2026 Iran War Strategy and Analysis

[another505]

With US starting a blockade, this would pus USN ships to be the closest to Iran since the war has started. Some Arleigh Burke sinking under the sea might actually happen now.

I think as Iran, they should strike once the ceasefire ends. They should not wait any longer than that and let CENTCOM have more reinforcement.

 

[NorthKimBestKim]

Your statement is ridiculous.

North Korea's military-first policy was implemented under conditions that severely damaged national development. It's not a sustainable policy; it can only be a temporary measure in extreme external circumstances. Making mindless comparisons between North Korea and other countries is extremely foolish.

You want China to follow the Soviet Union's old path.

Again, I have linked to how much USSR have spent during 1980s. It is 13% of GDP. I never argued that is the number PRC should follow.

I respectfully disagree about your statement saying that spending between 4 and 5% of GDP on defence is "unhealthy". The country I live in right now, which is a NATO-member is often known for its "peaceful reputation" worldwide (albeit a very false reputation, I would say) and Trump has managed to scare the current government here to spend just under 4% of its GDP on defence.

While I do not like the defence spending here, I can assure you that we won't collapse because of those 4% spent on defence. That, you can be very sure about.

DPRK is sanctioned with most brutal sanctions, but the situation is still better than being Somalia, Mali, Chechnya, Moldova, Ukraine, Iraq, Syria, Yemen, Sudan, etc.

There is no "national development" if the country is dead and simply does not exist anymore.

Either way, I won't discuss this topic here. Let's rather see how Iran is about to get bombed for the third time since last year and how much they can hold out.

 

[another505]

Can you guys talk about PRC military spending on another thread?

 

[NorthKimBestKim]

The real boss move is to send the Fujian CSG with 2x 055 and 3x052D to dock in Iran through the American picket line.

Agree. Should be twice of that. 4 x 055 + 6 or 8 x 052D, several 054A frigates as well, 2 x Type 075 + a 2-digit number of H-6K bombers simply landing in Iran for a visit, flying via Pakistan or Afghanistan.

Trump did say that PRC can send ships. Not that PRC should ask for Trump's permission.

 

[Puss in Boots]

Again, I have linked to how much USSR have spent during 1980s. It is 13% of GDP. I never argued that is the number PRC should follow.

I respectfully disagree about your statement saying that spending between 4 and 5% of GDP on defence is "unhealthy". The country I live in right now, which is a NATO-member is often known for its "peaceful reputation" worldwide (albeit a very false reputation, I would say) and Trump has managed to scare the current government here to spend just under 4% of its GDP on defence.

While I do not like the defence spending here, I can assure you that we won't collapse because of those 4% spent on defence. That, you can be very sure about.

DPRK is sanctioned with most brutal sanctions, but the situation is still better than being Somalia, Mali, Chechnya, Moldova, Ukraine, Iraq, Syria, Yemen, Sudan, etc.

There is no "national development" if the country is dead and simply does not exist anymore.

Either way, I won't discuss this topic here. Let's rather see how Iran is about to get bombed for the third time since last year and how much they can hold out.

European countries have never experienced the pressure of a global trade embargo. It's unimaginable that a country can't even feed its own people, and that just a few years ago, you could still see cars powered by burning wood on the North Korean border!

NATO countries have long enjoyed US protection, and the effects of increasing defense spending to 4% haven't truly materialized yet. During the period of low defense spending, European countries' infrastructure, education, and social welfare had already begun to decline. I really can't imagine what Europe will look like in a few years.

 

[obj 705A]

I see people talking about sending PLAN ships like DDGs and CVs to protect Chinese civilian vessels from US piracy.

isn't the main issue that prevents civilian ships from sailing in such areas the lack of ensurers? like would any one ensure a vessel that is attempting to break an American blockade?

secondly the Persian gulf area is mostly just coastal waters. ships in that area of mutliple countries would likely be quite close to each other.

so if you want to provide escort to oil tankers you are better off using FFGs maybe with 3 or so DDGs. heck American DDGs could be even within the range of the gun of a Chinese FFG. and if the Chinese want to take extra measures they can send in one SSN per US CVN to shadow them.

personaly I don't think China will try to break the blockade. China has mostly been averse to direct military conflict with the US. and when that conflict involves God's chosen people. you know the US is willing to do all kinds of crazy stuff for these people.

 

[enroger]

Using Chinese naval asset to break the blockade is a stupid move, almost as stupid as the US blockade. The most reasonable thing is just to run the blockade, call their bluff. If US seize Chinese ships then it is perfect excuse to restart the trade war, 100% RE ban ensue, this time on all US industries. Add some trade embargo while we're at it and watch US inflation goes to the orbit.

 

[GZDRefugee]

Using Chinese naval asset to break the blockade is a stupid move, almost as stupid as the US blockade. The most reasonable thing is just to run the blockade, call their bluff. If US seize Chinese ships then it is perfect excuse to restart the trade war, 100% RE ban ensue, this time on all US industries. Add some trade embargo while we're at it and watch US inflation goes to the orbit.

Nothing that dramatic is necessary. Just dispatch a PLAN warship from Djibouti to escort a Chinese tanker. The forces stationed at Djibouti are already experienced at naval escort and repelling boarders. Call it a continuation of "anti-piracy" operations.

 

[siegecrossbow]

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2043440710981226980

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[Puss in Boots]

Nothing that dramatic is necessary. Just dispatch a PLAN warship from Djibouti to escort a Chinese tanker. The forces stationed at Djibouti are already experienced at naval escort and repelling boarders. Call it a continuation of "anti-piracy" operations.

If a Chinese destroyer is accidentally hit, how should China react?

Sending a destroyer to such a chaotic place is simply asking for trouble.

The US isn't the only one trying to drag China into this quagmire.