China's SCS Strategy Thread

plawolf

Lieutenant General
The Phillippines, i.e. the Chihuahuas of the WestPac.

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Bold of him to believe that the Phillippines "deserves" China's nuclear warheads LMFAO

China: how about we compromise? We would be happy to dismantle part of our nuclear arsenal by self destructing them over the U.S. missile sites in the Philippines and thereby saving you the trouble of removing them yourself.
 

coolgod

Major
Registered Member
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Chinese military conducts routine maritime, airspace training near Huangyan Dao​

BEIJING, Sept. 28 (Xinhua) -- The Chinese People's Liberation Army (PLA) Southern Theater Command on Saturday organized its navy and air forces to conduct routine training which includes reconnaissance and early warning, and maritime and airspace patrol near Huangyan Dao.

In a statement, the PLA Southern Theater Command said that certain countries from outside the region are stirring up trouble in the South China Sea, creating instability.

China has indisputable sovereignty over Huangyan Dao and its surrounding waters, the PLA Southern Theater Command said, adding that its troops will remain on high alert, resolutely defend national sovereignty and maritime rights, and safeguard peace and stability in the South China Sea.
Pinoys acting up again since its "allies" have arrived. The ones that passed the Taiwan straits earlier.
 

coolgod

Major
Registered Member
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This formation features (from left to right) HMNZS Aotearoa (A-11), BRP Antonio Luna (FF 151), USS Howard (DDG 83), HMAS Sydney (D 48), and JS Sazanami (DD 113), with BRP Emilio Jacinto (PS 35) as the break away vessel showcasing coordinated division tactics during the 4th MMCA on September 28. Photo by CRSAFP.

Philippines and Allies hold joint sail in West Philippine Sea​


The navies of the Philippines, Australia, Japan, the US, and New Zealand conducted a joint sail in the West Philippine Sea Saturday, September 28, 2024, while China carried out a similar operation near Scarborough Shoal.​

The sail took place in the West Philippine Sea – Manila’s name for South China Sea waters that lie within its exclusive economic zone.

The day-long activity participated by warships of the Philippine Navy’s BRP Antonio Luna (FF151), BRP Emilio Jacinto (PS35), one AW109 helicopter, and Philippine Air Force Search and Rescue (SAR) assets, United States’ USS Howard (DDG83) and two helicopters, Australia’s HMAS Sydney (D48), a P-8 Poseidon aircraft, and one helicopter.
Japan, which earlier expressed concern about China’s actions, sent their JS Sazanami (DD113) while New Zealand used their HMNZS Aotearoa (A-11).
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on September 25, on its way to the West Philippine Sea for the joint drills. This marked the first time a JMSDF vessel saile through one of the world’s most contentious straits in East Asia.

During the activity, ships of participating navies conducted pre-sail briefings, communication exercises, cross-deck exercises, division tactics/officer of the watch drills, photographic exercises, replenishment at sea approaches, maritime domain awareness exercises, and contact reporting, all designed to refine operational readiness and collaborative capabilities.

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PLA holds drills near Huangyan Dao ‘in response to foreign exercises’

The PLA Southern Theater Command deployed naval and air forces to carry out routine exercises including reconnaissance, early warning and sea-air patrols in waters and airspaces near China's Huangyan Dao on Saturday, the PLA Southern Theater Command said in a press release on the day.

Certain non-regional countries are stirring up trouble in the South China Sea and creating unstable factors in the region, the PLA Southern Theater Command said.
China has indisputable sovereignty over Huangyan Dao and its surrounding waters, and theater troops will remain on high alert, resolutely defend national sovereign security and maritime rights, and firmly safeguard peace and stability in the South China Sea, the press release reads.

Hours later, the PLA Southern Theater Command issued a second press release about the routine exercise.

China seems super pissed, probably why Wang Yi basically called Blinken two faced.
 
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plawolf

Lieutenant General
In a way, America’s ‘strategy’ is pathetically transparent and one dimensional in the SCS, which basically boils down to, fuck around without finding out.

This is why they are so desperate to set guardrail and hotlines, so they can salami slice right up to the red line without crossing it. Because at the end of the day, neither China nor America actually gives a shit about Philippines enough to want to fight over their greed.

The problem is China has also been ridiculously transparent in its own desire to avoid conflict, which has only emboldened America to act more rashly.

But the unavoidable truth with human nature is that we only respect power and violence. The big boss can only afford to act civil because it has already demonstrated beyond all doubt its capacity for extreme violence. Without that contrast, others do not see your restrained as restrained, just weakness.

I think that soon, Beijing will need to make a decision to kill a chicken to avoid the monkey getting any ideas. I think that decision might be deferred until after the November US elections, but before the January inauguration.

I think preparations are being made to prepare for a lesson to ge taught then, when China will know who America’s next leader will be, but before they take power so that it can best calibrate the action to resonate with them without trapping their whole terms foreign policy with this one act.

If Trump wins, China will offer him a reset to allow him to blame it all on Biden and Harris. If Harris wins, then this would be clear signal that China has had enough of their brand of bullshit and that further encroachment along the same lines will not be tolerated for another 4 years.
 

Overbom

Brigadier
Registered Member
In a way, America’s ‘strategy’ is pathetically transparent and one dimensional in the SCS, which basically boils down to, fuck around without finding out.

This is why they are so desperate to set guardrail and hotlines, so they can salami slice right up to the red line without crossing it. Because at the end of the day, neither China nor America actually gives a shit about Philippines enough to want to fight over their greed.

The problem is China has also been ridiculously transparent in its own desire to avoid conflict, which has only emboldened America to act more rashly.

But the unavoidable truth with human nature is that we only respect power and violence. The big boss can only afford to act civil because it has already demonstrated beyond all doubt its capacity for extreme violence. Without that contrast, others do not see your restrained as restrained, just weakness.

I think that soon, Beijing will need to make a decision to kill a chicken to avoid the monkey getting any ideas. I think that decision might be deferred until after the November US elections, but before the January inauguration.

I think preparations are being made to prepare for a lesson to ge taught then, when China will know who America’s next leader will be, but before they take power so that it can best calibrate the action to resonate with them without trapping their whole terms foreign policy with this one act.

If Trump wins, China will offer him a reset to allow him to blame it all on Biden and Harris. If Harris wins, then this would be clear signal that China has had enough of their brand of bullshit and that further encroachment along the same lines will not be tolerated for another 4 years.
Gotta wait for Israel to give a grand gift to China.

Let them ignite a war in Middle East and then the US will be forced to direct resources there to protect and help it's dear child.

And when that happens, Philippines will be like a naked chicken ready for slaughter
 

plawolf

Lieutenant General
Gotta wait for Israel to give a grand gift to China.

Let them ignite a war in Middle East and then the US will be forced to direct resources there to protect and help it's dear child.

And when that happens, Philippines will be like a naked chicken ready for slaughter

I think China is at the real hard power stage where these things are more viewed as bonuses that it would happily take if it happens, but it’s not something it’s counting on, so if it has made up its mind, it’s going even if not all of the stars are perfectly aligned.

In a way, I almost suspect that China is actually pushing for Iran to hold rather than commit, and if anything, Iran and Israel going all out might be the kind of significant development that causes China to reconsider its own move.

This is because the primary purpose of making an example is to force America to back down and undermine its security guarantees to the rest of its pawns in Asia.

A full blown ME war would give America and its apologists enough of a figleaf to spin it as China taking advantage of a once-in-a-generation freak event to excuse America backing down. That will very much undermine the desired impact of the lesson and make the costs far less worthwhile.
 
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