China's strategy in Korean peninsula

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Spotlight: Korean Peninsula issue, regional cooperation expected to top agenda of Shangri-La Dialogue
Xinhua| 2017-06-01 14:55:06
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Issues related to Asia-Pacific security and cooperation are expected to go through intense discussion at the upcoming Shangri-La Dialogue to be held here.

The event, scheduled from June 2 to 4, will attract experts on international relations, government officials and military officers to trade their ideas and exchange opinions.

The Korean Peninsula nuclear issue is believed to be top on the agenda, as pressure on the Democratic People's Republic of Korea (
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) has been increasing, as Pyongyang has recently stepped up its nuclear and missile program.

The deployment of the U.S. Terminal High Altitude Area Defense (THAAD) system in
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, which Washington and Seoul claimed to be aimed at defending against threat from the DPRK, has gravely undermined the regional strategic balance and the security interests of regional countries including China, and runs counter to peace and stability on the Korean Peninsula.

According to
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ese Asian affairs commentator Kaoru Imori, restarting multilateral dialogue could defuse tensions, and all stakeholders including the DPRK have not ruled it out.

Laurent Sinclair, a Pacific affairs research analyst based in Japan, also said the only way for progress to be made regarding the issues facing the region is increased diplomacy. "I think this is what the key stakeholders really want. Multilateral talks are essential to cool tempers in the region."

Wang Jiangyu, deputy director of the Center for Asian Legal Studies at the National University of Singapore, said another uncertainty comes from the
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under its new administration of President Donald Trump, as the new administration has not yet clearly unveiled its policies toward the Asia-Pacific region.

"Peaceful and cooperative ties between the two countries (China and the United States) will definitely contribute to the stability of the entire region and some regional issues or small conflicts will be controllable since the China-U.S. relationship is the ballast of Asia-Pacific security," Wang told Xinhua in a recent interview.

Moreover, participants are also expected to share their views on the fight against terrorism, which has spread from the Middle East and
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to some countries in Southeast Asia, posing a risk to the entire region.

Meanwhile, experts say the China-proposed Belt and Road Initiative is offering a golden opportunity for the region to achieve common development, which will also contribute to regional peace and security.

"I believe the Belt and Road Initiative will be a proper and effective forum in the near future which will help resolve many conflicts and disputes in the region," said Muhammad Ashraf, president of
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's Punjab Peace and Security Committee, adding that "in the coming days, the initiative will bring many countries with differences to one table and will interlink them through financial benefits and future prosperity under one goal of shared destiny."

"In the long term, the Belt and Road Initiative could serve to better connect countries and continents and through this enhanced connectivity we could see nations prosper and understand each other better through people-to-people exchanges," said the expert.

"It's a long-term prospect, but the benefits could be plentiful. Increased connectivity should, in theory at least, leads to increased awareness and from this comes understanding and hopefully peaceful and prosperous relations in the region," Japanese political analyst Teruhisa Muramatsu told Xinhua.

Inaugurated in 2002 and organized by London-based International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS), the Shangri-La Dialogue has become a prestigious platform to discuss security issues among defence officials, senior security officials, military chiefs, diplomats and executives.
 

Hendrik_2000

Lieutenant General
That was quick
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South Korea Suspends Missile Shield Deployment, Yonhap Says

June 7, 2017, 2:04 AM CDT June 7, 2017, 4:04 AM CDT
  • Four remaining Thaad launchers ‘will have to wait’: Official
  • President Moon wants to assess environmental impact of battery
1000x-1.jpg

A THAAD system deployed on a golf course in Seongju, South Korea.

Photographer:The Yomiuri Shimbun via AP Photo
South Korea’s new president is suspending the installation of remaining components of a controversial U.S. missile shield pending an environmental impact assessment, Yonhap News reported, leaving the system incomplete while North Korea steps up its missile development.

“We are not saying the two launchers and other equipment that has already been deployed should be withdrawn,” a senior official at President Moon Jae-in’s office said Wednesday, according to Yonhap. “But those that have yet to be deployed will have to wait."

The official said the assessment could take as long as a year, slowing down the full installation of a missile system that China opposes.

During his election campaign, Moon called for a review of the deployment of the Terminal High Altitude Area Defense shield that was approved by his predecessor Park Geun-hye. He ordered an
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last month into how the final components of the Thaad battery arrived in the country without the defense ministry informing him.

Two of the six launchers that form a complete battery were deployed in April in Seongju county, more than 200 kilometers (125 miles) southeast of Seoul, amid protests from residents. The remaining four launchers are needed to make the system fully operational.

Minimize Effectiveness
“Only having two deployed will certainly minimize the strategic effectiveness of the system,” said Michael Raska, an assistant professor in the military transformations program at the S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies in Singapore. “Of course, that doesn’t mean that they won’t have any coverage at all.”

U.S. Defense Secretary James Mattis said last week that Thaad was dispatched to respond to the “real problem” of North Korea, which has tested ballistic missiles nine times this year as part of its nuclear weapons program. China objects to the deployment over concerns its powerful radar would allow spying on its own missile systems.

“There is a confluence of South Korea’s domestic policy in a country that is deeply divided over this issue and Chinese pressure at play here,” said Raska. “If South Korea accepts Thaad, it becomes increasingly dependent on the U.S., and South Korea is becoming increasingly worried about any unilateral decision by the United States against North Korea.”

China is aware of the report and is following domestic developments in South Korea closely, foreign ministry spokeswoman Hua Chunying said at a news briefing in Beijing. “No matter what happens, we are firmly opposed to the deployment of the Thaad system,” she added.

The news was featured on the home page of China’s Communist Party-affiliated Global Times, which ran a headline with two exclamation marks.

Before it's here, it's on the Bloomberg Terminal.
 

manqiangrexue

Brigadier
That was quick
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South Korea Suspends Missile Shield Deployment, Yonhap Says

June 7, 2017, 2:04 AM CDT June 7, 2017, 4:04 AM CDT
  • Four remaining Thaad launchers ‘will have to wait’: Official
  • President Moon wants to assess environmental impact of battery
1000x-1.jpg

A THAAD system deployed on a golf course in Seongju, South Korea.

Photographer:The Yomiuri Shimbun via AP Photo
South Korea’s new president is suspending the installation of remaining components of a controversial U.S. missile shield pending an environmental impact assessment, Yonhap News reported, leaving the system incomplete while North Korea steps up its missile development.

“We are not saying the two launchers and other equipment that has already been deployed should be withdrawn,” a senior official at President Moon Jae-in’s office said Wednesday, according to Yonhap. “But those that have yet to be deployed will have to wait."

The official said the assessment could take as long as a year, slowing down the full installation of a missile system that China opposes.

During his election campaign, Moon called for a review of the deployment of the Terminal High Altitude Area Defense shield that was approved by his predecessor Park Geun-hye. He ordered an
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!
last month into how the final components of the Thaad battery arrived in the country without the defense ministry informing him.

Two of the six launchers that form a complete battery were deployed in April in Seongju county, more than 200 kilometers (125 miles) southeast of Seoul, amid protests from residents. The remaining four launchers are needed to make the system fully operational.

Minimize Effectiveness
“Only having two deployed will certainly minimize the strategic effectiveness of the system,” said Michael Raska, an assistant professor in the military transformations program at the S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies in Singapore. “Of course, that doesn’t mean that they won’t have any coverage at all.”

U.S. Defense Secretary James Mattis said last week that Thaad was dispatched to respond to the “real problem” of North Korea, which has tested ballistic missiles nine times this year as part of its nuclear weapons program. China objects to the deployment over concerns its powerful radar would allow spying on its own missile systems.

“There is a confluence of South Korea’s domestic policy in a country that is deeply divided over this issue and Chinese pressure at play here,” said Raska. “If South Korea accepts Thaad, it becomes increasingly dependent on the U.S., and South Korea is becoming increasingly worried about any unilateral decision by the United States against North Korea.”

China is aware of the report and is following domestic developments in South Korea closely, foreign ministry spokeswoman Hua Chunying said at a news briefing in Beijing. “No matter what happens, we are firmly opposed to the deployment of the Thaad system,” she added.

The news was featured on the home page of China’s Communist Party-affiliated Global Times, which ran a headline with two exclamation marks.

Before it's here, it's on the Bloomberg Terminal.
Alright that's not bad but I wouldn't roll out the welcome mats just yet for the South Korean businesses. So if only 2/6 units are deployed, is the system still a national security threat to China? According to this article, the launchers are deployed Seongju, which is 150 miles from the 38th Parallel. North Korea is about 200 miles deep from the Yalu down to the 38th. So does THAAD radar penetrate beyond 350 miles?
 
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antiterror13

Brigadier
Alright that's not bad but I wouldn't roll out the welcome mats just yet for the South Korean businesses. So if only 2/6 units are deployed, is the system still a national security threat to China? According to this article, the launchers are deployed Seongju, which is 150 miles from the 38th Parallel. North Korea is about 200 miles deep from the Yalu down to the 38th. So does THAAD radar penetrate beyond 350 miles?

I don't really believe that China is worried of THAAD .. it's just a game ... I am sure China have full capability to deal with it .. protest is free anyway ;) .. and also give a strong reason for China to do something bigger (which I don't know what) .... we will find out soon
 

plawolf

Lieutenant General
I don't really believe that China is worried of THAAD .. it's just a game ... I am sure China have full capability to deal with it .. protest is free anyway ;) .. and also give a strong reason for China to do something bigger (which I don't know what) .... we will find out soon

China may not be desperately worried about THAAD as some in the west loves to believe, but it is thoroughly pissed off about it being on its doorstep.

The protest isn't some 'game', but an expression of genuine Chinese anger.

As such, it would be a grave mistake to dismiss Chinese reactions as such, as that did not work out well for anyone last time the west was arrogant enough to do that in Korea.
 

AssassinsMace

Lieutenant General
What was this nonsense earlier in this thread about how the Chinese people disrespect and look down at the South Korean people as if "they" didn't do it? Comment from article above about opposition of THAAD in South Korea posted from a regular joe that's not from China.

I was in South Korea with the Air Force, 335th Chief's, SJAFB, Tactical Air Command in 1970, 6 months TDY. in 1970, the Koreans lived no higher than advanced rats. The sewer system was open ditches. Water and local food items were unsafe to drink. Hepititus due to contaminated food was common. The highest paying job was prostitution. Fathers sold/rented their daughters for $1.00. Again, they lived like advanced rats. Standard of living was comparable to the worst of the 3rd world countries. Without American money and Army-Air Force welfare and protection, they would be starving under the regime of kim-jun Koo-Koo.

Obviously, their sense of awareness and intelligence has not improved in the last 47 years?


Cut the welfare and protection off to the ungrateful. The new soon-to-be president apparently thinks he can make it but selling cheap cars and tires.

Let's cut them off and give them the chance they deserve.

This is really nothing new since similar comments are made all the time of people from countries that don't blindly obey.
 

Janiz

Senior Member
As such, it would be a grave mistake to dismiss Chinese reactions as such, as that did not work out well for anyone last time the west was arrogant enough to do that in Korea.
I assume that if we look at today's South Korea we can all say that 'west arrogance' worked miracles for them...
 

antiterror13

Brigadier
China may not be desperately worried about THAAD as some in the west loves to believe, but it is thoroughly pissed off about it being on its doorstep.

The protest isn't some 'game', but an expression of genuine Chinese anger.

As such, it would be a grave mistake to dismiss Chinese reactions as such, as that did not work out well for anyone last time the west was arrogant enough to do that in Korea.

It is indeed a political game ... no security concern to China at all (at least I don't believe it) .. now by heavily protesting, China have a very strong reason to also station similar "THAAD" close to the border of SK and Japan ... thats what I think China would do ... and SK and Japan wouldn't be able to protest or oppose ;)

In some ways it is a good think for China
 
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