2025 Israel - Iranian conflict

lube

Junior Member
Registered Member
Why is Iran only launching a few missiles?

Only viable long term strategy in an attritional war is to be launching small salvos regularly when we head into Month 1 or 2.

If Israel runs does low on interceptors, every salvo will score a hit. But that's up in the air, given the US is trying to restock Israel as well.
 

PLAwatcher12

Junior Member
Registered Member
I feel like Iran is trying to waste Israel interceptors before they launch something big. This is really odd. Im guessing ether their planning to really hit Israel hard soon or waiting to see if the US joins the war
 

AlexYe

Junior Member
Registered Member
Some of you might have seen the video of lots of cars leaving 'tehran' apparently
its old
I feel like Iran is trying to waste Israel interceptors before they launch something big. This is really odd. Im guessing ether their planning to really hit Israel hard soon or waiting to see if the US joins the war
That or holding back against possible US-action PLUS psychological /exhaustion of the people, dont let millions sleep at night in peace, then work and stuff during the day..
 

Hyper

Junior Member
Registered Member
Im not an expert on USA laws, but what is the expected steps that USA needed to get into a war? Does it need congress approval? Or is Trump going to call it a special military operation and get around congress?
90 approval without Congress.
 

FairAndUnbiased

Brigadier
Registered Member
At this rate, Iran's best playbook is to tank the hits, mobilize the population, and mine the Gulf.

Land-based attacks against US bases in Iraq are more likely to succeed than ballistic missile attacks against Israel.

Depending on how many airacraft US is going to dedicate, they can achieve complete air superiority over Iran and complete destruction of Iranian IADS. The only part that's going to be missing from the Gulf War is the ground element.
If they get into a ground war, Iran should use the full lessons learned from Ukraine-Russia conflict and go all out with ATGMs, FPVs, USV boats, ASMs, suicide bombers, mini-subs, etc at close range in Iraq and the Gulf, from a purely military POV.

As North Korea proved by sinking the Cheonan, an anti-sub frigate, with a sub, mini-subs are extremely difficult to detect in shallow coastal waters. Iran just has to commit. Either lose the subs pierside and the crews to airstrikes, or trade 1 for 1.

You cannot negotiate for anything that you can't earn, 90% of political negotiations are actually just formalizing gains.
 
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