 reaching 9.3%

I feel their projection for Q2-Q4 is kind of low. Last year's qarterly GDP growth rates are quite low: -6.6%, 3.2%, 4.9%, 6.5% for Q1 to Q4 respectively. Other than Q4, all other quarters were all well below normal. So this year's growth rates will benefit from last year's low base. Secondly, the world economy, especially the US's (fueled by debt and deficit), will bounce back strongly in the second half. As the world's largest exporter, China will benefit from the recovery of global economy.

But we're still in Q1, we shall see.
 

voyager1

Captain
Registered Member
I feel their projection for Q2-Q4 is kind of low. Last year's qarterly GDP growth rates are quite low: -6.6%, 3.2%, 4.9%, 6.5% for Q1 to Q4 respectively. Other than Q4, all other quarters were all well below normal. So this year's growth rates will benefit from last year's low base. Secondly, the world economy, especially the US's (fueled by debt and deficit), will bounce back strongly in the second half. As the world's largest exporter, China will benefit from the recovery of global economy.

But we're still in Q1, we shall see.
I think the Q4 growth rate will be higher but in general the overall GDP growth will depend on the global economy (recovery, stimulus, printing money etc) and on how fast China will tighten its monetary and fiscal policies.

Note: Also if a significant Covid flare up happens in China
 
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