China Ballistic Missiles and Nuclear Arms Thread

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Anlsvrthng

Captain
Registered Member
You can prove this from the recovery time of manned space capsule. The Chinese claim they can identify the location of landing within 5 minute max of helicopter ride from the time of signal from the capsule as soon as they come out of plasma heat. let see Mi 17 speed is 155mph =2.5ml/min X 5=12 mile the most . So the helicopter must be within 12 mile radius of impact. So they must predicted and position the helicopter within that radius.

The inertial navigation of the ICBMs (could) have 100 meter precision, the space capsule trajectory actively modified due to low g and safety, so it will have higher target miss than a pure ballistic reentry.
 

Hendrik_2000

Lieutenant General
Given how many early warning radars they have pointing at China, the BMs will be detected in their ascent. Then they can cue in an X-band radar to start tracking and provide targeting data to AEGIS while it is still unable to track it with SPY-1. If the SM-3s fail, there are still SM-2 block IV and SM-6 block IA available for another attempt within the atmosphere. If the terrestrial radars are taken out, they can bring Howard O. Lorenzen to tag along. It would seem there are options afterall.

And you think it is only single missile unrealistic They will launch swarm of missile,cruise missile, etc with all kind of penetration aid, missile decoy, balloon you name it. Remember they fire it from Qinghai way in inland China assuming the carrier is in the first island range .By the time the missile reached China east coast it will way pass the mid course trajectory and disgorge hundred of the warheads, penetration aid.missile decoy etc It is so much cheaper to built missile than carrier. Captain Jimmy Hendrix famously said for each carrier you can built 3000 missile
 

Broccoli

Senior Member
Pentagons new 2020 China report.
The Size of the Warhead Stockpile

The biggest surprise in the new report is that it for the first time provides DOD’s estimate of the number of nuclear warheads in the Chinese nuclear weapons stockpile: low-200s. This is lower than the estimate we currently have: 320. But there are reasons for that.

First, the data in the report is as of late-2019. Back then, our stockpile estimate was 290.

Second, the DOD estimate listed is for “operational” nuclear warheads (p. 87), which might imply it does not include warheads for weapons that have not yet become operational. The word “operational” was omitted from the introduction and summary sections but is part of the detailed nuclear deterrent section. In contrast, our estimate includes warheads that we assume have already been produced for the DF-41 ICBMs that are being integrated into the missile force, as well as warheads for the JL-2 SLBM that will arm the two additional SSBNs that are fitting out. The DOD estimate probably also does not include dormant bomber weapons. Without those categories, our stockpile estimate as of late-2019 would have been about 215 warheads.

But if the “low-200s” indeed includes every produced warhead, including those presumably produced for the DF-41 and submarines, then there are some unknown and very confusing factors about how China assigns nuclear warheads to its missile forces that need to be explained.

The good news about the lower DOD estimate is that the more-than-doubling of the Chinese stockpile US government
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have projected for the next decade will result in a stockpile of less than 500 warheads instead of over 600. The low stockpile number could potentially take some of the wind out of the sail of the Trump administration’s insistence that China must join arms control talks. And it shows that
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by defense hawks that China may have “many more than 300” warheads is completely false.
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Hendrik_2000

Lieutenant General
Pentagons new 2020 China report.

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Pentagon report is nothing but clip from open source available information. So not surprising the author is Hans Kristensen. After all he is the source of all the publicly available info. It is like hearing bounce back from the wall
See this passage

The good news about the lower DOD estimate is that the more-than-doubling of the Chinese stockpile US government
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have projected for the next decade will result in a stockpile of less than 500 warheads instead of over 600. The low stockpile number could potentially take some of the wind out of the sail of the Trump administration’s insistence that China must join arms control talks. And it shows that
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by defense hawks that China may have “many more than 300” warheads is completely false
 

TD739

Junior Member
Registered Member
I don't believe the descending warheads has any radar or sensor. I don't think they can be corrected. The main searching for the carrier has to come from satellite.
 

Hendrik_2000

Lieutenant General
I don't believe the descending warheads has any radar or sensor. I don't think they can be corrected. The main searching for the carrier has to come from satellite.

You must be living under the rock check this one. In fact most missile has some kind of homing sensor whether it is radar, infra red or laser
The Maneuverable Reentry Vehicle (abbreviated MARV or MaRV) is a type of ballistic missile whose
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is capable of autonomously tracking ground targets. It often requires some terminal active homing guidance (like Pershing II
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) to make sure the missile does not miss the target, because of the frequent trajectory shifts. Refer to
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.
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AssassinsMace

Lieutenant General
When you see the contrails of a rocket launching into space, it's zig-zagging afterwards. That's showing the different atmospheric layering going on in different directions. Why does a sniper account for the wind while shooting at a target at long range? Anyone who remembers the M-X Peacekeeper ICBM, it was said it was the most accurate out there claiming if the pitcher's mound of a stadium was the target, it would land somewhere within the ballpark. No need to claim that feature was unique if any ICBM could do that because they all work the same way. Accuracy is also important when tactically hitting an underground target. The earth is a great protector. Weapons need to be pretty accurate in order to affect underground targets. Just look at how when shooting bullets into water. It doesn't matter how large the caliber, after about a meter in, the round essentially becomes ineffective.
 

shanlung

Junior Member
Registered Member
You think they can shoot the missile instantly ? They still have to first find it prepare and initiate the firing sequence all of them take time and in the meantime the warhead is already on top of your head!
Not counting that SM3 only has 60% reliability for mid course engagement under hihgly choreograph trial Good luck with that. When the ASBM is now entering update with Hypersonic warhead
I getting more and more tempted to put a cone of silence on Max. What I not do on MrT as he amuses me so much with his twisted reality. Max is not even amusing.:cool::cool::cool:
 

Totoro

Major
VIP Professional
Kristensen is not the author of the DoD report. The link given was to Kristensen article where he comments on the report.
 
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