2026 Israel - Iranian conflict [TEMP LOCKED]

Will Iran-Israel conflict start again?


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cqxt11

New Member
Registered Member
i don't know why the dubai hits are such a big deal when they are still well within calibrated/pressure valve territory. it's like a dozen shaheds compared to the hundreds on kiev as a serious example?
 

Atomicfrog

Major
Registered Member
US (and Canada) produce lots of oil.
US isn't on the best of terms with EU currently.

Crippeled oil infrastructure could be used as a reminder to EU to not bite the hand that feeds. I'm not convinced US is that hurt by it.
Even more, Canada oil production from bitumen is costly. We do money when price are high, and more or less lose money when they are low. The breakeven cost for producing oil from Canada’s oil sands is estimated at approximately 74 US
per barrel in 2026.

Ukraine war and now Iran conflict just bring money home if they can keep oil price high...

Europe if cutted from cheap gaz and oil sources will just be coerced in a corner and North America economy will look great...
 

Serb

Senior Member
Registered Member
i don't know why the dubai hits are such a big deal when they are still well within calibrated/pressure valve territory. it's like a dozen shaheds compared to the hundreds on kiev as a serious example?

Because of the economic aspect and the UAE structure.

UAE's entire economy is 70-80% based on pure vibes.

Their sensitivity to stuff like this is really off the charts.

Ukraine doesn't even have its own economy anymore.
 

EmoBirb

Junior Member
Registered Member
The west uses a lot of decapitation strikes and assassinations like assassinating Russian generals.

Why doesn't Russia assainate Ukrainian generals as well, a tit for tat. It is because assassinations require a lot more skill and intelligence?

It doesn't require more skill and in most cases just bare bones intelligence. Russia has flown reconnaisence drones right over the heads of Ukrainian officials and could kill them at any time through the deployment of ballistic missiles. But killing the upper Echelon of the Ukrainian government doesn't necessarily serve Russias interest, as annoying as this might be. While the US defaults to this option because they assume this will just lead to structural collapse, which in my opinion is a false assumption.
 

PopularScience

Senior Member
Registered Member
Even more Canada, oil production from bitumen is costly, we do money when price are high, and more or less lose money when they are low. The breakeven cost for producing oil from Canada’s oil sands is estimated at approximately 74 US
per barrel in 2026.

Ukraine war and now Iran conflict just bring money home if they can keep oil price high...

Europe if cutted from cheap gaz and oil sources will just be coerced in a corner and North America economy will look great...
great in term of inflation
 

Atomicfrog

Major
Registered Member
great in term of inflation
Sure, but things that hurt lower classes are not of concern of North America governments. Things are going down the drain and anything that can made the US look better (look) is a good thing for the government.

Iran strike is again a distraction, decapitation strike will just galvanize more radicals and push for continuous US actions in the region. I cannot see any talks of peace without a well established govenment in IRAN even more when officials are killed during the talks.
 

Randomuser

Major
Registered Member
How on earth is a country supposed to win a war if its highest leader WANTS to die in an enemy attack?? This is why theocracies always lose. They concern themselves more with matters of the afterlife than this world and are not able to act rationally.
This is how religious wars are fought.

People are not afraid of dying so they don't lose morale etc etc.

I mean it does work to an extent. However the thing is if you're gonna die in battle, you want to die effectively. Make a last stand that kills thousands of your enemies before its your turn. Not die like a fool caught off guard.
 
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