Looks like the Russians quickly learned from their drone encounters. Plus those paratroopers are bringing some heavy firepower. They even brought a Kord hmg.Active Tor-M2 as a convoy escort of Russian Forces :
Russian Paratroopers in Gostomel, Kyiv :
U.S. troops are not going to be fighting in Ukraine that includes in the skies over Ukraine :
According to reports is mr favorite sourceI would imagine the order of difficulty for Russian operational forces in the north and east should be something like this:
EASIEST
Surround Chernihiv
Surround Sumy
EASIER
Take Chernihiv
Take Sumy
HARDER
Surround Kharkhiv
EVEN HARDER
Take Kharkiv
Surround Kiev
HARDEST
Take Kiev
The fact that they have not been able to achieve the "easiest" on the list suggests that they are completely stalled out. Where exactly is the Russian advantage?
- According to reports a substantial majority of the Ukrainian air force is still active
- Ukrainian command & control is still active
- Anti-tank and Anti-armor weapons are pouring into Ukraine
- Ukrainian anti-aircraft is still active
- The US is providing Ukraine intelligence on Russian communications & movements within 30-60 minutes
- Russia didn't commit enough troops for a decisive manpower advantage
- Russians are less familiar with the local terrain & the local population are hostile
After considering all these factors, I don't see where Russia has any advantage left. It seems that this is ready to settle into WWI-style trench warfare. IMO unless there is something shocking factor that we don't know about, Russia should focus on completing the 'easy' tasks like sieging Chernihiv rather than trying to take Kiev. But the main thing is that Russia has to prepare for a medium to longer term war.