ISIS/ISIL conflict in Syria/Iraq (No OpEd, No Politics)

seemingly optimistic view, as of yesterday evening, by "peto lucem":
CksE7CzVAAAIbIY.jpg
(it's
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!
)
 
Yesterday at 3:56 PM
... here's how the situation in let's say east-from-Damascus part of Syria looked like yesterday (ACCORDING TO A SOURCE I DON'T KNOW):
CkqvsRiUUAEMQE3.jpg
one day after:
Cks8Kb2WYAASP_n.jpg:large

(it's
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!
)

I don't follow #1, #3 & #4 at all ... as for #5, I recently noticed claims of the Russian Air Force against Aleppo massively using incendiary bombs (probably ЗАБ-500 if such a claim was true in this case:
and as you can see, I'm not saying these claims are, or aren't, true ... one of these is this pictures which purports to show Aleppo tonight:
Ckt-TeSWYAAy1U2.jpg
which can be found in numerous Tweets)
 

delft

Brigadier
LOL! last year I made this type of mistake, which is so obvious, in Prague: we were sitting with my visitors in the pub overlooking the Moldau River, and of them was drinking the beer which is brewed in Prague, so he asked me where that brewery is; since it's by the river, I pointed in its direction, saying "Down the river" while I should've said "Up the river" (at this point the visitors were distraught by something though, probably the next beer coming :) so they didn't notice)
for me these are very funny mistakes I made, as I've been interested in geography since I was four years old


... and I'll go back to Syria news now ...
Ah, long ago I saw the Vltava and walked over Karlovy Most.:(
 
(related to the Government pushing for Raqqa)

Yesterday at 9:52 AM

... has been doing about ten kilometers daily, on average, so far:
...
... and this video, since 04:45, says "about ten kilometers" (during one particular day though: June 10)
under different circumstances, it could be a funny story ...

I guess now they're somewhere around "Earth panel" in the map below (bottom-left), the red sign was put automatically when I looked up
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!
... any idea how/where they are going to make their way to the other bank of the Euphrates?
MkdVi.jpg
 
Saturday at 3:56 PM
... here's how the situation in let's say east-from-Damascus part of Syria looked like yesterday (ACCORDING TO A SOURCE I DON'T KNOW):
CkqvsRiUUAEMQE3.jpg
now that source, which is
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!

says about the above map:
June 10 map fix. Battles at T3 airbase were still ongoing - taken fully today (June 13). For future reference.
for future reference indeed :)
now looking at the fresh map from this source:
CkwCYOiWYAEVYrg.jpg

I've read, related to #3: the Government had been heavily attacking in the area of Mallah (the tank place :)
https://www.sinodefenceforum.com/is...no-oped-no-policis.t6913/page-378#post-401168
again, was repelled; EDIT now I noticed a different account:
EXCLUSIVE: Syrian Army, Resistance Forces Advance in Aleppo's Handarat Region
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!

EDIT AGAIN I wondered about the status of Al-Quarassi recently
Saturday at 3:56 PM
https://www.sinodefenceforum.com/is...no-oped-no-policis.t6913/page-378#post-401287
and this Farsnews article has an answer:
... On Sunday, ... Russian fighter jets bombed heavily ... al-Qarasi ...

and I'm baffled by #4: the Government took it
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!
??
Yesterday at 3:58 PM
...
I guess now they're somewhere around "Earth panel" in the map below (bottom-left), the red sign was put automatically when I looked up
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!
... any idea how/where they are going to make their way to the other bank of the Euphrates? ...
... and I just put Resafa to the map from yesterday:
pZoDt.jpg

and have one more question: what is this group, which is let's say one Armored Brigade, going to do against Raqqa:
Area
• City
1,962 km2 (758 sq mi)
Population (2004 census)
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!

• City
220,488
?
 
Last edited:

SampanViking

The Capitalist
Staff member
Super Moderator
VIP Professional
Registered Member
I think the answer to your question is actually quite easy and that the SAA have no more intention of trying to storm Raqqa at the moment than does the YPG/SDF.

I say that this is indeed all about strengthening the Governments hold on Aleppo and part of this is to remove the logistical vulnerability coming up from Homs.
The Governments target is Tabqah at the bottom of Lake Assad. The objective is to seal the territory North West of the Euphrates. I expect this to be followed by the ongoing Kurdish push along the West taking everything North Al Bab and with the SAA push East and South taking the rest of territory to the West Bank of the Euphrates.

Likewise further South; around Palmyra, for all the talk of liberating Deir Ezzor, the SAA are more keen on capturing Oil and Gas Fields. My expectation is that they will push as far East as As Sukhnah and then push north to solidify the territory between the two arms and remove logistical vulnerability from the whole Homs/Aleppo theatre.

A big push in the rebel area of Aleppo and Idlib is quite unlikely for now as the rebels are too well reinforced and supplied. Instead I can see any current action being limited to putting the rebel helds areas of the City under siege and no more.
The foreseeable action against non ISIS jihadis is going to be based on the isolated pockets like East Ghouta etc.
 

taxiya

Brigadier
Registered Member
SampanViking I don't know what you're insinuating, but you should perhaps read what Xinhua has to say
PKK claims responsibility for car bomb attack in Turkey
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!
I wonder if you have read it before you referred Xinhua (to support your point?).

The first paragraph of the Xinhua report is, I quote

ANKARA, June 9 (Xinhua) -- The Kurdish Workers' Party (PKK) claimed responsibility on Thursday for the car bomb attack in the southeastern Turkish province of Mardin on Wednesday, Turkish Haberler News reported.

Xinhua did NOT SAY anything, it merely quoted what Turkish news said.

On this one I must say that Xinhua did a really unprofessional job, the title is inconsistent with its content. But in no way can it be interpreted as confirming or agreeing with the position of Turkish news.
 
I wonder if you have read it before you ...
enough
taxiya
I'm putting you on my Ignore List since the controversy is over: Moderators deleted both posts of yours, in which you had engaged me, and which I had recently reported in
China's SCS Strategy Thread
Jun 7, 2016
https://www.sinodefenceforum.com/chinas-scs-strategy-thread.t3118/page-266#post-400855
(my second reporting posts openly called Moderators for help, got deleted as well)

taxiya
now I'm not going to see your posts
but moderation works in this forum!

let me go to Syria now ...
 
related to the encirclement of
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!
by Kurds
Wednesday at 7:26 AM
... it'll be interesting to see then if they
as of now, it looks as "the siege option": I've read in Twitter
  • water, electricity supplies for the town are cut off, and
  • ISIL tries to break in; "peto lucem" map:
    Ck2SwTZW0AAxCBg.jpg

    (it's
    Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!
    )

    "A7_Mirza" map:
    a1z6sdq480xh2n9zg.jpg

    (it's
    Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!
    )
 
Top