Talk less, do more.
Replacement also killed lol
Replacement also killed lol
2025 Israel - Iranian conflict
- Thread starter Maikeru
- Start date
They can survive but can they shoot with full independence? Entry exit points are limited to underground facilities and they can be damaged to reduce the rate of launch. I believe that is partly what we could be seeing.
Not The CoS but chief of KhoA headquarters. They are responsible for the economic side of (military) things. Current CoS is Abdolrahim Mousavi, the previous head of Artesh.
Possible, but I really don't think we should regard "confirmations" from the IDF without some scepticism. Iran/Axis of Resistance tend to admit when their leaders get taken out, so IMO we should wait for confirmations from Iran on this.
Iran has two separate armies that fight over budget despite being redundant. This ends up affecting Iran's own combat capability and military power. It would be better to integrate them into a single army to improve these deficiencies, but I highly doubt it because this is the very contradiction of the country's type of government.
The US appears to be preparing an airlift to the Middle East. Tanker aircraft are positioned in three strategic refueling zones:
1. US East Coast
2. Morón Base in Spain
3. Suda Base in Crete
This structure could be used to:
- Rapidly ship large arms shipments to Israel
- Transfer US Air Force tactical aircraft to the Middle East
A strategic bomber strike is unlikely, as these movements are highly visible and uncamouflaged, indicating a demonstration rather than a covert operation. This could be a direct signal to Iran.
In the coming days, it will become clear whether this is a logistical transport or a movement of tactical forces.
By the way:
Not only were the , but they claim to have , including the Iranian military's chief of staff; the commanders of the IRGC, Quds Force and IRGC Aerospace Force; and also the seniormost officers of not only IRGC intelligence and Quds Force intelligence, but also the overall head of Iranian military intelligence.
Certain Israeli claims announcing the attrition of HVTs can turnout premature in some instances due to the fog of war, but Iranian civilian leadership and state media have these not so insignificant martyrdoms.
The ongoing Israeli military campaign against Iran — regardless of what the US ultimately adds to the equation — most likely isn't going to convince the Iranians to draw up a new constitution or to return a Pahlavi to the throne. The Trump administration is deeply wary of "forever wars," so there's no appetite for deploying significant boots on the ground for physically dismantling the current Iranian regime.
Even absent a ground invasion, significant further decimation of senior Iranian leadership could make way for the rise of leaders who may be granted the mandate for redefining Iran's national political equilibrium in the wake of a seeming existential crisis, if not what some may come to see as a historical humiliation should Tehran acquiesce to Trump's idea of a "good deal."
Escalating towards such a broader regional conflict will earn Iran the enmity of the neighboring Gulf sheikhdoms, which are right now positioned and incentivized to actively discourage or at least delay direct US strikes against Iran.
While there's plenty of historical bad blood between Sunni Arabs and Shiite Persians, unlike Israel, sheikhdoms like Qatar and the Emirates literally sit across the water from Iran, and they don't want to see what is basically their backyard engulfed by the flames of war.
In fact, the Emirates, Qatar and Kuwait, which all host thousands of DoD personnel and significant USAF infrastructure, as well as Saudi Arabia, which has welcomed an USAF Air Expeditionary Wing on a nominally temporary basis since at least the late 2010s, :
There's obviously a reasonable chance that these sheikhdoms will ultimately bend to American pressure and allow USAF birds striking Iran to takeoff from their airbases, especially given that tankers and ISR platforms based in these states may already be contributing to ongoing IAF missions against Iran.
OTOH, a lack of adequate access to regional airbases may give Trump second thoughts on the feasibility of a triumphant air campaign against Iran, and delay direct US entry into the conflict, at least until "deals" can be negotiated.
Iran and Iraq fought a brutal war that lasted for almost the entirety of the 1980s which left hundreds of thousands dead on boths sides, so the Iranian public probably might have the stomach for a broad and extended conflict.
However, the likelihood that the current Iranian regime will survive a decade+ hot war against the US isn't high either.
Neither will Trump survive an extended war .His base hates wars and the Republicans will lose the mid terms.
He'll be a lame duck during the last two years of his presidency.
This seems to be becoming a trend
I had forgotten about this: just days before the current war, Iran hacked terabytes of Israeli military/gov data.
Another angle from a distance shows the scale of hits,