It seems that the Nobel Committee in Norway is giving a nod to Trump's regime change war against Venezuela with their nominee for the peace prize this year.
It seems that the Nobel Committee in Norway is giving a nod to Trump's regime change war against Venezuela with their nominee for the peace prize this year.
America has nothing to offer for this; if China played this card then it's time to drive the stake into the vampire's heart.
Again, why would China compromise on her security?Trump will certainly try to build it in the US. But I think there's a far bigger chance other countries will fill the vacuum. Any way, if China goes through with this and does not compromise, then it's going to be a rough few years in global trade.
"Stop the hostility" doesn't mean anything. It's just like, "Denounce Taiwanese independence." It's completely reversible at anytime and the actions aren't even defined. This is another thing that is completely worthless. Shit, according to Trump, there are no hostilities; as a matter of fact, he says the relationship with China has been going swimmingly for the last 6 months! LOL To him, that means no change! But when the course of China's plan plays out and American global dominance is supplanted by Chinese power, everything China wants comes to China naturally. Therefore, the US truly has nothing left to offer; it's like one of those movies where the hero finally holds the gun to the villain's head and the villain offers him a grovelling apology, money, leadership in his gang, women, anything he wants. The hero responds with cold vengeance, "I just want you to die," before pulling the trigger. America just has to take this beating and wake up world number 2.Agree, they got nothing to offer. There is only one thing I can think for that China would accept.
That is stop the hostility. In rhetoric and in action. But, they cannot help themselves.
Obama was the one who started it off with some restrictions on high end semi-conductor chips and was the architect of the TPP whose sole intention was to box in China economically.
That did not work, with Chinese computing industry still able to advance, and the TTP died of natural causes.
Trump 1.0 had a trade war and tech war which centered around Hauwei. They egged on Taiwan too.
That did not work, as Chinese trade increased, the RCEP came into being, and Huawei is still here, built the 5G in China and shit. PLAAF and PLAN do regular combat patrols around Taiwan now, changing the status quo.
Biden people increased the sanctions and tech war. One highlight was the 100% tariff on EVs.
That did not work, as Chinese economy kept growing meeting the targets set by the government which meant the Chinese grew a lot faster than the US economy, Huawei makes a comeback in phones with a 7nm chip, and Chinese EVs going global nowadays.
Trump 2.0 we had more sanctions and Liberation Day trade war.
That did not work as Huawei strong as ever, DeepSeek suddenly appeared, and all the other tech like Green Energy, the NEVs, and the robotics keep on going. Also Chinese trade surplus at $1 trillion going for two straight years, unprecedented. Meanwhile in the US, there is a tech spending boom in data centers, but a general malaise in the rest of the US economy. The Chinese economy forecast to grow at 4.8% by the World Bank this year, compared to 0.7% for the US economy. That is not the US winning, that is losing.
Like the communist said, China and the United States should be friends, but those turkeys in Washington cannot help themselves.
So they are getting what they wanted, conflict, as they were asking for it.
It is hard to say. Sooner or later, a day like this would come, what the Chinese did with the rare earths again.
I claim it is hard to say, because of Russia and Gaza, now there is a third front of economic war with China? I doubt the United States is that good a juggling.
So, there could be a chance the hostility could stop. But I doubt it. With Trump anything is possible. He suppressed the Epstein files, and Trump actually shut down the FBI investigation into his own assassination attempt, kind of weird and funny.
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A lot of talk on X about how the RE restrictions were retaliation for the 50% rule on entity listed companies US Commerce Dept. rolled out just before USG shut down. This apparently violated the Madrid consensus, in Chinese eyes.
Speaking of hard power turning into soft power; a lot of people on social media, Americans liberals, Euros, Canadians, are cheering China's rare earth ban because China's the only country that can slap Trump and it's just so satisfying for these bullied people to see it!Live example of hard power generating its own soft power.
Did China say this? No. China just bitchslapped the Americans hard with the RE move and now the Americans are scrambling to figure out what they did wrong to deserve the slap.
This is not the first time US Commerce Dept added export controls in middle of trade negotiation ceasefire. Seems like it happened earlier in summer which trigger retailiation from China with rare earths the first time around?A lot of talk on X about how the RE restrictions were retaliation for the 50% rule on entity listed companies US Commerce Dept. rolled out just before USG shut down. This apparently violated the Madrid consensus, in Chinese eyes.
What reason would the US have for starting a war before they've built up their own supply chain? If, as you say, rare earths are so critical to military production, then it would not make much sense for the US to go to war with China knowing that in a war time situation, China will certainly close down all trade with the US. If anything, this move forces the US to accelerate building its own supply chain, which would speed up the time to war, not delay it. If made for military purposes, it only makes sense if China intends to start a war, and I don't think that's the case (why would Xi be so impatient?)
Also, if China was planning to play this card (either defensively or otherwise) in a military scenario, it wouldn't give the US early notice (e.g. a month+ of lead time) to stock pile. It'd just shut down the supply without warning. The fact that both Trump's tariffs and the Chinese restrictions are dated to take effect a month+ into the future indicates to me that they want this to be public leverage. The main market for rare earths is high-end manufacturing and particularly the industries China wants to protect its position in (batteries, EVs, solar panels, chips, lasers, etc.) The military aspect is just being used to justify it, the real goal is commercial, in my opinion, since it is commercial industries that are hit the hardest in a scarcity environment (not the military, which have little concern for price and can dictate supply).
Live example of hard power generating its own soft power.
Did China say this? No. China just bitchslapped the Americans hard with the RE move and now the Americans are scrambling to figure out what they did wrong to deserve the slap.