2026 Iran War Strategy and Analysis

abenomics12345

Junior Member
Registered Member
Meanwhile China can just keep importing Iranian oil via rail.

Oil by rail is exorbitantly expensive - you might as well outbid third world countries to buy their seaborne cargos.

China can mandate to sell only EV cars and trucks as well as trade in all gas cars for EV cars. I wondered how much gas will be saved or not needed? Also, start exploring hydrogen cars.

Ramp up those nuclear power plants.

Renewable energy is the future. Cannot stuck in gas and oil forever.

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CMP

Captain
Registered Member
How does US navy blockading the Hormuz strait help with anything? It sounds like they have zero strategy??
They don't want China or anyone else have preferential or negotiated access with Iran, so instead they're going to block China and other countries that already have a deal with Iran. If ever unsure, the answer for why a Western imperialist is doing something is always extortion, negotiating leverage, blackmail, or choke hold.
 

GZDRefugee

Senior Member
Registered Member
They don't want China or anyone else have preferential or negotiated access with Iran, so instead they're going to block China and other countries that already have a deal with Iran. If ever unsure, the answer for why a Western imperialist is doing something is always extortion, negotiating leverage, blackmail, or choke hold.
The old "if I can't have it, nobody can have it" mentality. Except Trump is too chicken to actually destroy irreplaceable strategic assets unlike the Draconis Combine during the Succession Wars.
 

NorthKimBestKim

New Member
Registered Member
Bush and Nimitz carriers have entered the Mediterranean Sea, so they'll join Ford and Lincoln. That is 4 super carriers in addition to LHA / LHD which are Boxer and Tripoli.

And, of course, at least 15 Arleigh Burkes lurking around + additional air power and troops.

Here is a detailed map from Zio-Aviv University that shows all Imperial assets.

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And here is everything they have bombed in Iran and other places such as Lebanon, etc.

It also shows what targets Iran targeted.

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Iran definitely needs all the "luck", or rather support they can get.
 

Eventine

Senior Member
Registered Member
Oil by rail is exorbitantly expensive - you might as well outbid third world countries to buy their seaborne cargos.



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If this endures for longer than a few weeks of saber rattling and "forcing Iran to the negotiations table," South Korea and Japan will likely get exceptions - once they pay Trump; and that's the whole long-term purpose behind this: US imperial extortion. The ability to blockade major shipping lanes will be used as leverage in future trade negotiations and to intimidate countries into accepting US demands. I mean, what are you going to do - attack an US carrier group? Even armed, merchant ships will never dare to do that.

Even if asymmetric options are available, nobody wants to start a war vs. the US, and that's why they'll get away with this.

When the world's police becomes the world's mafia, began, the global extortion games have.
 

GiantCanofWater

Junior Member
Registered Member
If this endures for longer than a few weeks of saber rattling and "forcing Iran to the negotiations table," South Korea and Japan will likely get exceptions - once they pay Trump; and that's the whole long-term purpose behind this: US imperial extortion. The ability to blockade major shipping lanes will be used as leverage in future trade negotiations and to intimidate countries into accepting US demands. I mean, what are you going to do - attack an US carrier group? Even armed, merchant ships will never dare to do that.

Even if asymmetric options are available, nobody wants to start a war vs. the US, and that's why they'll get away with this.

When the world's police becomes the world's mafia, began, the global extortion games have.
But even if America gives people the green light, Iran might not. It would require the complete submission of Iran to stop them. If it gets to that point it’s possible somebody starts shipping weapons to them and keep the Americans bogged down in a war they so desperately want to get out of. The only major point that America would have total dominion over is the Panama Canal. I hope there’s a plan for that.
 

abenomics12345

Junior Member
Registered Member
Placing valuable Chinese assets in the Strait of Hormuz is not a good idea.
What if any of these destroyers were damaged? How would China respond? Would China directly intervene in a war in the Middle East? I think that's not a wise move.
Before making any major decisions, at least think about your escape route, or you'll become another Trump.

The idea behind having valuable Chinese assets isn't for them to be shiny and pretty. See below likely scenario @Eventine illustrated. The alternative is to pay a protection fee to Trump - vassals like Korea and Japan can, would you suggest Chinese oil/gas importers also pay the fee to Trump?

If this endures for longer than a few weeks of saber rattling and "forcing Iran to the negotiations table," South Korea and Japan will likely get exceptions - once they pay Trump; and that's the whole long-term purpose behind this: US imperial extortion. The ability to blockade major shipping lanes will be used as leverage in future trade negotiations and to intimidate countries into accepting US demands. I mean, what are you going to do - attack an US carrier group? Even armed, merchant ships will never dare to do that.

Even if asymmetric options are available, nobody wants to start a war vs. the US, and that's why they'll get away with this.

When the world's police becomes the world's mafia, began, the global extortion games have.

Which is why I said this earlier:

The real boss move is to send the Fujian CSG with 2x 055 and 3x052D to dock in Iran through the American picket line.
 
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