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MixedReality

Junior Member
Registered Member
Honestly, the more and more I think about the withdrawal from Afghanistan. It seems like a terrible move. The amount of US and forces that US needs to keep the country in the hands of the Afghan government is far from draining. It makes no sense from a strategic point of view. The blow to American prestige and morale will be immerse. It is not worth the price of having a ''clean plate''. It seems more like Biden just wants to find a way to leave a mark on his presidency. This is a debacle of the highest order. As America is anxious about its standing in the world, this is the last thing America needs.

The more I think about this the more suspicious I get. Taliban are taking over far too easily. Almost too easy. The US withdrawing troops suddenly just when the Taliban offensive started is suspicious. US might do a deal with the Taliban to do their dirty work to spread terrorism against China. Make problems for China using terrorism. Create a quagmire for China.
 

han1289

Junior Member
Registered Member
The more I think about this the more suspicious I get. Taliban are taking over far too easily. Almost too easy. The US withdrawing troops suddenly just when the Taliban offensive started is suspicious. US might do a deal with the Taliban to do their dirty work to spread terrorism against China. Make problems for China using terrorism. Create a quagmire for China.
I’m sure the Chinese leadership has learnt the lessons of soviets and america and that is to never commit troops or resources towards the afghani internal struggle. Just apply the same cooperation template China is using in Africa in the same sort of politically unstable situations.
 

Agnus

Junior Member
Registered Member
The more I think about this the more suspicious I get. Taliban are taking over far too easily. Almost too easy. The US withdrawing troops suddenly just when the Taliban offensive started is suspicious. US might do a deal with the Taliban to do their dirty work to spread terrorism against China. Make problems for China using terrorism. Create a quagmire for China.
I highly doubt this is some master level 4 chess considering the US is pretty much begging the Taliban slow their advance so they can leave their embassy properly. If there was some kind of grandplan, I doubt the US would be making such pathetic gestures.
 

Gatekeeper

Brigadier
Registered Member
If they want to have official relations so much with Taiwan, they can simply recognize the ROC over PRC. Technically, if they did that, China won't complain.

That's the point. They won't dare, and they don't really want to. There's no upside in changing side. The only upside is to please their masters U.S. They should've learnt from Australians examples .

Decades earlier, the collapse of the Bretton Woods in 1971. Tomorrow, 15 August 2021 is said to be the 50th anniversary of the collapse of the Bretton Woods -- the end of relationship between fiat currency incl. US dollar with Gold. After the collapse nations are free to "print" their currencies, and USD gains the most benefit as the WRC (World Reserve Currency), which is an exorbitant privilege!

Good analysis. But has it really been 50 years since Bretton woods? Wow. Time flies.
 
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plawolf

Lieutenant General
The more I think about this the more suspicious I get. Taliban are taking over far too easily. Almost too easy. The US withdrawing troops suddenly just when the Taliban offensive started is suspicious. US might do a deal with the Taliban to do their dirty work to spread terrorism against China. Make problems for China using terrorism. Create a quagmire for China.
The Americans would love to cut a deal, but why would the Taliban touch that with a barge pole?

The Americans were a spent and defeated force, with a consistent track record of cutting and running in exactly such situations, and it was only a matter of time until they did it again. All the Taliban need to do keep at it for a few more years at most and they would have won.

Why on earth would they exchange such a spent and defeated foe already on their way out the door with a fresh new opponent who have a proven track record of successful COIN, nation building and most critically, is directly connected by land? Even they feel they can wear China out like they did with the Americans, that’s at a minimum another two decades of war.

Even if the US did cut a deal to leave their Afghan government allies to flap in the breeze, there is zero hope of them being willing or able to commit the kind of resources needed to facilitate reconstruction with the Taliban in power. China OTOH, is ideally placed to offer just that.

If you look at Taliban tactics, it’s classic Mao civil war moves. Almost as if they had advisors well versed in such history and tactics. Add in the official welcome Taliban officials received in Beijing, and looks like the Taliban has cut a deal, just not with the Americans.
 

Gatekeeper

Brigadier
Registered Member
Well, someone was discussing education in China. A big boom industry just lost a player.


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Wall Street English to announce bankruptcy next week
By Global TimesPublished: Aug 13, 2021 05:57 AM

Pedestrians walk past a street stall for Wall Street English in Shanghai. File photo: IC



Wall Street English, an Italian international adult English trainingcompany, will reportedly announce the bankruptcy of its Chinese business next week. The head of its North China branch has already informed directors of its learning centers about the decision, news website yicai.com reported on Thursday.

The bankruptcy announcement comes after China ramped up measures to clamp down on the private tutoring sector. Although most measures are targeted at regulating K12 education companies, niche industries on adult and vocational education are also seeing a freeze as capital withdraws.

The directors of branch schools are also urged to inform employees to submit their resignation as soon as possible, the report said. The company had not responded to interview requests from the Global Times as of Thursday.

An anonymous employee was quoted as saying in the media report that the company started closing branch schools after the pandemic last year, and China’s new regulation against private tutoring could be compared to the “last drop” that will lead to its downfall.

It is not clear how Wall Street English will compensate its employees. Some staff who have been laid off were given a compensation package based on labor law.

Wall Street English was founded in Italy in 1972. It entered the Chinese market in 2000 and has opened 71 learning centers in 11 Chinese cities, hiring over 3,000 staff in its peak time. But now, less than 30 schools are still running, with around 1,000 employees left.

The Global Times noticed that some consumers have been complaining on social media platforms about problems on the company’s refund of tuition fees and most of them now are unable to contact customer service or sales representatives.

China’s private education market has gradually been caught in the regulatory crosshairs this year.
In June, the State Administration for Market Regulation (SAMR) carried out on-the-spot inspections on major after-school tutoring institutions that were flagged by complaints. As a consequence, 13 off-campus training firms, including New Oriental, OneSmart International Education and Wall Street English, were slapped with a maximum fine.

This, in addition to SAMR’s probe in May into Alibaba-backed Zybang and Tencent-funded Yuanfudao, two after-school tutoring firms, resulted in fines totaling 36.5 million yuan on 15 education firms.

Reports about the unprecedented government regulatory toughening targeting after-school tutoring in late July were later confirmed.

The hardened measures mandate private tutoring firms to register as non-profit organizations and will no longer be allowed to raise capital in stock markets. Foreign investment in the sector will be banned.
 

windsclouds2030

Senior Member
Registered Member
The more I think about this the more suspicious I get. Taliban are taking over far too easily. Almost too easy. The US withdrawing troops suddenly just when the Taliban offensive started is suspicious. US might do a deal with the Taliban to do their dirty work to spread terrorism against China. Make problems for China using terrorism. Create a quagmire for China.
This is just the reverse actions of the past 2001... at that time the power transfer of the many cities in Afghanistan were NOT achieved through force struggle but simply by switching side or left by Taliban, that's why the collapse of Taliban ruling happened very quickly at that time... and nowadays we are witnessing the similar things only in reverse actions.

Basically the regime holding power in Kabul is highly corrupt, not popular among the Afghani people, and they are only in power propped by the USA and survival is maintained through US air attack support... gone the USA and its allies and the air support, gone also the force that shield the regime in Kabul let alone those spread over cities.

"The Afghan National Army (ANA) was always a paper tiger propped up by foreign air support. It never commanded any real power on the ground outside of a few cities. Once the US stopped bombing the Taliban as much as it used to, its fighters regrouped en masse and started taking over regional capital after regional capital, focusing first on the border regions and now moving towards the interior." -- The Afghan National Army (ANA) was always a paper tiger propped up by foreign air support. It never commanded any real power on the ground outside of a few cities.* Once the US stopped bombing the Taliban as much as it used to, its fighters regrouped en masse and started taking over regional capital after regional capital, focusing first on the border regions and now moving towards the interior." --
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"Besides Islamism, Afghanistan as a state has seldom found a way to function and secure a legitimate government that can bring all its ethnic groups together. The current conflict is an ethnic one as much as it is a theological and anti-imperialist one; the Taliban are in practice Pashtun nationalists, and it is this that has made them so resilient, combined with the country's broken and barren economy." --
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And Pashtun is the majority ethnic or tribe in Afghanistan, thus contrary to the labeling by the MSM on the "extremist/jihadist" Taliban... Taliban nowadays is the popular fighter movement by the majority of Afghani people to take back their country after 20 years of foreign occupation, and it seems the Taliban is learning after losing their power in 2001 to not antagonize its neighbor countries by harboring any outside extreme organization. Of course time is the best witness.
 
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