An article from scmp mentions that the us could cut off access to credit card services especially master cards, visa, amex by denying swift services to a specific bank or to any of its 200 participating countries
How likely will the us take this extreme measure? Will it not doom the us dollar were it to happen?
If this would go through, this would be actually a win for local digital payments - Octopus, alipay, tencent pay all others and local merchants. Every Visa/master transaction, almost 3% goes to the banks, visa corp.
In comparison to Tencent Pay or Alipay which is at 0.6 %
.
or Octopus which is max at 1.5%. (I knew octopus very well because one of my projects before involved settlement processing with octopus).
The losers will be visa/master card and all the issuing banks. The winners will be the merchants and consumers (prices can be lowered to maybe 2 %).
Thats why VISA/mastercard hates so much the Alipay/Tencent pay model. Think of it if it will multiply to whole world.
They are getting billions just for settlement processing fee alone.
Side note:
The DCEP will be the natural counter to the Alipay and Tencent Pay behemoths. The Chinese government probably see that they cant let these two to have so much financial power. So maybe 5 years from now Alipay and Tencent pay will have only minority share in settlement processing if DCEP is fully rolled out.