2026 Iran War Strategy and Analysis

[plawolf]

Diplo is over, iran says they arent negotiating with US through intermediaries.

I am kinda surprised as I thought Iran would want to drag the diplo on anyways. The longer the strait is closed, the more pressure on trump without firing a shot(figuratively) .

oil stock go up again

America has already fired the first and second shots. Zero point in continuing diplomacy if the other side is shooting again.

Iran already made a mistake not responding forcefully to the first ceasefire breach by the Americans and here we have them doing more strikes. Any more weakness from Iran will only invite more and bolder attacks by the Americans.

 

[another505]

America has already fired the first and second shots. Zero point in continuing diplomacy if the other side is shooting again.

Iran already made a mistake not responding forcefully to the first ceasefire breach by the Americans and here we have them doing more strikes. Any more weakness from Iran will only invite more and bolder attacks by the Americans.

Iran has fired back for the subsequent attacks but the ceasefire mostly held(disregarding Lebanon). So I thought this would be new normal which still mostly benefitted Iran hence I thought they would want to drag on the negotiation.


I also think it has a better world image for Iran if trump ends the talk.

 

[burritocannon]

does world image really matter? or are we mindlessly aping the cult of the not-so-rules-based-order?

 

[another505]

does world image really matter? or are we mindlessly aping the cult of the not-so-rules-based-order?

I would argue at a certain point it does matter, Trump terrible international image and diplo certainly prevented any western nations helping him in Iran.

It is a not a zero-sum that only image matters or image doesn't matter.