Fourth Taiwan Strait Crisis
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Interesting to see how countries in the region are viewing this.
I think silently, majority are viewing the US as provocateurs, maybe even in Taiwan if China uses this as a chance to normalize patrols around Taiwan, close to 12km and even make the median non-existent.
Pelosi has giving Xi a chance to raise pressure on Tsai and her govt. for allowing this. This is a chance to increase PLA presence in the strait.
I think silently, majority are viewing the US as provocateurs, maybe even in Taiwan if China uses this as a chance to normalize patrols around Taiwan, close to 12km and even make the median non-existent.
Pelosi has giving Xi a chance to raise pressure on Tsai and her govt. for allowing this. This is a chance to increase PLA presence in the strait.
How about you just wait and see 1-2 days when China is actually responding?
Buzzing the US plane without intention to forcibly turn it around is pointless.
People like you act like its the end of the world and the enemy is already at the gates with soldiers, nope, Taiwan is still free, its a little more influenced by US now or has a chance to become so, but its very very far from US winning control over it.
China has already confirmed, firstly they will respond with an incursion for an incursion. Incursion of an unarmed state department plane vs incursion of navy ships and Air force planes shooting live ammo within what ROC considers its own borders. Once that kicks off, its gonna be pretty hard to spin that as an advantage for US no?
And then there will be more penalties. At the very lowest hanging fruit, Wang Yi can go to the Donbass in a 1 for 1 move towards NATO's sensitive separatist territories.
Xi, nor anyone in the government, has promised to kill Pelosi. The promised consequences is that the status quo will shift in China's favor, and you will see this happen when Beijing's ships sailing unimpeded next to ports on Taiwan becomes the status quo. Promises made, promises kept.
This is not an all out US invasion, the response demanded by China is heavy but not on par with an actual invasion. Pelosi isn't there to stay. American nationalists, and the defeatist idiots who bought into their state media, are counting chickens before they hatch. When they take control of Taiwan and nothing happens, then they can gloat. Evoking a delayed tit for tat response that might end up devouring 30 years of distance between the mainland and the island, that is no cause for celebration. There's a reason quite a bit US media is far more sober about the upcoming situation than their online shills which generally have zero relevant content and only say whatever drives the US population into a frenzy of supporting "current agenda".
You guys are drawing the conclusion too soon too early. The show isn't over yet. And what if Xi was dissuaded by his lieutenants?
It's f...ng idiotic. I have no idea why the f is the party hell bent on sticking with shit that has been shown with data not to work.
I build a house, jealous neighbour burns it down and say eh..it's okay, I'll build another one. Are we sure the CPC ain't following Jesus Christ's admonition of turning the other cheek?
In the Gospel of Matthew chapter 5, an alternative for "an eye for an eye" is given by Jesus: You have heard that it was said, "An eye for an eye and a tooth for a tooth." 39But I say to you, Do not resist the one who is evil. But if anyone slaps you on the right cheek, turn to him the other also.
Quite frankly, the defensive stance of the Chinese press is a losing game. There's plenty of things that China does that's offensive to foreign sensibilities. China would benefit more from an aggressive and strategic stance like that of Russia.
Start fights, stir sh*t. There needs to be more professional Chinese press, of course, to communicate official state lines and policies, but China also needs sh*tslingers. They need people who can go find American-aligned journalists and mock and discredit them. The western public are quite contemptuous of their elite, their government, and their press, and so China only benefits from a more aggressive stance. Antagonize and insult American and American-aligned politicians. Dig up dirt on them to spin controversy after controversy.
Hammer on the differences to divide the western block. Talk to western Europe all about how Americans are force-birthers, creationists, warmongers, and climate change deniers. Talk to America about how Europeans are useless nanny-statists who freeload off NATO and who are letting 'western culture' get destroyed by immigrants. Pound on every single divisive, contentious, inflammatory point until everyone is covered in mud and hate each other.
Find and discredit the likes of Adrian Zenz. Make sure to look up every single even slightly questionable thing any pivotal journalist/activist/politician has ever said and done and then use that to light fire after fire. Poke at every point of contentiousness until any alliance America tries to built is aflame. It isn't hard to do, especially if the Chinese state were to get serious about funding people already competent at this kind of work.
Hypothetically, let's say Xi takes back Penghu and Taiping islands and spends about 1 year to build a military base there. Then, 1 month later, he declares armed reunification on Taiwan. How long would it take the PLA to gain sufficient naval and air supremacy in order to carry out an amphibious assault?
His threats doesn’t matter if the public lacks confidences that he will fulfil on his threats. If future high level visits results in only milk toast responses then it will eventually lead to the domestic public questioning his resolve to an armed reunification if Taiwan declares independences. Here is the problem. You are assuming Xi will do something but what if it turns out is he really is just a paper dragon and his actually just Boris Yeltsin 2.0.
China is sending ships and planes close (within 12nm of Taiwan) as part of a large "exercise" starting from 3rd until 7th.
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