Yes, I understand that completely. I'm saying that when you look at the constituent parts of the inflation weighting, you end up with the conclusion that there will be an
overall deflationary effect because the medium-term demand collapse is more than the supply shock.
Have a look at the weighting for the UK for example, which should be representative of the developed world.
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In a situation where there is a pandemic and an economic depression, lots of spending becomes a luxury instead of a necessity.
Things that come to mind include restaurants, cafes, bars, weekend breaks, new cars, house purchases, new clothing, leisure spending, services like dog walking etc etc
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But of course, there is China where the Coronavirus has been completely eliminated and life is back to normal now.
Yes, there are a few occasional outbreaks, but they don't affect many people as they are contained locally.
That breeds confidence in the economy.