American Economics Thread

Michaelsinodef

Senior Member
Registered Member
do U.S want destroy their economy ;)
View attachment 101985
There's a reason we sometimes say democracy lol.

More seriously, there's different factions in the US government with different agendas and priorities.

War hawks and just plain China haters are gonna push for these things, probably not even having a good idea of what kind of disaster it would be for the US, or if they knew, they would be delusional if they think the US can take on such economic woes/damages lol.
 

supercat

Major
The trend for U.S. dollar is probably depreciation, according to Robin Brooks from the Institute of International Finance.

I vaguely remember that something happened in 2008.

US Household Debt Jumps Most Since 2008 Even as Credit-Card Rates Surge​

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End stage capitalism?

23% Americans are taking medications for psychiatric disorders, including 85,000 infants? I guess this won't bode well for America's economy and its future. Then again, maybe it's just another symptom of end stage capitalism?
9d6S1K1.jpg

 

hans_r

New Member
Registered Member
Recent US macroeconomic releases
US 3QGDP
Q/Q SAAR: +2.6%
Y/Y: +1.7%
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October retail sales
MoM growth (nominal): +1.3%, annualized: +16.8%
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October industrial production (manufacturing, mining, utilities)
MoM growth: -0.1%, annualized: -1.2%

October manufacturing
MoM growth: +0.1%, annualized: +1.2%
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October housing starts
MoM growth: -2.4%, annualized: -25.3%
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Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta GDPNow Forecast
4Q GDP growth (Q/Q SAAR): +4.2%
 

canonicalsadhu

Junior Member
Registered Member
Recent US macroeconomic releases
US 3QGDP
Q/Q SAAR: +2.6%
Interesting that you don't include the caveat:
Net exports of goods and services added 2.77 percentage points to the headline total, meaning GDP essentially would have been flat otherwise.
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The Biden administration has boosted petroleum exports from their strategic reserves to keep prices down and boost GDP numbers for midterms. Otherwise their GDP growth would be negative.
 

hans_r

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Interesting that you don't include the caveat:

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Because they are summary statistics. If you accuse me of positivity bias, I'll point you to my post showing US industrial production and housing starts have declined
The Biden administration has boosted petroleum exports from their strategic reserves to keep prices down and boost GDP numbers for midterms. Otherwise their GDP growth would be negative.
The GDP report (page 8, lines 43-49,
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) shows that of the 2.77% increase: 1.34% was due to the increase in goods exports, 0.29% was due to increase in the increase in services exports, 1.20% was due to decline in goods imports and -0.06% was due to the increase in services imports. More specificity in goods exports would need to be recompiled from monthly Census reports on trade in goods which I don't care to do right now.

If we assume *all* goods growth was due to petroleum exports; international trade would have contributed 1.4% to US GDP growth and made the 3Q22 growth number 1.2%.
 

canonicalsadhu

Junior Member
Registered Member
Because they are summary statistics. If you accuse me of positivity bias, I'll point you to my post showing US industrial production and housing starts have declined

The GDP report (page 8, lines 43-49,
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) shows that of the 2.77% increase: 1.34% was due to the increase in goods exports, 0.29% was due to increase in the increase in services exports, 1.20% was due to decline in goods imports and -0.06% was due to the increase in services imports. More specificity in goods exports would need to be recompiled from monthly Census reports on trade in goods which I don't care to do right now.

If we assume *all* goods growth was due to petroleum exports; international trade would have contributed 1.4% to US GDP growth and made the 3Q22 growth number 1.2%.
Fair enough. I'll just highlight this detail from you own report:
The increase in exports reflected increases in both goods and services. Within exports of goods, the leading contributors to the increase were industrial supplies and materials (notably petroleum and products as well as other nondurable goods), and nonautomotive capital goods.
 
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