If tracking distance was the focus then they would compare radar models not AAM models. And the sides would have the longest ranges.
I agree that this probably does not depict merely tracking distance only or radar performance only.
However I do think this is not merely engagement envelope against a standard target -- putting it another way, I think the key is if we accept that 180 degrees is rear aspect and 0 degrees is head on, we need to somehow come up with something which makes sense for the rear aspect distance to be much larger than the head on distance.
If it were engagement envelope alone, that would not make sense (as tail chase/rear aspect should be much shorter than head on/frontal aspect).
That's why it would make sense for it to be against some sort of LO target, as it would make sense that its most vulnerable sector would be the rear (thus greatest "distance"/envelope), while the leas vulnerable sector would be the front (thus shortest "distance"/envelope) and somewhere in between for the sides.
It almost certainly does. I would say it depicts something really high performing. The graph looks like a target-centric employment graph, as also noted by others. The PL-12 was depicted to have an almost zero effective range in chase against what was assumed.
The massive uplift by the PL-15 over PL-12 in that aspect is very notable and supports this position too. In a head-on engagement it has a 200% range improvement. In a tail-aspect engagement the difference is about 600%. The PL-15 is a significantly faster missile with a better speed retention and a dual-pulse motor. The latter improves the average speed in medium range shots by limiting the top speed (hence losses to the air resistance which scale quadratically with the speed).
This said ability to sustain high speeds is very important for tail-aspect shots because the missile has to stay above the speed of the aircraft to get closer. Head-on, a Mach 2 missile is still useful against the F-15. From behind, it is not. The aircraft can just outrun that, hence the range of the missile collapses to the range it can stay significantly above Mach 2.
I agree the graph is for a target centric employment graph, but I'm not sure if it is against a maneuvering target.
Fundamentally, the key thing we are trying to make sense of is why the greatest engagement envelope/range is for the 180 degree aspect (tail/rear aspect) while the shortest engagement envelope/range is for the 0 degree aspect (head on/frontal aspect).
Your hypothesis would make sense if the 180 degree aspect was for head on/frontal and 0 degree for tail/rear, for a moving target.