China's war economy production capacity.


FairAndUnbiased

Colonel
Registered Member
Well, from the Chinese perspective, the only conventional war scenario that really matters is Taiwan.
However that will be decided in a few weeks if the US doesn't get involved, given China would have air superiority over all of Taiwan and the ability to track every vehicle.

But if the US does get involved, the US will have to start attacking targets on the Chinese Mainland, because all of the airbases and missiles are located there.

If the US is not successful in this, then Taiwan is still decided in China's favour.

But if the US is successful, then China faces losing control of the skies over its cities.
Nuclear escalation from China is the only logical response.

It's why 230 new nuclear missile silos in China will change everything.

So I doubt there will be the time nor requirement for a full-scale industrial mobilisation in China.
China won't lose control over airspace. Are US planes going to tank up within 100 km of China or over China? They're gonna fly one way trips? No? Then it can't do anything about inland PLAAF bases because they don't have the fuel range.
 

AndrewS

Brigadier
Registered Member
China won't lose control over airspace. Are US planes going to tank up within 100 km of China or over China? They're gonna fly one way trips? No? Then it can't do anything about inland PLAAF bases because they don't have the fuel range.

It's a worst case scenario, but it's still useful to go through this.
 

Orthan

Senior Member
Does anyone knows what is the capability of china enduring a prolonged attack on its defence industry? I think that this is an important aspect in any serious war. Its not only what you have, but also if you can replace what you have lost.
 

SEAD

Junior Member
Registered Member
Does anyone knows what is the capability of china enduring a prolonged attack on its defence industry? I think that this is an important aspect in any serious war. Its not only what you have, but also if you can replace what you have lost.
I guess China can do it much better than any other country because of its construction capability. Of course this advantage may reduce in next decade because of the end of large scale infrastructure investment, but still much better than any other one.
 

SEAD

Junior Member
Registered Member
I reviewed the whole thread and noticed most of them are from 2021, but in 2022 we have found relatively simple platforms are so effective when working with good C4 systems. Unlike traditional large ones such as bombers/fighters and CVN/SSN, MALE and other drones can be easily produced from car/cellphone pipelines, as well as cruise missiles. If China move 1/3 of its capacity into weapons, that means 10,000 missiles or drones per day. Think about this number, it means no ship can float in west pacific, every military vehicle that can be detected by AI will be destroyed, every airport in 1st island chain will be shut down(almost forever), as well as the whole economy of Japan and Korean. In fact Japan will be starved to death literally, since it cannot provide enough food for itself.
 

Biscuits

Captain
Registered Member
Prior to the Ukraine war people seemed to still widely hold the belief that war has advanced so much things would be over in a few days when two advanced-ish forces fight.

It's like the pre ww1 powers thinking the great destructive power of their weapons can instantly end a war...

Modern cities are massive, and even the most outlying Chinese cities have similar strategic depth to the most deep Ukrainian ones and far, far better air defenses. Without even taking into account fighter CAP.

A third world war would be an industrial grind where whoever can make more missiles and drones to keep up big strike waves would be at a dominant advantage.
 

Top