escobar
Brigadier
Sure, NFU policy will surely hold if PLA is losing a conventional war...It's not that I don't get any part of the NFU; to the contrary, I understand it quite well. It doesn't have a virtue signalling part.
Sure, NFU policy will surely hold if PLA is losing a conventional war...It's not that I don't get any part of the NFU; to the contrary, I understand it quite well. It doesn't have a virtue signalling part.
Even if China were losing a conventional war and it used nuclear weapons in response - for example if the Chinese mainland suffers devastation it may respond with nuclear strikes on its opponent's territory to equalize the devastation - that would be fully in keeping with NFU. NFU is about the scale of destruction to trigger a nuclear response, not the physics of the weapons.Sure, NFU policy will surely hold if PLA is losing a conventional war...
There is no need for a question, you were talking about China and I brought US in the talk in #18,541 on purpose because in my recollection you have never demonstrated in this forum what you would find "funny" in US "shameless virtue signalling". That is "selective judgement". Without that I would not bother to get in the argument with you to begin with.Are we talking about CN or US? We already know US shameless virtue signaling nonsense lol
Rhetorical question, you miss it. Selective judgement? The forum and the whole world already know about US "shameless virtue signalling". There are lengthy discussions about it here every day. But it is ineffective to talk and talk about US flaws just for an opposite useless signalling posture. How to exploit that in a machiavellian way and seeing CN doing "effective virtue signaling" not "useless virtue signaling" is what interest me.There is no need for a question, you were talking about China and I brought US in the talk in #18,541 on purpose because in my recollection you have never demonstrated in this forum what you would find "funny" in US "shameless virtue signalling". That is "selective judgement". Without that I would not bother to get in the argument with you to begin with.
Sure, NFU policy will surely hold if PLA is losing a conventional war...
response hereIf you are loosing in a conventional war, escalating to nuclear is only going to make you loose that much harder when your nuclear forces are only a fraction the size of you opponent’s.
Chinese nuclear build up is to ensure America doesn’t get tempted to resort to nuclear blackmail or even actual tactical nuclear use when they are the ones loosing in a conventional war against China.
China’s priorities are pretty simple and logical.
There is no point building up a vast nuclear force at the expense of your conventional forces because then not only will you struggle to defence said nuclear arsenal, your nuclear last resort also becomes your first response since your conventional forces won’t stand a chance. That leaves you wide open to salami slicing until you got no red lines left. As the following sketch very cleverly illustrates.
By first building up conventional forces, China is laying the foundation needed to both defend its future nuclear arsenal, but also giving itself an infinitely greater range of actually deployable military options in the interim while at the same time not overtaxing its economy as would have been the case had it tried to purse both conventional and nuclear build up at the same time early in its development.
Now that China has its basics covered, it is moving on to filling in this last gap, which was judged as an acceptable gamble since even though Chinese nuclear forces were clearly inferior, they were still powerful enough to achieve credible minimal deterrence.