I'm writing this in response to this video by CNN:
and this video:
China views North Korea's independent nuclear deterrent in two major signifcant ways.
It seems pretty clear to me that the North Korea PAL system (nuclear launch code authorization) is extensively penetrated by Chinese version of Stuxnet virus given the economic dependence and close military relationship between China and North Korea.
In the event of rebellion, military coup, or regime instability, China can acquire an United Nations mandate to intervene to restore stability, recover "rogue nuclear weapons", distribute aid, etc...
U.S. can try to challenge China by sending in special forces to occupy nuclear sites before China can, but that would require crossing the DMZ, potentially escalation the situation into full-scale war. U.S. should trust that China can secure the nuclear sites of North Korea, and should not challenge China's attempt to restore order/peace/nuclear weapons in North Korea.
U.S. may try to exploit this situation by sending in special forces to pre-empt Chinese troops in Pyongyang capital region. However, PLA divisions can be deployed to Pyongyang capital region within two (2) years of notification of instability in North Korea, and set up a line between Nampo and Wonsan along the Taedong river (greatest extent of Tang era Protectorate General to Pacifiy the East) as a red line that US/ROK troops should not pass above the Taedong river. Also, China can send a division of troops to secure the DPRK border to deter movements of refugees, and another division towards Shiniju (opening of Tumen river) to prevent US/Japan naval blocade of the vital river opening which northeastern China depends on for access to the Sea of Japan.
and this video:
China views North Korea's independent nuclear deterrent in two major signifcant ways.
- Independent nuclear deterrent safeguards North Korea sovereignty from threats and and regime change by foreign nations.
- (Benefits for China: Deployed nukes reduces probability of U.S. invasion, redirect PLA resources elsewhere, such as Taiwan or Naval buildup)
- Extensive penetration of Chinese espionage and cyber warfare units in North Korean nuclear infrastructure (Chinese version of Stuxnet virus) means only China has access to North Korea's nuclear materials in the event of regime collapse.
- (Benefits for China: Under an UN mandate, China gets international support to intervene in North Korea to restore order, recover "rogue nuclear materials", and distribute humanitarian aid, before U.S. can unilaterally challenge China by exploiting NK situation)
It seems pretty clear to me that the North Korea PAL system (nuclear launch code authorization) is extensively penetrated by Chinese version of Stuxnet virus given the economic dependence and close military relationship between China and North Korea.
- (Benefits for China: Rogue leader cannot nuke Seoul on an whim because nuclear launch codes are infiltrated by Chinese hackers, so they are defacto in control of Beijing)
In the event of rebellion, military coup, or regime instability, China can acquire an United Nations mandate to intervene to restore stability, recover "rogue nuclear weapons", distribute aid, etc...
U.S. can try to challenge China by sending in special forces to occupy nuclear sites before China can, but that would require crossing the DMZ, potentially escalation the situation into full-scale war. U.S. should trust that China can secure the nuclear sites of North Korea, and should not challenge China's attempt to restore order/peace/nuclear weapons in North Korea.
U.S. may try to exploit this situation by sending in special forces to pre-empt Chinese troops in Pyongyang capital region. However, PLA divisions can be deployed to Pyongyang capital region within two (2) years of notification of instability in North Korea, and set up a line between Nampo and Wonsan along the Taedong river (greatest extent of Tang era Protectorate General to Pacifiy the East) as a red line that US/ROK troops should not pass above the Taedong river. Also, China can send a division of troops to secure the DPRK border to deter movements of refugees, and another division towards Shiniju (opening of Tumen river) to prevent US/Japan naval blocade of the vital river opening which northeastern China depends on for access to the Sea of Japan.
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